Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, Preview and Odds - 09/16/2022

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Sep 15, 2022
Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Friday, September 16, 2022
Venue:  Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
Where to Watch:  BSGL

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +115, Guardians -135; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +115, Guardians -130; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +115, Guardians -140; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
 

Season Record

Minnesota Twins:  71-70 (3rd place, AL Central)
Cleveland Guardians:  76-65 (1st place, AL Central)
 
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Recent Form
Minnesota Twins:  4-6 last 10
Cleveland Guardians:  8-2 last 10
 
 
 

Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Preview and Analysis

 
The Twins enter this game on a 2 game winning streak. They lost their last series against the Cleveland Guardians getting swept 3-0 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 71-70 record overall and have a road record of 29-38. This is the series opener of a 5-game series with the Guardians on Friday with the series finale of their series against the Kansas City Royals still to be played on Thursday. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .727 OPS. Dylan Bundy is their starting pitcher on Thursday while there is no probable starting pitcher yet making a start in this game on Friday. 
 
The Guardians enter this game on a 6 game winning streak. They won their last series against the Los Angeles Angels 3-0 completing the sweep in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 76-65 record overall and have a home record of 36-30. This is the 1st game of a 5-game series with the Twins on Friday with the only game of a 1-game series against the Chicago White Sox still to be played on Thursday. Their offense ranks 21st in the MLB with a .694 OPS. Rookie pitcher Hunter Gaddis is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Triston McKenzie is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 10-11 with a 3.05 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 5 strikeouts on 6 hits through 7 innings played against the Minnesota Twins.

 

Twins vs Guardians Prediction

The current betting odds have the Guardians listed as a slight favorite in this game. The Guardians have been on a roll lately as they are on a big win streak and they are currently holding down the 1st place spot in the AL Central. They are only a few games ahead of the White Sox and the Twins but if they lose their position they could be out of the race for the Wild Card. They have been putting up a lot of runs in their games and their pitching has also been very good. The Twins have been playing better in their last few games but they have been losing a lot over the last week and they are not a great team on the run either. They have not announced a pitcher yet so this could even be a bullpen day for them while the Guardians are rolling out McKenzie who has been pitching well all year. The Guardians have already swept their last 2 series and they are hot on their little homestand here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Guardians to win this game.
 
Twins Guardians Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, September 16, 2022 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Guardians 6 Twins 1.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Minnesota Twins: 71-70 (-6.5 Units) ML in all games. 29-38 (-8.2 Units) ML in road games. 36-26 OVER in road games.
Cleveland Guardians: 76-65 (+12 Units) ML in all games. 36-25 (+7 Units) ML against division opponents. TRISTON MCKENZIE is 7-3 OVER when the money line is +125 to -125.
 

Key Injuries

 
Minnesota Twins:  B. Buxton (CF) Late Sept - Hip. J. Polanco (SS) Late Sept - Knee. M. Sano (3B) Late Sept - Knee.
Cleveland Guardians:  A. Civale (SP) Late Sept - Forearm. Z. Plesac (SP) Out indefinitely - Hand. A. Gose (RP)Out indefinitely - Tricep.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"My guess is we are going to, with the lefty tomorrow that we're facing, probably let him come in, get some treatment and see how he responds, see what he's going to be available for. I wouldn't see him being out or anything like that." - Rocco Baldelli after his team’s win against the Royals on Wednesday.
 
 
"We're trying not to overdo people, but the way we play, there's a lot of close games. We're trying to manage about nine different things with our pitching staff." - Terry Francona after his team’s win against the Angels on Wednesday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Minnesota Twins
Luis Arraez (L) 2B
Carlos Correa (R) SS
Jose Miranda (R) 1B
Gio Urshela (R) 3B
Nick Gordon (L) LF
Gary Sanchez (R) DH
Gilberto Celestino (R) CF
Jake Cave (L) RF
Sandy Leon (S) C
 
Cleveland Guardians
Steven Kwan (L) LF
Amed Rosario (R) DH
Jose Ramirez (S) 3B
Oscar Gonzalez (R) RF
Owen Miller (R) 1B
Andres Gimenez (L) 2B
Tyler Freeman (R) SS
Austin Hedges (R) C
Myles Straw (R) CF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Minnesota Twins
Batting Average:  Luis Arraez (.320)
Hits:  Luis Arraez (156)
Home Runs:  Byron Buxton (28)
RBI:  Jose Miranda (63)
Stolen Bases:  Nick Gordon (6)
Wins:  Joe Ryan (11)
Saves:  Emilio Pagan (9)
ERA:  Jorge Alcala (0.00)
 
Cleveland Guardians
Batting Average:  Andres Gimenez (.300)
Hits:  Amed Rosario (152)
Home Runs:  Jose Ramirez (27)
RBI:  Jose Ramirez (111)
Stolen Bases:  Andres Gimenez (18)
Wins:  Cal Quantrill (12)
Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (35)
ERA:  Ian Gibaut (0.00)
 
Managers:
Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (4th season)
Cleveland Guardians: Terry Francona (10th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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