Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/31/2025

Game Time: 7:15 pm ET, Saturday, May 31, 2025

Venue:  T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -110, Mariners -110; Over/Under:  7 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -110, Mariners -110; Over/Under:  7 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -110, Mariners -110; Over/Under:  7 runs

Minnesota Twins:  30-25 (3rd place, AL Central)

Seattle Mariners:  30-25 (1st place, AL West)

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Minnesota Twins:  5-5 last 10

Seattle Mariners:  4-6 last 10

The Twins are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 30-25 record overall and have a road record of 12-17. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Mariners on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 24th in the MLB with a .680 OPS. Zebby Matthews is their starting pitcher on Friday while Bailey Ober is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 4-1 with a 3.41 ERA this season. His team won 7 of their last 8 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 3 Ks on 7 hits through 6.2 IP against the Kansas City Royals.

The Mariners are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Washington Nationals 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 30-25 record overall and have a home record of 14-13. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Twins on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .718 OPS. Bryan Woo is their starting pitcher on Friday while Bryce Miller is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 2-4 with a 5.22 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 7 earned runs, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 3 strikeouts on 8 hits through 5 innings played against the Toronto Blue Jays.

The current betting odds have the Twins listed as a pick ‘em in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mariners have looked good in their games this season with their 30-25 record overall which has them right at the top of the AL West. They haven't looked as good in their own ballpark this year, but they still have a 14-13 home record so far. Meanwhile, the Twins have looked good in their games this season with their 30-25 record overall which has them right in the middle of the AL Central. They haven't been a great road team though with their 12-17 road record. Both of these teams haven't looked great in their games lately as the Twins are 5-5 in their last 10 games while the Mariners are 4-6, but the Twins definitely have a good pitching matchup that they can take advantage of in this one. Ober is on the mound for the Twins and he has looked great all season. He is 4-1 with a 3.41 ERA and hasn't been giving up many runs in any of his starts lately. He only gave up 1 earned run in his last start, and the Twins have had a ton of success with him on the mound as they have won 7 of their last 8 games with him starting. The Mariners are going with Miller in this one and he hasn't looked great this season. He is 2-4 with a 5.22 ERA and is coming off a terrible start. He gave up 7 earned runs in 5 innings in his last start and the team has lost 2 games in a row with him starting now. The Mariners didn't look great in their last series against the Nationals either so the Twins can definitely take advantage of them with the way they have been pitching lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Twins to win this game. 

Twins Mariners Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, May 31, 2025 (7:15 pm ET start time) is Twins 6 Mariners 3.

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Minnesota Twins: 49-25 (+19.8 units) on the moneyline against AL West opponents. 110-74 (+12.8 units) on the moneyline vs. a team slugging percentage .410 or worse on the season  (AL). 32-22 (+6.6 units) on the moneyline vs. a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start. 43-28 OVER against AL West opponents. 

Seattle Mariners: 37-34 (-7.4 units) on the moneyline against AL Central opponents. 202-176 (-12.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 144-128 (-10.2 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 30-20 OVER vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better.

Minnesota Twins:  D. Coulombe (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Forearm. L. Keaschall (2B) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. B. Buxton (CF) Seven Day IL - Head. M. Tonkin (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. M. Wallner (RF) Ten Day IL - Hamstring.

Seattle Mariners:  B. Miller (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. T. Thornton (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Stomach. L. Raley (RF) Ten Day IL - Side. G. Santos (RP) Sixty Day IL - Knee. L. Gilbert (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Forearm. V. Robles (RF) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. R. Bliss (2B) Sixty Day IL - Biceps.

“There will be better days than we just experienced out there. If we have the same offensive game the next time we step on the field, we’re going to score a few runs. There is no way we’re going to hit line drives and not score runs.” - Rocco Baldelli after his team’s loss against the Rays in their game on Wednesday.

“I don't know if that's the plan, but I think after one more, I should be feeling ready to go.” - Logan Gilbert on his rehab coming back from an injury.

Trevor Larnach (L) LF

Ryan Jeffers (R) DH

Carlos Correa (R) SS

Brooks Lee (S) 2B

Ty France (R) 1B

Kody Clemens (L) RF

Royce Lewis (R) 3B

Christian Vázquez (R) C

DaShawn Keirsey Jr. (L) CF

J.P. Crawford (L) SS

Julio Rodríguez (R) CF

Cal Raleigh (S) C

Randy Arozarena (R) LF

Dylan Moore (R) 2B

Donovan Solano (R) 1B

Jorge Polanco (S) DH

Leody Taveras (S) RF

Ben Williamson (R) 3B

Batting Average:  Luke Keaschall (.368)

Hits:  Ty France (49)

Home Runs:  Byron Buxton (10)

RBI:  Ty France (30)

Stolen Bases:  Byron Buxton (8)

Wins:  Joe Ryan (5)

Saves:  Jhoan Duran (9)

ERA:  Danny Coulombe (0.00)

Batting Average:  Leo Rivas (.283)

Hits:  Julio Rodríguez (52)

Home Runs:  Cal Raleigh (19)

RBI:  Cal Raleigh (37)

Stolen Bases:  Randy Arozarena (9)

Wins:  Bryan Woo (5)

Saves:  Andrés Muñoz (17)

ERA:  Andrés Muñoz (0.00)

Managers:

Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (7th season)

Seattle Mariners: Dan Wilson (2nd season)