Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/17/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Saturday, Apr 16, 2022
Game Time: 1:35 pm ET, Sunday, April 17, 2022
Venue:  Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Where to Watch:  MLB Network

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -110, Red Sox -110; Over/Under:  10 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -110, Red Sox -110; Over/Under:  10 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -110, Red Sox -110; Over/Under:  10 runs
 

Season Record

Minnesota Twins:  3-4 (4th place, AL Central)
Boston Red Sox:  3-4 (4th place, AL East)
 
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Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Minnesota Twins:  3-4 last 10
Boston Red Sox:  3-4 last 10
 
 
 

Minnesota Twins Analysis

The Twins are coming into this game with a 3-4 record overall and they are 1-0 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games but are coming into this one off of a win in their last game which snapped a 2 game losing streak that they were on. They just lost their 2-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers 2-0 and they are playing the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Red Sox on Sunday night. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Sunday with the 2nd game still to be played on Saturday. Sonny Gray is the starting pitcher for them on Saturday while Bailey Ober will be on the mound for them here on Sunday. He is 1-0 with a 7.20 ERA this season. His team won his first game this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 4 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 4 Ks on 4 hits in 5 IP against the Seattle Mariners. They scored 2 runs in their last series averaging 1 run scored per game in that span and they allowed 14 runs against them averaging 7 runs allowed per game.
 

Boston Red Sox Analysis

The Red Sox are coming into this game with a 3-4 record overall and they are 0-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 2 of their last 3 games but are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which snapped a 2 game winning streak that they were on. They just won their 3-game series against the Detroit Tigers 2-1 and they are playing the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Twins on Sunday night. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Sunday with the 2nd game still to be played on Saturday. Tanner Houck is the starter for them on Saturday while Michael Wacha will be throwing the first pitch for them here on Sunday. He is 0-0 with a 2.08 ERA this season. His team lost his first game with him as the starter. In his last start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 3 BB with 4 strikeouts on 2 hits through 4.1 innings played against the Detroit Tigers. They scored 15 runs in their last series averaging 5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 13 runs against them averaging just over 4 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Twins vs Red Sox Prediction

The Red Sox are coming into this game as a pick 'em with the current betting odds. The Red Sox lost their first game of this series to the Twins and that game was also their home opener this season. They may have lost that game but their hitters will be hungry to bounce back and win their opening series so they should have a much better game as they will be determined to finish strong. Wacha is starting here and he did not have a very good first start for the Red Sox but he was much better in his last start and he still has not been credited with a win or loss through 2 starts as his pitching has not been bad. They are going up against a Twins team that has Ober starting and he got the win in his first start but he allowed a lot of runs in that game and his team did not win that game because of him, they won with their hitting. Wacha has been playing much better though and the Twins will likely struggle to hit him in this game. The Red Sox will be hungry to win their opening series here and they have the better pitching matchup in this game. The best bet here is on the Red Sox to win this game.
 
Twins Red Sox Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, April 17, 2022 (1:35 pm ET start time) is Red Sox 7 Twins 3.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Minnesota Twins: 42-43 (-12.9u) ML when the money line is -100 to -150. 112-119 (-26.1u) ML in all games. 28-17 OVER on the road when the money line is +125 to -125.
Boston Red Sox: 53-35 (+14.4u) ML in the first half of the season. 80-64 (+11.7u) ML against right-handed starters. 17-11 OVER as a home underdog of +100 or higher.
 

Key Injuries

 
Minnesota Twins:  A. Kirilloff (RF) Out indefinitely - Wrist injury. J. Alcala (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow injury. C. Stashak (RP) Late April - Bicep injury.
Boston Red Sox:  J. Taylor (RP) Late April - Back injury. C. Sale (SP) Out indefinitely - Ribs injury. J. Paxton (SP) Early July - Elbow injury.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"Our guys being able to go out there and have some good at-bats late in the game and add two runs to the scoreboard — that's the difference between winning and losing a lot of games." - Rocco Baldelli on his team’s win against the Red Sox on Friday.
 
 
"He didn't have command, his stuff wasn't there." - Alex Cora on Pivetta in their loss against the Twins on Friday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Minnesota Twins
Luis Arraez (L) DH
Jorge Polanco (S) 2B
Carlos Correa (R) SS
Max Kepler (L) RF
Trevor Larnach (L) LF
Gio Urshela (R) 3B
Nick Gordon (L) CF
Miguel Sano (R) 1B
Ryan Jeffers (R) C
 
Boston Red Sox
Enrique Hernandez (R) CF
Rafael Devers (L) 3B
Xander Bogaerts (R) SS
J.D. Martinez (R) DH
Alex Verdugo (L) LF
Trevor Story (R) 2B
Bobby Dalbec (R) 1B
Jackie Bradley Jr. (L) RF
Christian Vazquez (R) C
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Minnesota Twins
Batting Average:  Luis Arraez (.350)
Hits:  Luis Arraez (7)
Home Runs:  Byron Buxton (3)
RBI:  Gary Sanchez (7)
Stolen Bases:  Byron Buxton (1)
Wins:  Dylan Bundy (1)
Saves:  N/A
ERA:  Dylan Bundy (0.00)
 
Boston Red Sox
Batting Average:  Rafael Devers (.367)
Hits:  Rafael Devers (11)
Home Runs:  Alex Verdugo (2)
RBI:  Rafael Devers (7)
Stolen Bases:  N/A
Wins:  Garrett Whitlock (1)
Saves:  Jake Diekman (1)
ERA:  Jake Diekman (0.00)
 
Managers:
Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (4th season)
Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (4th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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