Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/17/2023

Game Time: 9:40 pm ET, Monday, July 17, 2023

Venue:  T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA

Where to Watch:  Fox Sports 1

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +115, Mariners -135; Over/Under:  7 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +115, Mariners -135; Over/Under:  7 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +115, Mariners -135; Over/Under:  7 runs

Minnesota Twins:  47-46 (1st place, AL Central)

Seattle Mariners:  45-46 (4th place, AL West)

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Minnesota Twins:  6-4 last 10

Seattle Mariners:  6-4 last 10

The Twins entered their last series on a 3 game losing streak and got swept 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Orioles. They enter this game with a 47-46 record overall and have a road record of 21-24. This is the series opener of a 4-game series with the Mariners on Monday with the series finale of their series against the Oakland Athletics still to be played on Sunday. They also won the series opener and the 2nd game of that series on Friday and Saturday. Their offense ranks 21st in the MLB with a .714 OPS. Joe Ryan is their starting pitcher on Sunday while Sonny Gray is making his start in this game on Monday. He is 4-3 with a 2.89 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 6 ER, 0 HR, and 3 BB with 5 Ks on 6 hits through 6 IP against the Baltimore Orioles.

The Mariners entered their last series off of a win and won their 4-game series against the Houston Astros 3-1. They enter this game with a 45-46 record overall and have a home record of 24-22. This is the 1st game of a 4-game series with the Twins on Monday with the 3rd game of their series against the Detroit Tigers still to be played on Sunday. They also lost the 1st game and the 2nd game of that series on Friday and Saturday. Their offense ranks 23rd in the MLB with a .699 OPS. Rookie pitcher Bryce Miller is their starting pitcher on Sunday while Logan Gilbert is making his start in this game on Monday. He is 7-5 with a 3.66 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 1 homer, and 0 BB with 6 strikeouts on 3 hits through 7 innings played against the Houston Astros.

The current betting odds have the Mariners listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mariners haven't been having a good season as they have spent most of it under .500 but they have been playing a lot better in their games lately and have a chance to go on a run now as they need to try and get themselves into a playoff position. The Twins haven't been any better this season as they are just barely over .500 on the season but do have the lead of their division just barely. Neither of these teams have had good offenses this season so the pitching matchup is going to be important here and the Mariners definitely have the edge in that department being at home here. They have Gilbert on the mound and Gilbert has been a solid starter for them over the last few seasons. He hasn't been giving up many runs in his starts over the last 2 years and he has been even better in his home starts. He will have no problem shutting down this weak Twins offense that hasn't been putting up a ton of runs all year, especially when the Twins have been a worse road team too. The Twins also have Gray starting in this game and he has been coughing up a lot of runs in his starts lately, giving up 6 runs in his last start too. The Mariners offense hasn't been great this season but they have been a lot better in their games lately and they will use this home series to try and gain some momentum to put them on a run. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mariners to win this game.

Twins Mariners Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Monday, July 17, 2023 (9:40 pm ET start time) is Mariners 4 Twins 1.

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Minnesota Twins: 47-46 (-9.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 7-18 (-9.8 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 to +150. 20-9 UNDER as an underdog of +100 or higher. 16-9 UNDER as a road underdog of +100 or higher.

Seattle Mariners: 79-44 (+23.8 units) on the moneyline when the money line is -100 to -150. 186-155 (+21.1 units) on the moneyline when the total is 7 to 8.5. LOGAN GILBERT is 15-4 UNDER at home when the total is 7 to 7.5 and 11-4 UNDER against AL Central opponents.

Minnesota Twins:  J. Miranda (3B) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. B. Stewart (RP) Late July - Elbow. J. Polanco (SS) Late July - Hamstring. R. Lewis (SS) Out indefinitely - Oblique. C. Thielbar (RP) Late July - Oblique. J. Alcala (RP) Late July - Forearm. J. De Leon (RP) out for season - Elbow. N. Gordon (2B) Out indefinitely - Shin. T. Mahle (SP) out for season - Elbow. C. Paddack (SP) Early Sept - Elbow.

Seattle Mariners:  B. Miller (SP) Prob Sun - Finger. M. Gonzales (SP) Late July - Forearm. P. Murfee (SP) out for season - Elbow. R. Ray (SP) out for season - Forearm. E. McGee (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. White (1B) Mid Aug - Thigh.

“When you see the number of different innings where we put runs on the board, and you look at the scoreboard, you say that’s a job well done by the offense. It wasn’t an easy game for us to get through for a lot of reasons. But we stayed in it, and by the seventh inning we tacked another run on, then another run on. I was really pleased with the at-bats one through nine and all nine innings.” - Rocco Baldelli after his team’s win against the A’s in their game on Saturday.

“We’re not swinging the bat. It’s as simple as that. You’ve got to have more competitive at-bats, and we just got nothing going tonight.” - Scott Servais after his team’s loss against the Tigers in their game on Saturday.

Carlos Correa (R) SS

Donovan Solano (R) 1B

Byron Buxton (R) DH

Max Kepler (L) RF

Kyle Farmer (R) 2B

Willi Castro (S) 3B

Ryan Jeffers (R) C

Michael A. Taylor (R) CF

Joey Gallo (L) LF

J.P. Crawford (L) SS

Julio Rodriguez (R) CF

Ty France (R) 1B

Teoscar Hernandez (R) RF

Jarred Kelenic (L) LF

Eugenio Suarez (R) 3B

Cal Raleigh (S) C

Mike Ford (L) DH

Kolten Wong (L) 2B

Batting Average:  Matt Wallner (.368)

Hits:  Carlos Correa (74)

Home Runs:  Joey Gallo (16)

RBI:  Carlos Correa (40)

Stolen Bases:  Willi Castro (20)

Wins:  Joe Ryan (8)

Saves:  Jhoan Duran (14)

ERA:  Brock Stewart (0.70)

Batting Average:  Mike Ford (.276)

Hits:  Julio Rodriguez (93)

Home Runs:  Teoscar Hernandez (15)

RBI:  Eugenio Suarez (52)

Stolen Bases:  Julio Rodriguez (22)

Wins:  George Kirby (8)

Saves:  Paul Sewald (17)

ERA:  Easton McGee (0.00)

Managers:

Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (5th season)

Seattle Mariners: Scott Servais (8th season)