Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/05/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Saturday, Jun 04, 2022
Game Time: 1:37 pm ET, Sunday, June 5, 2022
Venue:  Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Where to Watch:  SNET

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +155, Blue Jays -180; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +155, Blue Jays -180; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +155, Blue Jays -180; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
 

Season Record

Minnesota Twins:  31-23 (1st place, AL Central)
Toronto Blue Jays:  30-21 (3rd place, AL East)
 
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Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Minnesota Twins:  4-6 last 10
Toronto Blue Jays:  8-2 last 10
 
 
 

Minnesota Twins Analysis

The Twins are coming into this game with a 31-23 record overall and they are 14-12 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 3 of their last 4 games but are coming into this one off of a win in their last game which snapped a 3 game losing streak that they were on. They just lost their 5-game series against the Detroit Tigers 4-1 and they are playing the series finale of a 3-game series with the Blue Jays on Sunday. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Sunday with the 2nd game still to be played on Saturday. Dylan Bundy is the starting pitcher for them on Saturday while Devin Smeltzer is on the mound for them here on Sunday. He is 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him starting. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 0 HRs, and 0 BB with 4 Ks on 6 hits in 6.2 IP against the Detroit Tigers. They scored 15 runs in their last series averaging 3 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 21 runs against them averaging just over 4 runs allowed per game.
 

Toronto Blue Jays Analysis

The Blue Jays are coming into this game with a 30-21 record overall and they are 17-9 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 8 of their last 9 games but are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which snapped an 8 game winning streak that they were on. They just won their 3-game series against the Chicago White Sox 3-0 completing the sweep and they are playing the series finale of a 3-game series with the Twins on Sunday. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Sunday with the 2nd game still to be played on Saturday. José Berríos is the starting pitcher for them on Saturday while Kevin Gausman will be on the mound for them here on Sunday. He is 5-3 with a 2.51 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 1 homer, and 1 BB with 5 strikeouts on 6 hits in 5 innings played against the Chicago White Sox. They scored 21 runs in their last series averaging 7 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 11 runs against them averaging just under 4 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Twins vs Blue Jays Prediction

The Blue Jays are coming into this game as big favorites with the current betting odds. They have been playing very well recently as they have been on a very long win streak coming into this series, but that was snapped in the series opener. The Jays will be hungry to bounce back here with a win though and they have been hitting the ball very well. Smeltzer is on the mound for the Twins and he has been great all season but this will also be one of the best lineups he has seen all season and he will likely get touched in this game. The Twins have already been struggling on the road recently as they have lost a lot of games coming into this series but they have also had to leave some players behind when traveling to Canada for this series. Their lineup is already thin and they are going to be facing Gausman for the Jays in this game who has been pitching great all season. The Jays have a big advantage in this game with both their hitting and their pitching, they should win this game with no problems. The best bet here is on the Blue Jays to win this game.
 
Twins Blue Jays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, June 5, 2022 (1:37 pm ET start time) is Blue Jays 5 Twins 1.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Minnesota Twins: 140-137 (-18.5 Units) ML in all games. 40-46 (-20.1 Units) ML when the total is 8 to 8.5. 11-7 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5.
Toronto Blue Jays: 30-11 (+11.2 Units) ML as a home favorite of -150 to -200. 10-4 UNDER at home when the total is 8 to 8.5. 8-1 UNDER against left-handed starters.
 

Key Injuries

 
Minnesota Twins:  M. Sano (3B) Out indefinitely - Knee. J. Winder (SP) Mid June - Shoulder. C. Correa (SS) Out indefinitely - Illness.
Toronto Blue Jays:  M. Chapman (3B) Ques Sat - Upper Body. N. Pearson (SP) Mid June - Illness. T. Mayza (RP) Mid June - Forearm.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"We really came alive. Our guys just didn't stop and it was great to see." - Rocco Baldelli after his team’s win against the Blue Jays on Friday.
 
 
"Today was the first time that everybody struggled. The pitching struggled, we didn't really hit, and that's why we lost the game." - Charlie Montoyo after his team’s loss against the Twins on Friday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Minnesota Twins
Luis Arraez (L) 1B
Byron Buxton (R) DH
Jorge Polanco (S) 2B
Trevor Larnach (L) RF
Jose Miranda (R) 3B
Nick Gordon (L) LF
Mark Contreras (L) CF
Ryan Jeffers (R) C
Jermaine Palacios (R) SS
 
Toronto Blue Jays
George Springer (R) CF
Bo Bichette (R) SS
Vladimir Guerrero (R) DH
Teoscar Hernandez (R) RF
Alejandro Kirk (R) C
Santiago Espinal (R) 2B
Matt Chapman (R) 3B
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R) LF
Cavan Biggio (L) 1B
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Minnesota Twins
Batting Average:  Luis Arraez (.342)
Hits:  Luis Arraez (53)
Home Runs:  Byron Buxton (12)
RBI:  Jorge Polanco (26)
Stolen Bases:  Jorge Polanco (3)
Wins:  Joe Ryan (5)
Saves:  Emilio Pagan (7)
ERA:  Jovani Moran (0.00)
 
Toronto Blue Jays
Batting Average:  Alejandro Kirk (.301)
Hits:  Bo Bichette (54)
Home Runs:  Vladimir Guerrero (11)
RBI:  George Springer (27)
Stolen Bases:  Bo Bichette (4)
Wins:  Adam Cimber (6)
Saves:  Jordan Romano (16)
ERA:  Bowden Francis (0.00)
 
Managers:
Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (4th season)
Toronto Blue Jays: Charlie Montoyo (4th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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