Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/16/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Friday, Apr 15, 2022
Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Saturday, April 16, 2022
Venue:  Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Where to Watch:  NESN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -115, Red Sox -105; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -115, Red Sox -105; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -115, Red Sox -105; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
 

Season Record

Minnesota Twins:  2-4 (4th place, AL Central)
Boston Red Sox:  3-3 (4th place, AL East)
 
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Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Minnesota Twins:  2-4 last 10
Boston Red Sox:  3-3 last 10
 
 
 

Minnesota Twins Analysis

The Twins are coming into this game with a 2-4 record overall and they are playing their 2nd road game of the season in this game. They are coming into this one on a 2 game losing streak. They just lost their 2-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers 2-0, had Thursday off as a rest day, and they are playing the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Saturday night. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Joe Ryan is the starting pitcher for them on Friday while Sonny Gray will be on the mound for them here on Saturday. He is 0-0 with a 3.86 ERA this season. His team lost his first game this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 4 Ks on 4 hits in 4.2 IP against the Seattle Mariners. They scored 2 runs in their last series averaging 1 run scored per game in that span and they allowed 14 runs against them averaging 7 runs allowed per game.
 

Boston Red Sox Analysis

The Red Sox are coming into this game with a 3-3 record overall and they will be playing their 2nd home game this season where they will be in this game. They have won 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game winning streak. They just won their 3-game series against the Detroit Tigers 2-1, had Thursday off as a rest day, and they are playing the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Twins on Saturday night. This will be the 2nd game of the series with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Nick Pivetta is the starter for them on Friday while Tanner Houck will be throwing the first pitch for them here on Saturday. He is 0-0 with a 8.10 ERA this season. His team won his first game with him as the starter. In his last start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 0 homers, and 3 BB with 3 strikeouts on 6 hits through 3.1 innings played against the New York Yankees. They scored 15 runs in their last series averaging 5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 13 runs against them averaging just over 4 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Twins vs Red Sox Prediction

The Twins are coming into this game as a slight favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. They have not been playing well in their recent games but they have a good edge with this pitching matchup and they should get a nice bounce back win here. They certainly have players on this lineup that can hit the ball well and it is only a matter of time until they start to get going. They are going up against a Red Sox team with Tanner Houck on the mound and he had an awful start in his first game this season. The Twins will get some hits on him in this game and they will bring in enough runs to hold off the Red Sox with their pitching here. Sonny Gray did not have a great start in his first game but he was not bad either and he will hold up well against the Red Sox here. The Twins should take this game 2 of the series. 
 
Twins Red Sox Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, April 16, 2022 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Twins 9 Red Sox 5.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Minnesota Twins: 42-43 (-12.9u) ML when the money line is -100 to -150. 111-119 (-27.3u) ML in all games. 27-17 OVER on the road when the money line is +125 to -125.
Boston Red Sox: 80-63 (+13u) ML against right-handed starters. 51-37 (+5.7u) ML when the money line is -100 to -150. 34-16 OVER at home when the total is 9 to 9.5.
 

Key Injuries

 
Minnesota Twins:  A. Kirilloff (RF) Out indefinitely - Wrist injury. J. Alcala (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow injury. C. Stashak (RP) Late April - Bicep injury.
Boston Red Sox:  J. Taylor (RP) Late April - Back injury. C. Sale (SP) Out indefinitely - Ribs injury. J. Paxton (SP) Early July - Elbow injury.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"He's been pitching like that for years. He's been having a lot of success. So he knows how to do it.” Gio Urshela on Kershaw in their loss against the Dodgers on Wednesday night.
 
 
"He did an amazing job." - Alex Cora on Hansel Robles in their win against the Tigers on Wednesday night.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Minnesota Twins
Byron Buxton (R) DH
Luis Arraez (L) 2B
Gio Urshela (R) 3B
Jorge Polanco (S) SS
Gary Sanchez (R) C
Max Kepler (L) RF
Miguel Sano (R) 1B
Gilberto Celestino (R) CF
Nick Gordon (L) LF
 
Boston Red Sox
Enrique Hernandez (R) CF
Rafael Devers (L) 3B
Trevor Story (R) 2B
J.D. Martinez (R) DH
Bobby Dalbec (R) 1B
Christian Arroyo (R) SS
Alex Verdugo (L) LF
Christian Vazquez (R) C
Jackie Bradley Jr. (L) RF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Minnesota Twins
Batting Average:  Luis Arraez (.313)
Hits:  Luis Arraez (5)
Home Runs:  Byron Buxton (3)
RBI:  Gary Sanchez (5)
Stolen Bases:  Byron Buxton (1)
Wins:  Dylan Bundy (1)
Saves:  N/A
ERA:  Dylan Bundy (0.00)
 
Boston Red Sox
Batting Average:  Rafael Devers (.346)
Hits:  Rafael Devers (9)
Home Runs:  Alex Verdugo (1)
RBI:  Rafael Devers (5)
Stolen Bases:  N/A
Wins:  Garrett Whitlock (1)
Saves:  Jake Diekman (1)
ERA:  Garrett Whitlock (1.42)
 
Managers:
Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (4th season)
Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (4th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

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