Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/30/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Sunday, May 29, 2022
Game Time: 1:10 pm ET, Monday, May 30, 2022
Venue:  Comerica Park, Detroit, MI
Where to Watch:  MLB Network

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -160, Tigers +140; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -160, Tigers +140; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -165, Tigers +135; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
 

Season Record

Minnesota Twins:  28-19 (1st place, AL Central)
Detroit Tigers:  16-29 (4th place, AL Central)
 
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Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Minnesota Twins:  7-3 last 10
Detroit Tigers:  4-6 last 10
 
 
 

Minnesota Twins Analysis

The Twins are coming into this game with a 28-19 record overall and they are 12-8 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game. They just won their 3-game series against the Detroit Tigers 2-1 and they are playing the series opener of a 5-game series with the Tigers on Monday. This will be the 1st game of the series on Monday with the series finale of their series against the Kansas City Royals still to be played on Sunday. Sonny Gray is the starting pitcher for them on Sunday while Dylan Bundy will be on the mound for them here on Monday. He is 3-2 with a 4.54 ERA this season. His team lost their last 4 straight games this season with him starting. In his last start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 6 Ks on 5 hits in 5.2 IP against the Detroit Tigers. They scored 15 runs in their last series averaging 5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 17 runs against them averaging just over 5 runs allowed per game with the final game of that series still to be played.
 

Detroit Tigers Analysis

The Tigers are coming into this game with a 16-29 record overall and they are 10-14 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 2 of their last 3 games but are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which snapped a 2 game winning streak that they were on. They just lost their 3-game series against the Minnesota Twins 2-1 and they are playing the series opener of a 5-game series with the Twins on Monday. This will be the 1st game of the series on Monday with the series finale of their series against the Cleveland Guardians still to be played on Sunday. Elvin Rodríguez is the starting pitcher for them on Sunday while rookie pitcher Beau Brieske will be on the mound for them here on Monday. He is 0-4 with a 5.04 ERA this season. His team lost 5 of their last 6 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homer, and 1 BB with 3 strikeouts on 6 hits in 4 innings played against the Minnesota Twins. They scored 5 runs in their last series averaging 2.5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 11 runs against them averaging 5.5 runs allowed per game with the final game of that series still to be played.
 

 

Twins vs Tigers Prediction

The Twins are coming into this game after a bad series against the Royals in their last one they were playing very well prior to that series and have been having a great season. They are going up against a Tigers team that has not been playing well recently and is one of the worst teams in the MLB this season. Bundy is starting for the Twins here and he has not been great but he will be looking to bounce back from his last bad start and has a much easier lineup to work with here. Brieske is pitching for the Tigers here and he has not been good this season, he is also pitching in his very first MLB season in his career so he is not a very polished pitcher yet. The Twins will be hungry to win after dropping 2 games to the Royals at home in their last series and they have the better pitching matchup here. The best bet here is on the Twins on the runline here.
 
Twins Tigers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Monday, May 30, 2022 (1:10 pm ET start time) is Twins 7 Tigers 3.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Minnesota Twins: 28-18 (+7.4 Units) ML in all games. 12-8 (+4.1 Units) ML in road games. 10-5 UNDER when the money line is +125 to -125.
Detroit Tigers: 16-29 (-9.6 Units) ML in all games. 9-14 (-5.9 Units) ML in home games. 29-13 UNDER in all games.
 

Key Injuries

 
Minnesota Twins:  M. Kepler (CF) Ques Sun - Leg. G. Sanchez (C) Ques Sun - Illness. M. Sano (3B) Out indefinitely - Knee.
Detroit Tigers:  M. Cabrera (1B) Ques Sun - Back. V. Reyes (LF) Out indefinitely - Quadricep. A. Meadows (CF) Out indefinitely - Ear.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"We know we gotta make that play." - Rocco Baldelli after an error in his team’s loss against the Royals on Saturday.
 
 
"He got some early-count outs. And that's the danger of being super aggressive against the guy. If he's going to get outs, he's going to stay in the game a long time. If you can get to him, then great. But he didn't walk a guy. We couldn't really put much together against him. He controlled today." - A.J. Hinch after his team’s loss against the Guardians on Saturday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Minnesota Twins
Byron Buxton (R) CF
Luis Arraez (L) 1B
Carlos Correa (R) SS
Jorge Polanco (S) 2B
Max Kepler (L) RF
Trevor Larnach (L) DH
Gary Sanchez (R) C
Gio Urshela (R) 3B
Nick Gordon (L) LF
 
Detroit Tigers
Robbie Grossman (S) DH
Jonathan Schoop (R) 2B
Harold Castro (L) 3B
Javier Baez (R) SS
Spencer Torkelson (R) 1B
Willi Castro (S) LF
Daz Cameron (R) RF
Eric Haase (R) C
Derek Hill (R) CF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Minnesota Twins
Batting Average:  Luis Arraez (.359)
Hits:  Luis Arraez (47)
Home Runs:  Byron Buxton (11)
RBI:  Jorge Polanco (26)
Stolen Bases:  Jorge Polanco (2)
Wins:  Joe Ryan (5)
Saves:  Emilio Pagan (7)
ERA:  Jovani Moran (0.00)
 
Detroit Tigers
Batting Average:  Harold Castro (.325)
Hits:  Miguel Cabrera (42)
Home Runs:  Spencer Torkelson (4)
RBI:  Miguel Cabrera (18)
Stolen Bases:  Derek Hill (3)
Wins:  Jacob Barnes (3)
Saves:  Gregory Soto (7)
ERA:  Angel De Jesus (0.00)
 
Managers:
Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (4th season)
Detroit Tigers: A. J. Hinch (2nd season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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