Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/30/2023

Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Friday, June 30, 2023

Venue:  Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD

Where to Watch:  MASN2

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -105, Orioles -115; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -105, Orioles -115; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -105, Orioles -115; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Minnesota Twins:  40-42 (2nd place, AL Central)

Baltimore Orioles:  48-31 (2nd place, AL East)

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Minnesota Twins:  4-6 last 10

Baltimore Orioles:  5-5 last 10

The Twins are entering this series on a 3 game losing streak and got swept 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Atlanta Braves in their last series. They enter this game with a 40-42 record overall and have a road record of 17-23. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 21st in the MLB with a .706 OPS. Kenta Maeda was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Pablo López is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 3-5 with a 4.41 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 10 Ks on 7 hits through 6 IP against the Detroit Tigers.

The Orioles are entering this series on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 3-game series against the Cincinnati Reds 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 48-31 record overall and have a home record of 25-16. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Twins on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .746 OPS. Kyle Gibson was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Dean Kremer is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 8-3 with a 4.50 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 3 homers, and 1 BB with 5 strikeouts on 5 hits through 7 innings played against the Seattle Mariners.

The current betting odds have the Orioles listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Orioles have been rolling all season with one of the best records in the entire MLB and they also have a really good offense too. They have been putting up a ton of runs in their games lately while the Twins offense hasn't been as good lately. The Twins haven't had a really good offense all season and they have also been a lot worse in their road games this season. They have Lopez starting here and although he was a solid starter for the Marlins last season, he is not the same guy this year since he has been giving up a lot more runs in his starts. He hasn't been pitching great lately either and the Orioles offense will definitely get their opportunities to put up runs at home here. The Orioles are starting Kremer in this game and he hasn't been great this season as he does give up a lot of runs in his starts, but he also has 8 wins this season as the team seems to have success with him on the mound and he will be able to hold off this weak Twins offense while the Orioles put up the runs needed to win this game with their strong offense. The best way to place a bet here is on the Orioles to win this game.

Twins Orioles Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, June 30, 2023 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Orioles 5 Twins 3.

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Minnesota Twins: 40-42 (-11.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 6-18 (-11 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 to +150. 25-11 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5. 10-4 UNDER after scoring 1 run or less.

Baltimore Orioles: 48-31 (+17.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 29-9 (+15.7 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 28-16 UNDER as a favorite of -125 to -175. 15-7 UNDER at home when the total is 8 to 8.5.

Minnesota Twins:  C. Correa (SS) Ques Fri - Foot. B. Stewart (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. De Leon (RP) out for season - Elbow. N. Gordon (2B) Out indefinitely - Shin. J. Lopez (SP) Out indefinitely - Personal. J. Alcala (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. J. Polanco (SS) Mid July - Hamstring. C. Thielbar (RP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. C. Sands (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Mahle (SP) out for season - Elbow. C. Paddack (SP) Early Sept - Elbow.

Baltimore Orioles:  J. McCann (C) Early July - Ankle. M. Givens (RP) Early July - Shoulder. A. Voth (SP) Early July - Elbow. R. Mountcastle (1B) Out indefinitely - Illness. D. Tate (RP) Early Aug - Forearm. J. Means (SP) Mid Aug - Elbow.

“Yeah, we’re scrapping just to score a run right now. We’re going to have to win some close ballgames like that, but you can’t win every game clawing for a run, two runs. It feels like we’ve been like that for a long time. I’m hoping that getting this out, and the players are in there talking right now in the clubhouse, I’m hoping that me getting this out, them getting it out as a group and feeling this together as a team is what is going to help lead us to where we need to be.” - Rocco Baldelli after his team’s loss against the Braves in their game on Wednesday.

“I'm sure he's done it quite a few times. He nailed it right there. Shows he's comfortable and confident in himself.” - Austin Hays on Jordan Westburg after their win against the Reds in their game on Monday.

Donovan Solano (R) 2B

Byron Buxton (R) DH

Royce Lewis (R) 3B

Kyle Farmer (R) SS

Willi Castro (S) LF

Alex Kirilloff (L) 1B

Christian Vazquez (R) C

Michael A. Taylor (R) CF

Joey Gallo (L) RF

Cedric Mullins (L) CF

Adley Rutschman (S) C

Anthony Santander (S) RF

Ryan O'Hearn (L) 1B

Austin Hays (R) LF

Gunnar Henderson (L) SS

Aaron Hicks (S) DH

Jordan Westburg (R) 3B

Adam Frazier (L) 2B

Batting Average:  Matt Wallner (.368)

Hits:  Carlos Correa (58)

Home Runs:  Byron Buxton (13)

RBI:  Carlos Correa (37)

Stolen Bases:  Willi Castro (15)

Wins:  Joe Ryan (8)

Saves:  Jhoan Duran (11)

ERA:  Brock Stewart (0.70)

Batting Average:  Jordan Westburg (.417)

Hits:  Austin Hays (85)

Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (14)

RBI:  Anthony Santander (47)

Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (21)

Wins:  Kyle Gibson (8)

Saves:  Felix Bautista (21)

ERA:  Yennier Cano (1.14)

Managers:

Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (5th season)

Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (5th season)