Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, Preview and Odds - 09/18/2022

Game Time: 1:40 pm ET, Sunday, September 18, 2022

Venue:  Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH

Where to Watch:  BSGL

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +105, Guardians -125; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +105, Guardians -125; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +140, Guardians -165; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

 

Minnesota Twins:  72-71 (3rd place, AL Central)

Cleveland Guardians:  77-66 (1st place, AL Central)

 

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Minnesota Twins:  4-6 last 10

Cleveland Guardians:  8-2 last 10

 

 

 

 

The Twins were on a 3 game winning streak but now enter this game off of a loss. They won their last series against the Kansas City Royals 3-0 completing the sweep in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 72-71 record overall and have a road record of 29-39. This is the 4th game of a 5-game series with the Guardians on Sunday with the 2nd game and 3rd game still to be played on Saturday in a double-header. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .726 OPS. Josh Winder is their starting pitcher in game 2 on Saturday while Joe Ryan is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 11-8 with a 3.83 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HRs, and 2 BB with 9 Ks on 0 hits through 7 IP against the Kansas City Royals.

 

The Guardians won 7 of their last 8 games and enter this game off of a win. They lost their last series against the Chicago White Sox getting swept 1-0 in a 1-game series. They enter this game with a 77-66 record overall and have a home record of 37-31. This is the 4th game of a 5-game series with the Twins on Sunday with the 2nd game and 3rd game still to be played on Saturday in a double-header. Their offense ranks 21st in the MLB with a .693 OPS. Rookie pitcher Konnor Pilkington is their starting pitcher in game 2 on Saturday while rookie pitcher Cody Morris is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 0-1 with a 2.79 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 1 earned run, 1 homer, and 5 BB with 4 strikeouts on 2 hits through 3.2 innings played against the Los Angeles Angels.

The current betting odds have the Guardians listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Guardians have been very hot over the last week winning a lot of their games and they are really starting to pull away with their lead in the AL Central. The Twins haven't been that great lately, they have been winning games but against bad teams and when they have played a good team in their division over the last week, they have lost all of those games. The Guardians have a solid pitching staff right now that isn't allowing many runs in their games and even their rookie starter in this game has looked good in his 1st 3 MLB starts ever. The Twins also have a reliable pitcher in Ryan starting here but he has had some slip ups this season and he won't get a lot of help from the Twins bats either as they haven't been scoring a lot of runs lately and their offense has been much better at home compared to their road games. The Guardians have a real good chance to spread the gap in the standings even more here at home and they will make good with their opportunity. The best way to place a bet here is on the Guardians to win this game.

 

Twins Guardians Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, September 18, 2022 (1:40 pm ET start time) is Guardians 4 Twins 2.

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Minnesota Twins: 72-71 (-6.5 Units) ML in all games. 29-39 (-9.2 Units) ML in road games. 38-27 UNDER in September games.

Cleveland Guardians: 77-66 (+12 Units) ML in all games. 44-23 (+10 Units) ML as a favorite of -110 or higher. 38-28 UNDER as a favorite of -110 or higher.

 

 

Minnesota Twins:  K. Garlick (CF) Out indefinitely - Hand. B. Buxton (CF) Late Sept - Hip. J. Polanco (SS) Late Sept - Knee.

Cleveland Guardians:  A. Civale (SP) Prob Tues - Forearm. Z. Plesac (SP) Out indefinitely - Hand. A. Gose (RP) Out for season - Tricep.

 

 

 

"It's very hard. That was a very tough ballgame to watch because we're feeling good with a lot of things that we're doing. We had some big swings, we made some plays, guys were pitching good. There was a lot going real well." - Rocco Baldelli after his team’s loss against the Guardians on Friday.

 

 

"As I'm coming in, Naylor stopped me and said ‘Hey, be ready for a dirt ball.' So obviously if there's a dirt ball I've got to get my butt to third. I was just running until (third base coach Mike Sarbaugh) stopped me and he never did, so I just kept going." - Ernie Clement after their win against the Twins on Friday.

 

 

 

Luis Arraez (L) DH

Carlos Correa (R) SS

Jose Miranda (R) 1B

Nick Gordon (L) 2B

Gio Urshela (R) 3B

Gary Sanchez (R) C

Jake Cave (L) LF

Gilberto Celestino (R) CF

Mark Contreras (L) RF

 

Steven Kwan (L) LF

Amed Rosario (R) SS

Jose Ramirez (S) 3B

Josh Naylor (L) 1B

Oscar Gonzalez (R) RF

Andres Gimenez (L) 2B

Will Benson (L) DH

Luke Maile (R) C

Myles Straw (R) CF

 

 

Batting Average:  Luis Arraez (.319)

Hits:  Luis Arraez (157)

Home Runs:  Byron Buxton (28)

RBI:  Jose Miranda (64)

Stolen Bases:  Nick Gordon (6)

Wins:  Joe Ryan (11)

Saves:  Emilio Pagan (9)

ERA:  Jorge Alcala (0.00)

 

Batting Average:  Oscar Gonzalez (.300)

Hits:  Amed Rosario (155)

Home Runs:  Jose Ramirez (27)

RBI:  Jose Ramirez (111)

Stolen Bases:  Andres Gimenez (18)

Wins:  Cal Quantrill (12)

Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (36)

ERA:  Ian Gibaut (0.00)

 

Managers:

Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (4th season)

Cleveland Guardians: Terry Francona (10th season)