by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Jun 05, 2024
Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Thursday, June 6, 2024
Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Where to Watch: BSN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Twins +120, Yankees -142; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Twins +120, Yankees -145; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Twins +120, Yankees -145; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Season Record
Minnesota Twins: 33-27 (3rd place, AL Central)
New York Yankees: 43-19 (1st place, AL East)
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Recent Form
Minnesota Twins: 6-4 last 10
New York Yankees: 8-2 last 10
Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees Preview and Analysis
The Twins are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Houston Astros 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 33-27 record overall and have a road record of 17-14. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. The Twins lost the series opener of this series on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 14th in the MLB with a .694 OPS. Chris Paddack is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Pablo López is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 5-5 with a 4.84 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 6 Ks on 6 hits through 7 IP against the Houston Astros.
The Yankees are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 3-game series against the San Francisco Giants 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 43-19 record overall and have a home record of 19-8. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Twins on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. The Yankees won the 1st game of this series on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .774 OPS. Carlos Rodón is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Marcus Stroman is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 5-2 with a 2.73 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 2 strikeouts on 6 hits through 7.1 innings played against the San Francisco Giants.
Twins vs Yankees Prediction
The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees have looked great in their games this season with their 43-19 record overall which leads the AL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have also looked great in their ballpark with their 19-8 home record and they have been really hot in their games lately too. Meanwhile, the Twins have looked good in their games this season with their 33-27 record overall, but that record only has them in 3rd place of the AL Central, behind the Royals and the Guardians. The Twins have also struggled against the Yankees over the years and it doesn't help that they have Lopez starting in this game. Lopez is coming off a good start in his last one, but he is still 5-5 with a 4.84 ERA and has been giving up quite a few runs in a lot of his starts this season. That isn't going to be good against this Yankees lineup that has one of the best offenses in the MLB too. The Yankees have also looked great with their pitching lately and they have another stud on the mound here with Stroman starting in this game. He is 5-2 with a 2.73 ERA as he hasn't been giving up many runs in his starts, and he is coming off another good start in his last one as he only gave up 2 earned runs. The Twins have been up and down lately while the Yankees have been on a roll and they are going to stay hot at home with this pitching matchup. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game and on the runline.
Twins Yankees Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Thursday, June 6, 2024 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Yankees 4 Twins 0.
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MLB Betting Trends
Minnesota Twins: 201-189 (-21.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 48-88 (-26.7 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 90-105 (-18.4 units) on the moneyline in road games. 15-5 UNDER as an underdog of +100 or higher. 9-4 UNDER against AL East opponents. 21-9 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5.
New York Yankees: 43-19 (+17.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 32-13 (+11 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 12-1 (+11.1 units) on the moneyline against AL Central opponents. MARCUS STROMAN is 8-4 UNDER in all games, 5-1 UNDER as a home favorite of -110 or higher, and 5-1 UNDER at home when the total is 7 to 8.5.
Key Injuries
Minnesota Twins: B. Lee (SS) Ques Thurs - Back. C. Culpepper (SP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. D. De Andrade (SS) Out indefinitely - Ankle. D. Duarte (RP) out for season - Elbow. B. Stewart (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. Z. Weiss (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. A. DeSclafani (SP) out for season - Elbow. J. Topa (RP) Out indefinitely - Knee.
New York Yankees: C. Schmidt (SP) Mid June - Lower Body. J. Berti (SS) Out indefinitely - Calf. N. Burdi (RP) Mid June - Hip. J. Loaisiga (RP) out for season - Elbow. L. Trivino (RP) Mid July - Elbow. J. Dominguez (CF) Mid July - Elbow. S. Effross (RP) Mid July - Back.
Notable Quotes
“I just had a great focus day. I tend to do that when the lights are a little bit brighter. I like playing here.” - Royce Lewis after their loss against the Yankees in their game on Tuesday.
“It’s just hard to get a hit off him. His stuff really plays. You know, that fastball is real. The hitters show you that every time.” - Aaron Boone after his team’s win against the Twins in their game on Tuesday.
Starting Lineups
Minnesota Twins
Trevor Larnach (L) DH
Carlos Correa (R) SS
Jose Miranda (R) 1B
Max Kepler (L) RF
Royce Lewis (R) 3B
Alex Kirilloff (L) LF
Byron Buxton (R) CF
Willi Castro (S) 2B
Christian Vázquez (R) C
New York Yankees
Anthony Volpe (R) SS
Juan Soto (L) RF
Aaron Judge (R) CF
Alex Verdugo (L) LF
Giancarlo Stanton (R) DH
Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B
Gleyber Torres (R) 2B
Jose Trevino (R) C
DJ LeMahieu (R) 3B
Statistical Leaders
Minnesota Twins
Batting Average: Royce Lewis (1.000)
Hits: Willi Castro (52)
Home Runs: Ryan Jeffers (12)
RBI: Ryan Jeffers (36)
Stolen Bases: Willi Castro (7)
Wins: Pablo López (5)
Saves: Jhoan Duran (10)
ERA: Josh Staumont (0.00)
New York Yankees
Batting Average: Taylor Trammell (1.000)
Hits: Juan Soto (75)
Home Runs: Aaron Judge (21)
RBI: Juan Soto (53)
Stolen Bases: Anthony Volpe (11)
Wins: Luis Gil (8)
Saves: Clay Holmes (17)
ERA: Jonathan Loáisiga (0.00)
Managers:
Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (6th season)
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (7th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
