Game Time: 1:07 pm ET, Sunday, September 19, 2021
Venue: Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Where to Watch: Sportsnet
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Twins +190, Blue Jays -235; Over/Under: 9 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Twins +195, Blue Jays -235; Over/Under: 9 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Twins +185, Blue Jays -225; Over/Under: 9 runs
Season Record
Minnesota Twins: 65-83 (5th place, AL Central)
Toronto Blue Jays: 82-65 (4th place, AL East)
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Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Minnesota Twins: 4-6 last 10
Toronto Blue Jays: 7-3 last 10
Minnesota Twins Analysis
The Twins are coming into this MLB game after winning the series opener against the Jays on Friday night. The second game of this series is still to be played on Saturday, that result is pending. The Twins have now won 2 of their last 3 games after going into a little slump in their series against the Cleveland Indians. The Twins will be giving Bailey Ober the nod for Saturday's game while there is no starting pitcher scheduled on the mound for this game on Sunday. It could possibly be a bullpen day for the Twins here. They beat Toronto in the first game of this series 7-3 in a game where Hyun Jin Ryu just did not look right, putting the Jays into a hole early in the game. They have won 2 of their last 3 games but those 2 are also their only 2 wins in their last 6 games. The Twins are out of playoff contention here and all they have to play for is to spoil the Jays' chances of getting in. Their offense has scored 17 runs in their last 4 games averaging a little over 4 runs scored per game in that span. They have allowed their opponents to score 21 runs against them in that same span allowing just over 5 runs per game.
Toronto Blue Jays Analysis
The Blue Jays are coming into this contest after losing the first game of this three-game series and have now lost 2 of their last 3 games after going on a huge run where they won 13 of 14 games. Steven Matz will be the starter on Saturday while Jose Berrios will be throwing the first pitch in this game on Sunday. He is 11-8 with a 3.43 ERA this season. The Jays have won 3 of their last 4 games when he has started and this will be his first time pitching against his old team. In his last start, he allowed 1 ER, it being a HR, and 0 BB with 4 strikeouts on 4 hits through 7 IP against the Tampa Bay Rays last Tuesday. Their offense has scored 17 runs in their last 4 games averaging just over 4 runs scored per game in that span. They have allowed their opponents to score 13 runs against them in that same span allowing jiust over 3 runs per game.
Twins vs Blue Jays Prediction
Every game is a must win for this Jays team until the regular season is over. They are in a tight AL wild-card race with the Boston Red Sox, New York Yankees, and Oakland Athletic for the last wildcard spots in the AL with the Seattle Mariners also still kicking around in that race. They have been playing incredibly in the last couple of weeks and although they have cooled off a bit, they are still the better team and should come away with the win in this game.
Twins Blue Jays Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Sunday, September 19, 2021 (1:07 pm ET start time) is Blue Jays 4 Twins 2.
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MLB Betting Trends
Minnesota Twins: 65-84 (-27.6 units) on the moneyline in all games.
Toronto Blue Jays: 25-9 (+7.7 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -175 to -250.
Key Injuries
Minnesota Twins: M. Garver (C) Late Sept - Back injury. A. Simmons (SS) Out indefinitely - Personal. J. Ryan (SP) Ques Tues - Wrist injury.
Toronto Blue Jays: J. Berrios (SP) Prob Sun - Abdominal injury. A. Kay (RP) Out indefinitely - Illness. C. Biggio (2B) Out indefinitely - Elbow injury.
Players to Watch
Minnesota Twins: Jorge Polanco is one player to watch here. He leads his team in hits, homers, RBI, and stolen bases. He hit a home run on Friday to help his team win and he will be looking to carry over that momentum all series.
Toronto Blue Jays: Bo Bichette is one player to watch here. He leads his team in stolen bases and has been hitting well in recent games. Look for him to get on base here and get into scoring position to help his team make the postseason.
Notable Quotes
"When we score, we tend to score in bunches, and we were able to do that again tonight." - Josh Donaldson on hurting the Jays’ chances at making it to the postseason.
"When it comes to Ryu, it's all about his command. When he's really good, he commands all his pitches. Right now, he's having a struggle with his command, so he's leaving a lot of pitches over the heart of the plate." - Charlie Montoyo on the performance of Ryu in Friday’s game.
Starting Lineups
Minnesota Twins
B. Buxton CF
J. Polanco SS
J. Donaldson 3B
M. Sano 1B
R. Refsnyder LF
L. Arraez 2B
B. Rooker DH
M. Kepler RF
R. Jeffers C
Toronto Blue Jays
G. Springer DH
M. Semien 2B
V. Guerrero Jr. 1B
B. Bichette SS
T. Hernandez RF
C. Dickerson CF
L. Gurriel Jr. LF
D. Jansen C
J. Lamb 3B
Statistical Leaders
Minnesota Twins
Batting Average: L. Arraez (.285)
Hits: Jorge Polanco (150)
Home Runs: Jorge Polanco (31)
RBI: Jorge Polanco (90)
Stolen Bases: Jorge Polanco (10)
Wins: M. Pineda (7)
Saves: A. Colome (14)
ERA: Luke Farrell (1.31)
Toronto Blue Jays
Batting Average: V. Guerrero Jr. (.318)
Hits: V. Guerrero Jr. (174)
Home Runs: V. Guerrero Jr. (46)
RBI: V. Guerrero Jr. (104)
Stolen Bases: B. Bichette (22)
Wins: H. Ryu (13)
Saves: J. Romano (18)
ERA: D. Phelps (0.87)
Managers:
Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (3rd season)
Toronto Blue Jays: Charlie Montoyo (3rd season)
Weather Forecast
67 degrees F sunny, 63% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 8 mph wind speeds NW.