Minnesota Twins vs Houston Astros Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/30/2023

Game Time: 8:10 pm ET, Tuesday, May 30, 2023

Venue:  Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX 

Where to Watch:  Sportsnet SW

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -120, Astros +100; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -120, Astros +100; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -120, Astros +100; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Minnesota Twins:  27-26 (1st place, AL Central)

Houston Astros:  31-21 (2nd place, AL West)

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Minnesota Twins:  3-7 last 10

Houston Astros:  8-2 last 10

The Twins are entering this game off of a loss in their last game and lost their 3-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 27-26 record overall and have a road record of 11-14. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Astros on Tuesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 19th in the MLB with a .719 OPS. Sonny Gray is their starting pitcher on Monday while Joe Ryan is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 7-1 with a 2.21 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 4 Ks on 6 hits through 5 IP against the San Francisco Giants.

The Astros are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak after completing the sweep in a 3-game series against the Oakland Athletics 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 31-21 record overall and have a home record of 14-11. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Twins on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 22nd in the MLB with a .708 OPS. Rookie pitcher J.P. France is their starting pitcher on Monday while Brandon Bielak is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 1-2 with a 3.55 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 3 homers, and 1 BB with 3 strikeouts on 5 hits through 6.2 innings played against the Milwaukee Brewers.

The current betting odds have the Twins listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Twins got off to a good start this season and they are leading their division right now, but they are also only 1 game above .500 and really haven't been that good despite leading their division. They haven't been great in their road games either this year but they have their ace on the mound here and they have been almost unbeatable with Joe Ryan pitching this season. He already has 7 wins on the season and hasn't really shown any signs of cracking in his starts as he has been solid all year. His team also gives him plenty of run support in his starts so this is probably the best chance the Twins are going to have at winning a game in this series. The Astros have been getting a lot better lately as they are starting to win more games now and get hot but their offense still hasn't been great as they are relying more on good pitching to win their games. Bielak is starting here and he hasn't been terrible this season but he is not going to go out there and put up the kind of numbers that Ryan has been putting up this season so expect the Twins to bring their bats here and ensure they win this game with their ace up. The best way to place a bet here is on the Twins to win this game.

Twins Astros Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, May 30, 2023 (8:10 pm ET start time) is Twins 4 Astros 2.

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Minnesota Twins: 29-42 (-19.8 units) on the moneyline against AL West opponents. 30-42 (-12.4 units) on the moneyline on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5. 18-6 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5. 

Houston Astros: 36-31 (+11.9 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 101-51 (+12.6 units) on the moneyline at home when the total is 7 to 8.5. 6-3 UNDER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10. BRANDON BIELAK is 5-1 UNDER in all games. 

Minnesota Twins:  E. Pagan (RP) Ques Mon - Hip. R. Lewis (SS) Prob Mon - Knee. M. Kepler (CF) Prob Mon - Hamstring. T. Larnach (RF) Out indefinitely - Illness. K. Maeda (SP) Mid June - Tricep. J. Alcala (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. G. Celestino (CF) Early June - Thumb. J. Polanco (SS) Early June - Hamstring. N. Gordon (2B) Out indefinitely - Shin. T. Mahle (SP) out for season - Elbow. C. Thielbar (RP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. C. Paddack (SP) Early Sept - Elbow.

Houston Astros:  K. Tucker (RF) Ques Mon - Undisclosed. M. Brantley (DH) Early June - Shoulder. L. McCullers Jr. (SP) Mid July - Elbow. L. Garcia (SP) out for season - Elbow. J. Urquidy (SP) Mid July - Shoulder.

“Every time the opportunities were in front of us, every time there was something we could have done, it felt like we went in the wrong direction.” - Rocco Baldelli after his team’s loss against the Blue Jays in their game on Sunday.

“It was still a close game and I’m glad we got those runs in the seventh, eighth and ninth. We finally hit some home runs today, which feels good. It was a good day for us.” - Dusty Baker after his team’s win against the A’s in their game on Sunday.

Joey Gallo (L) 1B

Edouard Julien (L) 2B

Carlos Correa (R) SS

Alex Kirilloff (L) DH

Royce Lewis (R) 3B

Max Kepler (L) RF

Ryan Jeffers (R) C

Willi Castro (S) LF

Michael A. Taylor (R) CF

Jose Altuve (R) 2B

Jeremy Pena (R) SS

Yordan Alvarez (L) DH

Alex Bregman (R) 3B

Jose Abreu (R) 1B

Corey Julks (R) LF

Yainer Diaz (R) C

Jake Meyers (R) CF

Chas McCormick (R) RF

Batting Average:  Matt Wallner (.368)

Hits:  Byron Buxton (40)

Home Runs:  Joey Gallo (11)

RBI:  Trevor Larnach (27)

Stolen Bases:  Willi Castro (8)

Wins:  Joe Ryan (7)

Saves:  Jhoan Duran (7)

ERA:  Brock Stewart (0.00)

Batting Average:  Jose Altuve (.370)

Hits:  Kyle Tucker (50)

Home Runs:  Yordan Alvarez (14)

RBI:  Yordan Alvarez (48)

Stolen Bases:  Kyle Tucker (7)

Wins:  Cristian Javier (6)

Saves:  Ryan Pressly (10)

ERA:  Parker Mushinski (0.00)

Managers:

Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (5th season)

Houston Astros: Dusty Baker (4th season)