Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/18/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Sunday, Apr 17, 2022
Game Time: 11:10 am ET, Monday, April 18, 2022
Venue:  Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Where to Watch:  MLB Network

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +120, Red Sox -140; Over/Under:  9 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +120, Red Sox -145; Over/Under:  9 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +120, Red Sox -145; Over/Under:  9 runs
 

Season Record

Minnesota Twins:  3-5 (5th place, AL Central)
Boston Red Sox:  4-4 (3rd place, AL East)
 
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Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Minnesota Twins:  3-5 last 10
Boston Red Sox:  4-4 last 10
 
 
 

Minnesota Twins Analysis

The Twins are coming into this game with a 3-5 record overall and they are 1-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game. They just lost their 2-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers 2-0 and they are playing the series finale of a 4-game series with the Red Sox on Monday night. This will be the 4th game of the series on Monday with the 3rd game still to be played on Sunday. Bailey Ober is the starting pitcher for them on Sunday while Dylan Bundy will be on the mound for them here on Monday. He is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA this season. His team won his first game this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HRs, and 1 BB with 2 Ks on 1 hit in 5 IP against the Seattle Mariners. They scored 2 runs in their last series averaging 1 run scored per game in that span and they allowed 14 runs against them averaging 7 runs allowed per game.
 

Boston Red Sox Analysis

The Red Sox are coming into this game with a 4-4 record overall and they are 1-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. They just won their 3-game series against the Detroit Tigers 2-1 and they are playing the series finale of a 4-game series with the Twins on Monday night. This will be the 4th game of the series on Monday with the 3rd game still to be played on Sunday. Michael Wacha is the starter for them on Sunday while Rich Hill will be throwing the first pitch for them here on Monday. He is 0-0 with a 6.23 ERA this season. His team won his first game with him as the starter. In his last start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 4 strikeouts on 5 hits through 4.1 innings played against the Detroit Tigers. They scored 15 runs in their last series averaging 5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 13 runs against them averaging just over 4 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Twins vs Red Sox Prediction

The Twins are coming into this game playing very inconsistently recently but they are going up against a Red Sox team that has also been very inconsistent as well. This is the series finale but this game will be in the afternoon on Monday but the Twins have a big pitching advantage in this game. Rich Hill is starting for the red Sox and he did not have a very good first start against the Tigers and their lineup is not as strong as the Twins lineup is here. The Twins will be looking to win a series or at least tie one after getting swept by the Dodgers in a mini series and they have a very good starter to help them get the win here. Bundy is off of a very good start where he was credited with the win and did not even allow a run in that game. Both of these lineups have strong hitters and can smash the ball here so this game comes down to pitching and the Twins have the advantage there. The best bet in this game is on the Twins to win here.
 
Twins Red Sox Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Monday, April 18, 2022 (11:10 am ET start time) is Twins 6 Red Sox 4.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Minnesota Twins: 112-120 (-27.1u) ML in all games. 49-64 (-17.2u) ML in road games. 24-15 OVER as a road underdog of +100 to +150.
Boston Red Sox: 52-38 (+5.4u) ML when the money line is -100 to -150. 81-64 (+12.7u) ML against right-handed starters. 34-17 OVER at home when the total is 9 to 9.5.
 

Key Injuries

 
Minnesota Twins:  A. Kirilloff (RF) Out indefinitely - Wrist injury. J. Alcala (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow injury. C. Stashak (RP) Late April - Bicep injury.
Boston Red Sox:  J. Taylor (RP) Late April - Back injury. C. Sale (SP) Out indefinitely - Ribs injury. J. Paxton (SP) Early July - Elbow injury.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"I think we're gonna be able to move forward in one way, shape or form and not have to make any large-scale maneuvers here. You anticipate things happening, you don't know what they're gonna be. But you just have to be prepared for these things, especially in a year like this." - Rocco Baldelli on having 7 starting pitchers coming into the season.
 
 
"I feel like each year I always try to say I'm gonna try to hit 30 and I hit like 12. So this year it's been the other way around. Just trying to hit the ball hard, as many doubles as I can, and just finding it at the moment they're carrying a little farther." - Alex Verdugo after their win against the Twins on Saturday.
 
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Minnesota Twins
Luis Arraez (L) DH
Jorge Polanco (S) 2B
Carlos Correa (R) SS
Max Kepler (L) RF
Trevor Larnach (L) LF
Gio Urshela (R) 3B
Nick Gordon (L) CF
Miguel Sano (R) 1B
Ryan Jeffers (R) C
 
Boston Red Sox
Enrique Hernandez (R) CF
Rafael Devers (L) 3B
Xander Bogaerts (R) SS
J.D. Martinez (R) DH
Alex Verdugo (L) LF
Trevor Story (R) 2B
Bobby Dalbec (R) 1B
Jackie Bradley Jr. (L) RF
Christian Vazquez (R) C
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Minnesota Twins
Batting Average:  Luis Arraez (.348)
Hits:  Luis Arraez (8)
Home Runs:  Byron Buxton (3)
RBI:  Gary Sanchez (7)
Stolen Bases:  Byron Buxton (1)
Wins:  Dylan Bundy (1)
Saves:  N/A
ERA:  Dylan Bundy (0.00)
 
Boston Red Sox
Batting Average:  Rafael Devers (.353)
Hits:  Rafael Devers (12)
Home Runs:  Alex Verdugo (3)
RBI:  Rafael Devers (7)
Stolen Bases:  N/A
Wins:  Garrett Whitlock (1)
Saves:  Jake Diekman (1)
ERA:  Jake Diekman (0.00)
 
Managers:
Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (4th season)
Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (4th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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