by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Sep 25, 2024
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, September 29, 2024
Venue: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Vikings +3, Packers -3; Over/Under: 43.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Vikings +2.5, Packers -2.5; Over/Under: 43.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Vikings +2.5, Packers -2.5; Over/Under: 43.5 points
Season Record
Minnesota Vikings: 3-0 (1st place, NFC North)
Green Bay Packers: 2-1 (3rd place, NFC North)
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Recent Form
Minnesota Vikings: won their last game at home against the Houston Texans 34-7.
Green Bay Packers: won their last game on the road against the Tennessee Titans 30-14.
Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers Preview and Analysis
The Vikings are entering this game with a 3-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Houston Texans 34-7. Sam Darnold was the starting QB and he completed 17/28 passes for 181 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Aaron Jones led the team in rushing yards with 102. Justin Jefferson led the receivers with 81 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Andrew Van Ginkel and Camryn Bynum each led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Jonathan Greenard led the defense in sacks with 3. Camryn Bynum and Kamu Grugier-Hill each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
The Packers are entering this game with a 2-1 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Tennessee Titans 30-14. Malik Willis was the starting QB and he completed 13/19 passes for 202 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Malik Willis led the team in rushing yards with 73 and 1 TD. Christian Watson led the receivers with 67 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Isaiah McDuffie led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Devonte Wyatt and Preston Smith each led the defense in sacks with 2. Jaire Alexander and Xavier McKinney each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
Vikings vs Packers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Vikings listed as a 2.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Vikings have looked great in their games this season with their 3-0 record overall, and they have beaten some good teams already. They have a win over the 49ers who were in the Super Bowl last season and they are coming off a win against the Texans in their last one. Now they will be on the road in a divisional game here, but the Vikings have a lot of motivation driving them this season. Sam Darnold is trying to revive his career with the offense playing out of their minds, and the defense has also been really good with Brian Flores calling the plays. Meanwhile, the Packers have looked good in their games this season with their 2-1 record overall, but they have had a much weaker schedule to start the season. They lost their season opener against the Eagles in Brazil, even losing their starting QB Jordan Love, but now they have won 2 games in a row with Malik Willis. Those wins were also against the Colts and the Titans who have a 1-5 record this season combined. Jordan Love could be back for this game too, but this isn't going to be an easy defense for him to come back against, even being at home. The Vikings have a ton of momentum on their side at the moment and they have been tested by 2 really tough teams over the last 2 weeks. The best way to place a bet here is on the Vikings to cover the spread in this game.
Vikings Packers Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, September 29, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Vikings 31 Packers 28.
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NFL Betting Trends
Minnesota Vikings: 4-8 ATS versus division opponents. 2-7 ATS versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more. 3-8 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 130 rushing yards/game or more. 7-2 OVER as a road underdog of 7 points or less. 9-4 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record. 9-5 OVER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 yards/play or more.
Green Bay Packers: 7-1 ATS off a road win. 12-5 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 7-1 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. 9-1 OVER off an upset win as an underdog. 13-6 OVER after 1 or more consecutive wins. 10-4 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record.
Key Injuries
Minnesota Vikings: A. Jones (RB) Injured - Hip. J. Jefferson (WR) Injured - Quad. I. Pace (LB) Out - Quad. D. Turner (OLB) Out - Knee. E. Ingram (G) Injured - Triceps. B. O'Neill (T) Injured - Elbow. G. Bradbury (C) Injured - Knee. A. Van Ginkel (OLB) Injured - Foot. J. Nailor (WR) Injured - Ankle. J. Addison (WR) Out - Ankle.
Green Bay Packers: E. Jenkins (OL) Injured - Illness. J. Myers (OL) Injured - Ankle. Z. Tom (OL) Injured - Quadricep. K. Enagbare (DL) Injured - Groin. R. Walker (T) Injured - Shoulder. T. Kraft (TE) Injured - Shoulder. C. Valentine (CB) Doubtful - Ankle. J. Morgan (OT) Out - Shoulder. J. Reed (WR) Injured - Calf. K. Clark (DL) Injured - Toe. J. Jacobs (RB) Injured - Back. J. Love (QB) Questionable - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“I think we’re made of the right stuff. We’ve just got to keep proving it.” - Kevin O’Connell after his team’s win against the Texans in their last game.
“What he’s been able to do is, I’ve never seen something like this. So hats off to him. Hats off to everybody around him. Guys rallying and having his back.” - Matt LaFleur after his team’s win against the Titans in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Minnesota Vikings
WR Jefferson, Justin
WR Nailor, Jalen
WR Addison, Jordan
TE Mundt, Johnny
QB Darnold, Sam
RB Jones, Aaron
FB Ham, C.J.
Green Bay Packers
WR Doubs, Romeo
WR Watson, Christian
WR Reed, Jayden
TE Kraft, Tucker
QB Willis, Malik
RB Jacobs, Josh
Statistical Leaders
Minnesota Vikings
Passing: S. Darnold (657)
Rushing: A. Jones (228)
Receiving: J. Jefferson (273)
Touchdowns: J. Jefferson (3)
Green Bay Packers
Passing: M. Willis (324)
Rushing: J. Jacobs (278)
Receiving: J. Reed (197)
Touchdowns: J. Reed (2)
Coaches:
Minnesota Vikings: Kevin O'Connell (3rd season)
Green Bay Packers: Matt LaFleur (6th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
