Minnesota Twins vs San Francisco Giants Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/12/2024

Game Time: 10:15 pm ET, Friday, July 12, 2024

Venue:  Oracle Park, San Francisco, CA

Where to Watch:  BSN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -135, Giants +114; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -135, Giants +115; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -135, Giants +115; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Minnesota Twins:  53-40 (2nd place, AL Central)

San Francisco Giants:  45-48 (4th place, NL West)

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Minnesota Twins:  7-3 last 10

San Francisco Giants:  5-5 last 10

The Twins are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Chicago White Sox 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 53-40 record overall and have a road record of 26-22. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Giants on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .756 OPS. Pablo López was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Joe Ryan is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 6-5 with a 3.29 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 8 Ks on 5 hits through 5.2 IP against the Houston Astros.

The Giants lost their 3-game series against the Cleveland Guardians 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 45-48 record overall and have a home record of 26-20. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Twins on Friday with the series finale of their series against the Toronto Blue Jays still to be played on Thursday. The Giants won the series opener of that series on Tuesday and lost the 2nd game on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 15th in the MLB with a .705 OPS. Jordan Hicks is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Kyle Harrison is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 4-4 with a 4.24 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 1 homer, and 4 BB with 2 strikeouts on 4 hits through 3.1 innings played against the Cleveland Guardians.

The current betting odds have the Twins listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Twins have looked good in their games this season with their 53-40 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AL Central, trailing right behind the Guardians in 1st place. They are 26-22 in their road games this season. Meanwhile, the Giants haven't looked great in their games this season with their 45-48 record overall which has them out of the playoff race. They have looked better in their home games though, going 26-20 in their home games this year. The Giants are still finishing off a series against the Blue Jays on Thursday while the Twins are getting some rest with the day off, and the pitching matchup in this one is more favorable for the Twins. The Twins will have Ryan on the mound in this one and he is 6-5 with a 3.29 ERA. He hasn't given up many runs all season and he has looked great in his starts lately. He gave up 3 earned runs in his last start and his team has won 2 games in a row with him starting, finding a lot of success with him on the mound. The Twins also have an offense that has been climbing the MLB lately since they have been putting up a ton of runs over the last 2 weeks, and that isn't going to help the Giants out with Harrison on the mound. He is 4-4 with a 4.24 ERA and hasn't looked great in his starts lately. He gave up 4 earned runs in his last start and his team has lost 3 of their last 4 games with him starting too. The Twins have the better offense that has been producing runs lately along with the better pitching matchup, and they have been the hotter team with their 7-3 record in their last 10 games. The best way to place a bet here is on the Twins to win this game. 

Twins Giants Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, July 12, 2024 (10:15 pm ET start time) is Twins 7 Giants 3.

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Minnesota Twins: 47-28 (+10 units) on the moneyline in their last 75 games. 11-6 (+7.95 units) on the runline in their last 17 games. 18-9 to the over in their last 27 games. 

San Francisco Giants: 43-48 (-9.70 units) on the moneyline in their last 91 games. 17-21 (-7.40 units) on the runline in their last 38 games. 34-20 to the over in their last 54 games. 

Minnesota Twins:  A. Martin (LF) Out indefinitely - Oblique. B. Stewart (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. R. Lewis (3B) Out indefinitely - Groin. Z. Weiss (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. J. Topa (RP) Out indefinitely - Knee. D. Duarte (RP) out for season - Elbow. A. DeSclafani (SP) out for season - Elbow.

San Francisco Giants:  W. Flores (1B) Prob Thurs - Knee. J. Soler (DH) Out indefinitely - Illness. K. Winn (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. Lee (CF) out of season - Shoulder. T. Murphy (C) Mid June - Knee. T. Beck (SP) Late July - Arm. A. Cobb (SP) Late May - Hip. A. Warren (RP) Mid July - Elbow. E. Small (SP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. R. Ray (SP) Mid July - Elbow.

“We have a lot of great hitters who get it done on a daily basis. I feel like it’s a different guy everyday hitting a home run.” - Carlos Correa after their double-header against the White Sox on Wednesday.

“This is the one real blip, this game, in his first half. Look, they’re going to happen sometimes. But proud of the fact that he's an All-Star.” - Bob Melvin after his team’s loss against the Blue Jays in their game on Wednesday.

B Lee (S) 3B

C Correa (R) SS

M Kepler (L) RF

J Miranda (R) DH

B Buxton (R) CF

M Wallner (L) LF

R Jeffers (R) C

C Santana (S) 1B

K Farmer (R) 2B

L Wade Jr. (L) 1B

H Ramos (R) CF

P Bailey (S) DH

M Chapman (R) 3B

M Conforto (L) LF

T Estrada (R) 2B

M Yastrzemski (L) RF

B Wisely (L) SS

C Casali (R) C

Batting Average:  Brooks Lee (.364)

Hits:  Willi Castro (88)

Home Runs:  Ryan Jeffers (14)

RBI:  Ryan Jeffers (47)

Stolen Bases:  Willi Castro (10)

Wins:  Pablo López (8)

Saves:  Jhoan Duran (14)

ERA:  Josh Staumont (0.00)

Batting Average:  Marco Luciano (.375)

Hits:  Matt Chapman (83)

Home Runs:  Matt Chapman (13)

RBI:  Matt Chapman (43)

Stolen Bases:  Matt Chapman (8)

Wins:  Logan Webb (7)

Saves:  Camilo Doval (17)

ERA:  Taylor Rogers (1.98)

Managers:

Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (6th season)

San Francisco Giants: Bob Melvin (1st season)