Minnesota Twins vs New York Mets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/30/2024

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Tuesday, July 30, 2024

Venue:  Citi Field, Queens, NY 

Where to Watch:  SNY

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +120, Mets -142; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +120, Mets -140; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +120, Mets -140; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Minnesota Twins:  58-46 (2nd place, AL Central)

New York Mets:  55-50 (3rd place, NL East)

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Minnesota Twins:  5-5 last 10

New York Mets:  6-4 last 10

The Twins are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Detroit Tigers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 58-46 record overall and have a road record of 29-25. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Mets on Tuesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .751 OPS. Simeon Woods Richardson is their starting pitcher on Monday while rookie pitcher David Festa is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 1-1 with an 8.16 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 7 Ks on 4 hits through 4.1 IP against the Philadelphia Phillies.

The Mets are entering this series off a loss and split their 3-game series against the Atlanta Braves 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 55-50 record overall and have a home record of 28-28. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Twins on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 7th in the MLB with a .741 OPS. Jose Quintana is their starting pitcher on Monday while Sean Manaea is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 6-4 with a 3.74 ERA this season. His team won 5 of their last 6 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 2 homers, and 4 BB with 4 strikeouts on 3 hits through 4.2 innings played against the New York Yankees.

The current betting odds have the Mets listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mets have looked good in their games this season with their 55-50 record overall which has them in 3rd place of the NL East and fighting for a Wild Card spot, right behind the Braves in the division too. They haven't been great in their home games this year with their 28-28 home record though. Meanwhile, the Twins have looked great in their games this season with their 58-46 record overall which has them in 2nd place of the AL Central and fighting for a Wild Card spot. They have looked good in their road games too with their 29-25 road record. As good as they have looked this season, they haven't been the hotter team lately with their 5-5 record in their last 10 games while the Mets are 6-4. They don't have a great pitching matchup here either. The Twins are going with their rookie Festa in this one and he has struggled in his 3 starts this season. He is 1-1 with an 8.16 ERA and is coming off a start in which he gave up 1 earned run, but he did give up 5 earned runs or more in his other 2 starts. The team has won 2 of the 3 games he started in, but he is likely going to regress again after that good start in his last outing since he hasn't pitched that well. The Mets are going to have Manaea starting in this one and he hasn't looked bad this season. He is 6-4 with a 3.74 ERA and hasn't been giving up many runs lately. He only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start and the team has had a ton of success with him starting, winning 5 of the last 6 games he started in. The Mets have been turning their season around and they will be motivated now that they are right on the tail of the Braves in the division. The Mets will take advantage of this pitching match at home with their offense getting hot lately too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mets to win this game.

Twins Mets Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, July 30, 2024 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Mets 6 Twins 4.

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Minnesota Twins: 51-34 (+6.90 units) on the moneyline in their last 85 games. 17-12 (+6.70 units) on the runline in their last 29 games. 28-16 to the over in their last 44 games.

New York Mets: 22-28 (-1.90 units) on the first 5 moneyline in their last 50 home games. 26-31 (-10.05 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 57 home games. 60-37 to the over in their last 97 games. 

Minnesota Twins:  J. Miranda (3B) Ques Mon - Head. K. Funderburk (SP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. C. Paddack (SP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. C. Correa (SS) Out indefinitely - Heel. K. Farmer (2B) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. J. Topa (RP) Out indefinitely - Knee. D. Duarte (RP) out for season - Elbow. A. DeSclafani (SP) out for season - Elbow.

New York Mets:  H. Bader (CF) Que Mon - Ankle. K. Senga (SP) out for season - Shoulder. D. Nunez (SP) Early Aug - Forearm. C. Scott (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. R. Garrett (RP) Late July - Elbow. D. Smith (RP) out of season - Elbow. B. Raley (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. S. Marte (CF) Mid July - Knee. S. Reid-Foley (RP) Mid July - Shoulder. R. Mauricio (SS) out for season - Knee.

“We were talking before the game about what he was going to be capable of doing today, but we got the green light he could start. Then he throws eight scoreless innings with one hit. He was awesome.” - Rocco Baldelli after his team’s win against the Tigers in their game on Sunday.

“That’s a good pitching staff. We created traffic today, especially in the first three innings, but couldn’t get that big hit.” - Carlos Mendoza after his team’s loss against the Braves in their game on Sunday.

W Castro (S) 2B

J Miranda (R) 3B

M Wallner (L) LF

R Jeffers (R) DH

C Santana (S) 1B

M Margot (R) CF

M Kepler (L) RF

B Lee (S) SS

C Vázquez (R) C

F Lindor (S) SS

J Iglesias (R) 2B

B Nimmo (L) DH

P Alonso (R) 1B

M Vientos (R) 3B

J McNeil (L) RF

F Alvarez (R) C

T Taylor (R) CF

B Gamel (L) LF

Batting Average:  Diego A. Castillo (.333)

Hits:  Willi Castro (98)

Home Runs:  Ryan Jeffers (14)

RBI:  Ryan Jeffers (48)

Stolen Bases:  Willi Castro (10)

Wins:  Bailey Ober (10)

Saves:  Jhoan Duran (15)

ERA:  Ronny Henriquez (0.00)

Batting Average:  Jose Iglesias (.342)

Hits:  Francisco Lindor (108)

Home Runs:  Francisco Lindor (22)

RBI:  Brandon Nimmo (63)

Stolen Bases:  Francisco Lindor (21)

Wins:  Reed Garrett (7)

Saves:  Edwin Díaz (12)

ERA:  Brooks Raley (0.00)

Managers:

Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (6th season)

New York Mets: Carlos Mendoza (1st season)