Minnesota Vikings vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction, Preview and Odds - 11/05/2023

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, November 5, 2023

Venue:  Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Vikings +5, Falcons -5; Over/Under:  37.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Vikings +4.5, Falcons -4.5; Over/Under:  37 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Vikings +4.5, Falcons -4.5; Over/Under:  37.5 points

Minnesota Vikings:  4-4 (2nd place, NFC North)

Atlanta Falcons:  4-4 (1st place, NFC South)

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Minnesota Vikings:  won their last game on the road against the Green Bay Packers 24-10.

Atlanta Falcons:  lost their last game on the road against the Tennessee Titans 28-23.

The Vikings are entering this game with a 4-4 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-3 in their home games, 3-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Green Bay Packers 24-10. Kirk Cousins was the starting QB and he completed 23/31 passes for 274 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Alexander Mattison led the team in rushing yards with 31. K.J. Osborn led the receivers with 99 receiving yards on 8 receptions. Camryn Bynum led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while D.J. Wonnum led the defense in sacks with 2. Josh Metellus came away with the only interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

The Falcons are entering this game with a 4-4 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Tennessee Titans 28-23. Desmond Ridder was the starting QB and he completed 8/12 passes for 71 passing yards before leaving injured and getting replaced by Taylor Heinicke who completed 12/21 passes for 175 yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Bijan Robinson led the team in rushing yards with 62 and 1 TD. KhaDarel Hodge led the receivers with 75 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Kaden Elliss led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Bud Dupree and Arnold Ebiketie each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have the Falcons listed as a 5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Falcons are only 4-4 this season and have been really inconsistent in their games but the 1 place they have been really good and consistent in have been their home games. They are coming off a loss against the Titans who were rolling out Will Levis in his 1st NFL start so they will be looking to bounce back at home and get that taste out of their mouth. The Vikings haven't looked great this season either as they are only 4-4 overall and even though they have looked a lot better in their last few games, now they are without their starting QB Kirk Cousins for the rest of the season. They did acquire Josh Dobbs from the Cardinals in a trade but if he starts there will be a very limited playbook as he still needs to learn the system. The Falcons are in a much better position to win this game and they will be motivated to bounce back at home since they have been so good at home all year and are in the drivers seat of the NFC South right now. The best way to place a bet here is on the Falcons to cover the spread in this game. 

Vikings Falcons Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 5, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Falcons 21 Vikings 13.

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Minnesota Vikings: 8-4 ATS after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 4 straight games. 5-0 ATS after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game. 6-1 UNDER in all games. 5-1 UNDER against conference opponents. 

Atlanta Falcons: 3-8 ATS as a home favorite. 6-14 ATS in home games. 5-14 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 26-16 UNDER in all games. 13-7 UNDER in home games. 13-6 UNDER after playing their last game on the road.

Minnesota Vikings:  K. Cousins (QB) out for season - Achilles. J. Nailor (WR) day-to-day - Hamstring. E. Cleveland (G) day-to-day - Foot. B. Asamoah II (LB) day-to-day - Ankle. M. Davenport (LB) Late Nov - Ankle. J. Jefferson (WR) Late Nov - Hamstring. N. Mullens (QB) Out indefinitely - Back. O. Udoh (G) I-R - Quadricep. J. Lynch (DL) I-R - Knee.

Atlanta Falcons:  D. Ridder (QB) day-to-day - Head. G. Jarrett (DL) out for season - Knee. T. Davis (LB) day-to-day - Concussion. D. London (WR) day-to-day - Groin. J. Ali (WR) Out indefinitely - Ankle. T. Andersen (LB) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. M. Hennessy (OL) I-R - Knee. A. Ogundeji (LB) I-R - Ankle. F. Franks (TE) I-R - Lower Body. E. Greenidge (OL) I-R - Leg. I. Enechukwu (DL) I-R - Undisclosed. A. Williams (RB) I-R - Knee.

“Went out today again as he has for most of the 2023 season and played the quarterback position as well as anybody in our league and just continued to build and build and build.” - Kevin O’Connell on Kirk Cousins after his team’s win against the Packers in their last game. 

"We’re always going to be cautious, and I’ll be conservative.” - Arthur Smith on the injury to Desmond Ridder after his team’s loss against the Titans in their last game. 

WR Osborn, K.J.

WR Addison, Jordan

WR Powell, Brandon  

TE Hockenson, T.J. 

QB COUSINS, KIRK 

RB Mattison, Alexander 

FB HAM, C.J.

WR London, Drake 

WR Jefferson, Van 

TE Pitts, Kyle

TE Smith, Jonnu 

QB HEINICKE, TAYLOR  

RB Robinson, Bijan 

FB SMITH, KEITH

Passing: K. Cousins (2331)

Rushing: A. Mattison (390)

Receiving: J. Jefferson (571)

Touchdowns: J. Addison (7)

Passing: D. Ridder (1701)

Rushing: B. Robinson (466)

Receiving: D. London (438)

Touchdowns: D. Ridder (3)

Coaches:

Minnesota Vikings: Kevin O'Connell (2nd season)

Atlanta Falcons: Arthur Smith (3rd season)