Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/18/2023

Game Time: 9:40 pm ET, Tuesday, July 18, 2023

Venue:  T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA

Where to Watch:  MLB Network

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +105, Mariners -125; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +105, Mariners -125; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +105, Mariners -125; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Minnesota Twins:  48-46 (1st place, AL Central)

Seattle Mariners:  46-46 (4th place, AL West)

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Minnesota Twins:  6-4 last 10

Seattle Mariners:  6-4 last 10

The Twins are entering this series on a 3 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Oakland Athletics in their last series. They enter this game with a 48-46 record overall and have a road record of 22-24. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Mariners on Tuesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 21st in the MLB with a .714 OPS. Sonny Gray is their starting pitcher on Monday while Bailey Ober is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 5-4 with a 2.61 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 3 BB with 5 Ks on 4 hits through 6 IP against the Baltimore Orioles.

The Mariners are entering this series off of a win but lost their 3-game series against the Detroit Tigers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 46-46 record overall and have a home record of 25-22. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Twins on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 23rd in the MLB with a .699 OPS. Logan Gilbert is their starting pitcher on Monday while rookie pitcher Bryan Woo is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 1-1 with a 3.63 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 4 strikeouts on 3 hits through 6 innings played against the Houston Astros.

The current betting odds have the Twins listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Twins haven't been great this season as they are just barely over .500 on the year and have been struggling to stay above .500, but they still have the lead of the AL Central and will be looking to hold onto it. The Mariners have been struggling all season as a team, they were starting to get hot going into the All-Star break but they have cooled off once again, playing really poorly since coming back from the break as they lost their home series to the Tigers. Their offense has also been struggling all season and even though they have Woo starting who has been a solid starter for them this season, he still hasn't been great in every start and is only in his rookie season as he is still trying to figure things out. The Twins have been playing a lot better since coming out of the break and their offense put up a ton of runs in their series over the weekend which was on the road. They are going to carry that momentum into this series and will be able to put up runs on Woo in this game. Meanwhile, the Twins have Ober starting here and he has been lights out in a majority of his starts this season. Ober hasn't been giving up many runs lately and he will not give up many runs when the Mariners offense has been so bad all year and was also terrible in their series over the weekend. The best way to place a bet here is on the Twins to win this game.

Twins Mariners Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, July 18, 2023 (9:40 pm ET start time) is Twins 3 Mariners 0.

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Minnesota Twins: 48-46 (-8.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 7-18 (-9.8 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 to +150. 70-44 OVER as a road underdog of +100 or higher. 13-6 OVER on the road when the total is 7 or less.

Seattle Mariners: 79-44 (+23.8 units) on the moneyline when the money line is -100 to -150. 187-155 (+22.1 units) on the moneyline when the total is 7 to 8.5. 8-3 OVER at home when the total is 7 or less. BRYAN WOO is 4-2 OVER when the total is 7 to 8.5.

Minnesota Twins:  J. Miranda (3B) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. B. Stewart (RP) Late July - Elbow. J. Polanco (SS) Late July - Hamstring. R. Lewis (SS) Mid Aug - Oblique. C. Thielbar (RP) Late July - Oblique. J. Alcala (RP) Late July - Forearm. J. De Leon (RP) out for season - Elbow. N. Gordon (2B) Out indefinitely - Shin. T. Mahle (SP) out for season - Elbow. C. Paddack (SP) Early Sept - Elbow.

Seattle Mariners:  M. Gonzales (SP) Late July - Forearm. P. Murfee (SP) out for season - Elbow. R. Ray (SP) out for season - Forearm. E. McGee (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. White (1B) Mid Aug - Thigh.

“We’re not a one-dimensional group but we have to prove that we’re not a one-dimensional group. Showing it in these three games, that’s what we saw. Our hitters plugged away, took a lot of tough pitches. We were on base a lot this series. We did a little bit of everything. It's a nice way to start the second half, is what it is.” - Rocco Baldelli after his team’s win against the A’s in their game on Sunday.

“We needed to win the ballgame today. Again offensively, it was not pretty today by any means.” - Scott Servais after his team’s win against the Tigers in their game on Sunday.

Carlos Correa (R) SS

Donovan Solano (R) 2B

Byron Buxton (R) DH

Kyle Farmer (R) 3B

Willi Castro (S) LF

Max Kepler (L) RF

Christian Vazquez (R) C

Michael A. Taylor (R) CF

Alex Kirilloff (L) 1B

J.P. Crawford (L) SS

Julio Rodriguez (R) CF

Teoscar Hernandez (R) RF

Jarred Kelenic (L) LF

Eugenio Suarez (R) 3B

Cal Raleigh (S) C

Ty France (R) 1B

Mike Ford (L) DH

Kolten Wong (L) 2B

Batting Average:  Matt Wallner (.368)

Hits:  Carlos Correa (74)

Home Runs:  Joey Gallo (16)

RBI:  Carlos Correa (40)

Stolen Bases:  Willi Castro (20)

Wins:  Joe Ryan (8)

Saves:  Jhoan Duran (15)

ERA:  Brock Stewart (0.70)

Batting Average:  Tom Murphy (.273)

Hits:  Julio Rodriguez (94)

Home Runs:  Teoscar Hernandez (15)

RBI:  Eugenio Suarez (52)

Stolen Bases:  Julio Rodriguez (22)

Wins:  George Kirby (8)

Saves:  Paul Sewald (18)

ERA:  Easton McGee (0.00)

Managers:

Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (5th season)

Seattle Mariners: Scott Servais (8th season)