by Rod Pearson
Saturday, Nov 18, 2023
Game Time: 8:20 pm ET, Sunday, November 19, 2023
Venue: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO
Where to Watch: NBC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Vikings +2, Broncos -2; Over/Under: 42.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Vikings +2.5, Broncos -2.5; Over/Under: 42.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Vikings +2.5, Broncos -2.5; Over/Under: 42.5 points
Season Record
Minnesota Vikings: 6-4 (2nd place, NFC North)
Denver Broncos: 4-5 (4th place, AFC West)
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Recent Form
Minnesota Vikings: won their last game at home against the New Orleans Saints 27-19.
Denver Broncos: won their last game on the road against the Buffalo Bills 24-22.
Minnesota Vikings vs Denver Broncos Preview and Analysis
The Vikings are entering this game with a 6-4 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-3 in their home games, 4-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the New Orleans Saints 27-19. Joshua Dobbs was the starting QB and he completed 23/34 passes for 268 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Ty Chandler led the team in rushing yards with 45 and 1 TD. T.J. Hockenson led the receivers with 134 receiving yards on 11 receptions and 1 TD. Harrison Smith led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while D.J. Wonnum, Danielle Hunter, and Jonathan Bullard each led the defense in sacks with 1. Byron Murphy Jr. and Mekhi Blackmon each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.
The Broncos are entering this game with a 4-5 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-3 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Buffalo Bills 24-22. Russell Wilson was the starting QB and he completed 24/29 passes for 193 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Javonte Williams led the team in rushing yards with 79. Courtland Sutton led the receivers with 53 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 1 TD. Ja'Quan McMillian led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. Fabian Moreau and Justin Simmons each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.
Vikings vs Broncos Prediction
The current betting odds have the Vikings listed as a 2 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Vikings had one of the worst starts to the season but they have turned things around with their 6-4 record overall. Things looked really bleak for them when Kirk Cousins went down to a season ending injury but Josh Dobbs has come in as the savior of the season, continuing their win streak to 5 games in a row now. They are the hottest team in the NFL entering this week and they have all the momentum on their side. The Broncos are 4-5 overall this season and they were one of the worst teams in the NFL to start the year but they have looked a lot better lately. They just won in Buffalo last week and have some momentum of their own, but their defense has been one of the worst in the NFL all season too. The Vikings are on a roll right now and they are going to continue playing the way they have been with Dobbs giving a much needed spark to this offense. The best way to place a bet here is on the Vikings to cover the spread in this game.
Vikings Broncos Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 19, 2023 (8:20 pm ET start time) is Vikings 20 Broncos 17.
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NFL Betting Trends
Minnesota Vikings: 12-7 ATS in road games. 6-0 ATS after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game. 9-3 OVER as a road underdog. 59-33 OVER in a road game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 8-4 OVER off 2 or more consecutive overs.
Denver Broncos: 6-15 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3. 7-14 ATS as a favorite. 6-11 ATS in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 31-20 OVER after playing on Monday night football. 10-5 OVER after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +2 or better.
Key Injuries
Minnesota Vikings: A. Mattison (RB) Prob Sun - Concussion. B. Asamoah II (LB) Prob Sun - Ankle. J. Hall (QB) Out Sun - Concussion. A. Evans (CB) Out Sun - Calf. T. Hockenson (TE) Prob Sun - Ribs. C. Reed (G) Prob Sun - Foot. D. Lowry (DL) Prob Sun - Groin. J. Dobbs (QB) Prob Sun - Ankle. G. Joseph (K) Ques Sun - Personal. K. Osborn (WR) Prob Sun - Concussion. N. Mullens (QB) Ques Sun - Back. J. Hicks (LB) Out indefinitely - Leg. J. Jefferson (WR) Ques Sun - Hamstring. C. Akers (RB) I-R - Achilles. K. Cousins (QB) I-R - Achilles. M. Davenport (LB) Late Nov - Ankle. O. Udoh (G) I-R - Quadricep. J. Lynch (DL) I-R - Knee.
Denver Broncos: J. Jeudy (WR) Prob Sun - Hip. P. Locke (S) Out Sun - Knee. M. Mims Jr. (WR) Prob Sun - Ankle. B. Browning (LB) Prob Sun - Wrist. R. Perkins (DE) Prob Sun - Quadricep. B. Powers (G) Ques Sun - Foot. K. Jackson (S) Elig Sun - Suspension. B. Johnson (WR) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. E. Uwazurike (DL) out for season - Suspension. G. Dulcich (TE) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. K. Williams (CB) I-R - Ankle. C. Sterns (S) I-R - Knee. A. Palczewski (T) Out indefinitely - Hand. J. Virgil (WR) I-R - Knee. J. Griffith (LB) I-R - Knee. T. Patrick (WR) I-R - Achilles.
Notable Quotes
“He had a fantastic week of practice. I’m having fun coaching him right now.” - Kevin O’Connell after his team’s win against the Saints in their last game.
“We believe in each other. We believe in what we can do. To beat the Chiefs, to beat these guys, it sets a standard of who we should be, who we can be, and who we are going to be.” - Russell Wilson after their win against the Bills in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Minnesota Vikings
WR Osborn, K.J.
WR Addison, Jordan
WR Powell, Brandon
TE Hockenson, T.J.
QB Dobbs, Joshua
RB Mattison, Alexander
FB HAM, C.J.
Denver Broncos
WR Sutton, Courtland
WR Mims Jr., Marvin
WR Jeudy, Jerry
TE Trautman, Adam
QB WILSON, RUSSELL
RB Williams, Javonte
FB BURTON, MICHAEL
Statistical Leaders
Minnesota Vikings
Passing: K. Cousins (2331)
Rushing: A. Mattison (461)
Receiving: T. Hockenson (681)
Touchdowns: J. Addison (7)
Denver Broncos
Passing: R. Wilson (1806)
Rushing: J. Williams (436)
Receiving: C. Sutton (433)
Touchdowns: C. Sutton (7)
Coaches:
Minnesota Vikings: Kevin O'Connell (2nd season)
Denver Broncos: Sean Payton (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
