by Rod Pearson
Friday, Dec 12, 2025
Game Time: 8:20 pm ET, Sunday, December 14, 2025
Venue: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
Where to Watch: NBC, Peacock
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Vikings +5.5, Cowboys -5.5; Over/Under: 48.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Vikings +5.5, Cowboys -5.5; Over/Under: 47.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Vikings +6, Cowboys -6; Over/Under: 48 points
Season Record
Minnesota Vikings: 5-8 (4th place, NFC North)
Dallas Cowboys: 6-6-1 (2nd place, NFC East)
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Recent Form
Minnesota Vikings: won their last game at home against the Washington Commanders 31-0.
Dallas Cowboys: lost their last game on the road against the Detroit Lions 44-30.
Minnesota Vikings vs Dallas Cowboys Preview and Analysis
The Vikings are entering this game with a 5-8 record overall and they have a 2-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-4 in their home games, 2-3 in their road games, and they are also 1-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Washington Commanders 31-0. J.J. McCarthy was the starting QB and he completed 16/23 passes for 163 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Aaron Jones led the team in rushing yards with 76. Jordan Addison led the receivers with 62 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Blake Cashman led the defense in that game with 3 solo tackles and 7 assisted tackles while Jalen Redmond and Eric Wilson each led the defense in sacks with 1. Harrison Smith and Andrew Van Ginkel each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
The Cowboys are entering this game with a 6-6-1 record overall and they have a 3-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-1-1 in their home games, 2-5 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Detroit Lions 44-30. Dak Prescott was the starting QB and he completed 31/47 passes for 376 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Javonte Williams led the team in rushing yards with 67 and 1 TD. CeeDee Lamb led the receivers with 121 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Daron Bland led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while James Houston led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Vikings vs Cowboys Prediction
The current betting odds have the Cowboys listed as a 5.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Cowboys have looked good in their games this season with their 6-6-1 record overall which has them right near the top of the NFC East. They have looked great on their home field too with their 4-1-1 home record this year. Meanwhile, the Vikings haven't looked good in their games this season with their 5-8 record overall which has them right at the bottom of the NFC North. They haven't been a great road team either with their 2-3 road record this year. They are off a 31-0 win over the Commanders in their last one and McCarthy looked a lot better in that game, but that was also against one of the worst defenses in the NFL. Now the Vikings are going on the road against a better opponent and as bad as this Cowboys defense has been this season, they have looked a lot better lately. They are off a 44-30 loss to the Lions in their last one, but that wasn't a great situation for the Cowboys on the road. They will be looking to bounce back at home where they have looked a lot better this year, and they still have one of the best offenses in the NFL with the talent they have. The Cowboys are still alive to win the NFC East too, but they have to win every game left so look for them to leave everything out on the field here as they keep their playoff hopes alive. The best way to place a bet here is on the Cowboys to cover the spread in this game.
Vikings Cowboys Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, December 14, 2025 (8:20 pm ET start time) is Cowboys 35 Vikings 13.
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NFL Betting Trends
Minnesota Vikings: 4-10 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game. 3-7 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game. 3-8 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game. 8-4 OVER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 6-3 OVER as a road underdog of 7 points or less.
Dallas Cowboys: 10-4 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record. 3-0 ATS versus poor offensive teams - averaging 285 yards/game or less. 6-3 ATS at home after scoring 30 points or more last game. 29-18 OVER in all games. 8-4 OVER in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points.
Key Injuries
Minnesota Vikings: A. Jones Sr. (RB) Injured - Shoulder. T. Hockenson (TE) Injured - Shin. J. Metellus (S) Injured - Shoulder. T. Chandler (RB) Injured - Knee. T. Jackson (S) Injured - Neck. C. Darrisaw (OT) Injured - Knee. J. Addison (WR) Injured - Achillies. L. Rodriguez (DL) Injured - Neck. D. Jackson (OG) Injured - Ankle.
Dallas Cowboys: J. Clowney (DL) Injured - Hamstring. M. Hooker (S) Injured - Personal. T. Diggs (CB) Injured - Knee. H. Adeniji (OT) Injured - Knee. C. Lamb (WR) Injured - Concussion. D. Wilson (S) Injured - Knee. J. Ferguson (TE) Injured - Calf. H. Luepke (RB) Injured - Hip. T. Guyton (OT) Injured - Ankle. S. Revel Jr. (CB) Injured - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“It felt good to play to the standard our fans expect.” - Kevin O’Connell after his team’s win against the Commanders in their last game.
“It seemed like every time we got some momentum, they hit another explosive play. They have a lot of speed, and they can make big plays.” - Brian Schottenheimer after his team’s loss against the Lions in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Minnesota Vikings
WR Jefferson, Justin
WR Addison, Jordan
WR Nailor, Jalen
TE Hockenson, T.J.
QB McCarthy, J.J.
RB Jones Sr, Aaron
FB Ham, C.J.
Dallas Cowboys
WR Pickens, George
WR Lamb, CeeDee
WR Flournoy, Ryan
TE Ferguson, Jake
QB Prescott, Dak
RB Williams, Javonte
FB Luepke, Hunter
Statistical Leaders
Minnesota Vikings
Passing: Carson Wentz (1,216)
Rushing: Jordan Mason (630)
Receiving: Justin Jefferson (810)
Touchdowns: Jordan Mason (6)
Dallas Cowboys
Passing: Dak Prescott (3,637)
Rushing: Javonte Williams (1,022)
Receiving: George Pickens (1,179)
Touchdowns: Javonte Williams (11)
Coaches:
Minnesota Vikings: Kevin O'Connell (4th season)
Dallas Cowboys: Brian Schottenheimer (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
