Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/04/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Tuesday, May 03, 2022
Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Wednesday, May 4, 2022
Venue:  Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Where to Watch:  MASN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -130, Orioles +110; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -130, Orioles +110; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -130, Orioles +110; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
 

Season Record

Minnesota Twins:  14-9 (1st place, AL Central)
Baltimore Orioles:  8-15 (5th place, AL East)
 
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Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Minnesota Twins:  9-1 last 10
Baltimore Orioles:  4-6 last 10
 
 
 

Minnesota Twins Analysis

The Twins are coming into this game with a 14-9 record overall and they are 6-5 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 10 of their last 11 games and are coming into this one on a 3 game winning streak. They just won their 3-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays 2-1 and they are playing the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Orioles on Wednesday night. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Wednesday with the 2nd game still to be played on Tuesday. Joe Ryan is the starting pitcher for them on Tuesday while Dylan Bundy is on the mound for them here on Wednesday. He is 3-1 with a 2.95 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 6 ER, 2 HRs, and 2 BB with 7 Ks on 7 hits in 6 IP against the Tampa Bay Rays. They scored 19 runs in their last series averaging just over 6 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 10 runs against them averaging just over 3 runs allowed per game.
 

Baltimore Orioles Analysis

The Orioles are coming into this game with a 8-15 record overall and they are 5-5 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 2 of their last 3 games but are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which snapped a 2 game winning streak that they were on. They just won their 3-game series against the Boston Red Sox 2-1 and they are playing the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Twins on Wednesday night. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Wednesday with the 2nd game still to be played on Tuesday. Bruce Zimmermann is the starting pitcher for them on Tuesday while Kyle Bradish will be on the mound for them here on Wednesday. He is 0-1 with a 3.00 ERA this season. His team lost their only game this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 2 Ks on 5 hits in 6 IP against the Boston Red Sox. They scored 12 runs in their last series averaging 4 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 9 runs against them averaging 3 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Twins vs Orioles Prediction

The Twins are coming into this game as a favorite with the current betting odds and they have had a very nice start to their season as they are currently sitting in 1st place in their division when they were not expected to be the division leaders this season. They have been winning a lot of games recently but their bats have started to cool off and they even won the first game of this series in a very low scoring game. They are going up against an Orioles side that played very tough against them in that first game, almost winning it and they have been a better team at home this season. The Orioles have Bradish starting though and he has not gotten a lot of work this season yet compared to Bundy who has already started in a few games and has been pitching well in those starts. The Twins have also had the stronger offense recently and they should be able to score runs on Bradish in this game. The best bet here is on the Twins to win this game.
 
Twins Orioles Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, May 4, 2022 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Twins 4 Orioles 1.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Minnesota Twins: 14-9 (+5.5 Units) ML in all games. 10-5 (+5.3 Units) ML when the total is 7 to 8.5. 8-4 UNDER as a favorite of -110 or higher.
Baltimore Orioles: 85-160 (-26.7 Units) ML in all games. 80-145 (-13.9 Units) ML as an underdog of +100 or higher. 16-6 UNDER as an underdog of +100 or higher.
 

Key Injuries

 
Minnesota Twins:  K. Garlick (CF) Ques Mon - Calf injury. M. Sano (3B) Out indefinitely - Knee injury. B. Ober (SP) Out indefinitely - Groin injury.
Baltimore Orioles:  T. Mancini (1B) Ques Mon - Ribs injury. J. Means (SP) out for season - Elbow injury. C. Ellis (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder injury.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"I thought he was really relaxed. First at-bat, I think we made two outs on two pitches right before he went up there. We told him, if he gets a good pitch to hit, be ready to hit it — don't go up there just to take. He did take one. He might've wanted to do that, he might've done it because the potential for a three-pitch inning wasn't something he wanted to dabble in." - Rocco Baldelli after his team’s win against the Orioles on Monday.
 
 
"We gave up two runs to a really good team. We just didn't score. ... We gave up two runs to a first-place club." - Brandon Hyde after his team’s loss against the Twins on Monday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Minnesota Twins
Byron Buxton (R) CF
Luis Arraez (L) 1B
Carlos Correa (R) SS
Jorge Polanco (S) 2B
Max Kepler (L) RF
Jose Miranda (R) 3B
Trevor Larnach (L) DH
Ryan Jeffers (R) C
Nick Gordon (L) LF
 
Baltimore Orioles
Cedric Mullins (L) CF
Austin Hays (R) LF
Anthony Santander (S) RF
Ryan Mountcastle (R) 1B
Tyler Nevin (R) DH
Rougned Odor (L) 2B
Ramon Urias (R) 3B
Robinson Chirinos (R) C
Jorge Mateo (R) SS
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Minnesota Twins
Batting Average:  Luis Arraez (.296)
Hits:  Luis Arraez (21)
Home Runs:  Byron Buxton (7)
RBI:  Byron Buxton (12)
Stolen Bases:  Byron Buxton (1)
Wins:  Dylan Bundy (3)
Saves:  Emilio Pagan (2)
ERA:  Joe Smith (0.00)
 
Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average:  Austin Hays (.265)
Hits:  Austin Hays (22)
Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (3)
RBI:  Anthony Santander (11)
Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (7)
Wins:  Jorge Lopez (2)
Saves:  Jorge Lopez (4)
ERA:  Cionel Perez (0.00)
 
Managers:
Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (4th season)
Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (4th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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