Minnesota Twins vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/07/2026

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Aug 07, 2026
Game Time: 7:40 pm ET, Friday, August 7, 2026
Venue:  American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
Where to Watch:  MLB TV


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +140, Brewers -170; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +140, Brewers -170; Over/Under:  8 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +140, Brewers -170; Over/Under:  8 runs

Season Record

Minnesota Twins:  56-59 (3rd place, AL Central)
Milwaukee Brewers:  72-43 (1st place, NL Central)

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Recent Form
Minnesota Twins:  5-5 last 10
Milwaukee Brewers:  6-4 last 10



Minnesota Twins vs Milwaukee Brewers Preview and Analysis


The Twins lost their 3-game series against the Seattle Mariners 2-1. They enter this game with a 56-59 record overall and have a road record of 26-32. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Friday with the series finale of their series against the Kansas City Royals still to be played on Thursday. The Twins lost the series opener on Tuesday and the 2nd game on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 14th in the MLB with a .721 OPS. Bailey Ober is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Zebby Matthews is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 4-8 with a 5.22 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 10 SO on 4 hits through 5 IP against the Seattle Mariners.

The Brewers are entering this series off a win and won their 4-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 72-43 record overall and have a home record of 39-21. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Twins on Friday. Their offense ranks 7th in the MLB with a .733 OPS. Dustin May was their starting pitcher on Thursday while rookie pitcher Shane Drohan is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 6-4 with a 3.48 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 1 walk with 7 strikeouts on 4 hits through 6 innings pitched against the Los Angeles Angels.


Twins vs Brewers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Brewers listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Brewers have looked great in their games this season with their 72-43 record overall which has them right at the top of the NL Central with the best record in MLB. They have looked great in their own ballpark too with their 39-21 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Twins haven't looked great in their games this season with their 56-59 record overall which has them right in the middle of the AL Central. They haven't been a good road team either with their 26-32 road record this year. The Twins have been making a push to get back to .500 over the last few weeks, but they haven't been able to get there, getting really close at times. They are 5-5 in their last 10 games and their pitching hasn't looked great lately. The Brewers have steadily been one of the best teams in the league all season and they are getting hot again lately, now 6-4 in their last 10 games. The Brewers are going with Drohan in this one and he has looked good this season. He is 6-4 with a 3.48 ERA and he has been having a good rookie year. He is coming off another good start giving up 2 earned runs which has been a common theme for him lately and the team has been having success with him too, winning 2 of their last 3 games with him starting. The Twins are going with Matthews in this one and he hasn't been having a great rookie year. He is 4-8 with a 5.22 ERA and hasn't looked good in road starts this season. The team hasn’t been having a lot of success with him lately, losing 3 of their last 4 games with him starting, and he gave up 3 earned runs in his last start which has been a common theme for him. All signs point to the Brewers at home with the better pitching and the better offense, so look for them to take advantage of this pitching matchup. The best way to place a bet here is on the Brewers to win this game. 

Twins Brewers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, August 7, 2026 (7:40 pm ET start time) is Brewers 6 Twins 2.
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MLB Betting Trends


Minnesota Twins: 16-33 (-23.4 units) on the moneyline against NL Central opponents. 208-231 (-46.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 97-123 (-21.3 units) on the moneyline in road games. 20-12 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 62%).

Milwaukee Brewers: 32-16 (+16.4 units) on the moneyline against AL Central opponents. 265-186 (+50 units) on the moneyline in all games. 140-88 (+21.8 units) on the moneyline in home games. 21-9 UNDER against left-handed starters.

Key Injuries


Minnesota Twins:  M. Paredes (SP) Sixty Day IL - Oblique. C. Sands (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. B. Buxton (CF) Ten Day IL - Hip. A. Banda (RP) Sixty Day IL - Lat. M. Abel (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. D. Festa (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. P. Lopez (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

Milwaukee Brewers:  K. Harrison (SP) Day To Day - Calf. J. Bauers (1B) Day To Day - Abdominal. S. Frelick (RF) Ten Day IL - Shoulder. J. Romero (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Appendix. R. Zastryzny (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. B. Woodruff (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. J. Kuhnel (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder. Q. Priester (SP) Sixty Day IL - Wrist. B. Fitzpatrick (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. A. Zerpa (RP) Sixty Day IL - Forearm.


Notable Quotes


“I wish I had an answer for that. I don’t think our approach has been that bad. But we just, I’m going to say it again, we’ve done a good job all year of figuring out a way to create baserunners. We’re in a stretch now these last two days [where] we’re not.” - Derek Shelton after his team’s loss against the Royals in their game on Wednesday.


“He was cramping pretty good. He felt like between innings it had subsided and he could go out. But he was really good. He was really sharp.” - Pat Murphy on Kyle Harrison after his team’s win against the Pirates in their game on Wednesday.


Starting Lineups


Minnesota Twins
Austin Martin (R) RF
Ryan Jeffers (R) C
Josh Bell (S) DH
Kody Clemens (L) CF
Royce Lewis (R) 2B
Victor Caratini (S) 1B
Brooks Lee (S) 3B
Trevor Larnach (L) LF
Ryan Kreidler (R) SS

Milwaukee Brewers
Brice Turang (L) 2B
Jackson Chourio (R) LF
Garrett Mitchell (L) CF
Andrew Vaughn (R) 1B
Christian Yelich (L) DH
Luis Lara (S) RF
Gary Sánchez (R) C
David Hamilton (L) 3B
Cooper Pratt (R) SS

Statistical Leaders


Minnesota Twins
Batting Average:  Gabriel Gonzalez (.500)
Hits:  Josh Bell (99)
Home Runs:  Byron Buxton (25)
RBI:  Josh Bell (64)
Stolen Bases:  Luke Keaschall (13)
Wins:  Taj Bradley (9)
Saves:  Yoendrys Gómez (13)
ERA:  Jack Anderson (0.00)

Milwaukee Brewers
Batting Average:  Tyler Black (.333)
Hits:  Brice Turang (112)
Home Runs:  Jake Bauers (20)
RBI:  Brice Turang (69)
Stolen Bases:  David Hamilton (20)
Wins:  Aaron Ashby (12)
Saves:  Trevor Megill (20)
ERA:  Easton McGee (0.00)

Managers:
Minnesota Twins: Derek Shelton (1st season)
Milwaukee Brewers: Pat Murphy (3rd season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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