Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/03/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Monday, May 02, 2022
Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Tuesday, May 3, 2022
Venue:  Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Where to Watch:  MASN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -180, Orioles +155; Over/Under:  7 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -180, Orioles +155; Over/Under:  7 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -180, Orioles +155; Over/Under:  7 runs
 

Season Record

Minnesota Twins:  13-9 (1st place, AL Central)
Baltimore Orioles:  8-14 (5th place, AL East)
 
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Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Minnesota Twins:  9-1 last 10
Baltimore Orioles:  4-6 last 10
 
 
 

Minnesota Twins Analysis

The Twins are coming into this game with a 13-9 record overall and they are 5-5 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 9 of their last 10 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game winning streak. They just won their 3-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays 2-1 and they are playing the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Orioles on Tuesday night. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Tuesday with the series opener still to be played on Monday. Chris Paddack is the starting pitcher for them on Monday while Joe Ryan is on the mound for them here on Tuesday. He is 3-1 with a 1.17 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HRs, and 1 BB with 9 Ks on 1 hit in 7 IP against the Detroit Tigers. They scored 19 runs in their last series averaging just over 6 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 10 runs against them averaging just over 3 runs allowed per game.
 

Baltimore Orioles Analysis

The Orioles are coming into this game with a 8-14 record overall and they are 5-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming into this game on a 2 game winning streak. They just won their 3-game series against the Boston Red Sox 2-1 and they are playing the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Twins on Tuesday night. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Tuesday with the series opener still to be played on Monday. Tyler Wells is the starting pitcher for them on Monday while Bruce Zimmermann will be on the mound for them here on Tuesday. He is 1-1 with a 0.93 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HRs, and 1 BB with 5 Ks on 5 hits in 4.1 IP against the New York Yankees. They scored 12 runs in their last series averaging 4 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 9 runs against them averaging 3 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Twins vs Orioles Prediction

The Orioles are coming into this game as a big underdog with the current betting odds. They have been playing very well in their recent games and they are even coming off of a series win against the Red Sox in their last one. They are going up against a Twins team that has also been heating up in their recent games as they have won 7 of their last 8 games but both of these pitchers have been solid all season and it is likely that this game will not have many runs in it. The Orioles have also been playing very well at home this season and for the value in this game along with the way they have been playing recently, the best bet here is on the Orioles to win this game.
 
Twins Orioles Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, May 3, 2022 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Orioles 3 Twins 0.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Minnesota Twins: 74-69 (-27 Units) ML as a favorite of -110 or higher. 122-124 (-20.3 Units) ML in all games. 23-16 UNDER as a road favorite of -125 or more.
Baltimore Orioles: 17-24 (+4.7 Units) ML as a home underdog of +150 to +200. 15-6 UNDER as an underdog of +100 or higher. 15-6 UNDER in all games.
 

Key Injuries

 
Minnesota Twins:  K. Garlick (CF) Ques Mon - Calf injury. M. Sano (3B) Out indefinitely - Knee injury. B. Ober (SP) Out indefinitely - Groin injury.
Baltimore Orioles:  T. Mancini (1B) Ques Mon - Ribs injury. J. Means (SP) out for season - Elbow injury. C. Ellis (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder injury.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"This is a couple of years now where we know that no matter what lefthander we're facing, we have a guy that we can insert in a lineup. He doesn't have to play every day to have pretty good at-bats and to potentially do some damage for you. That's not that easy to find in this game." - Rocco Baldelli on Garlick after their win against the Rays on Saturday.
 
 
"For the most part, I'm pretty satisfied with six innings. A couple long at-bats to start the game, a couple of innings where there were multiple guys on base, a couple to jams to get out of. But overall, six innings of one-run ball (is OK)." - Jordan Lyles after their win against the Red Sox on Sunday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Minnesota Twins
Byron Buxton (R) CF
Carlos Correa (R) SS
Kyle Garlick (R) DH
Jorge Polanco (S) 2B
Gio Urshela (R) 3B
Max Kepler (L) RF
Gary Sanchez (R) C
Gilberto Celestino (R) LF
Luis Arraez (L) 1B
 
Baltimore Orioles
Cedric Mullins (L) CF
Anthony Santander (S) RF
Ryan Mountcastle (R) DH
Austin Hays (R) LF
Rougned Odor (L) 2B
Ramon Urias (R) 3B
Tyler Nevin (R) 1B
Anthony Bemboom (L) C
Jorge Mateo (R) SS
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Minnesota Twins
Batting Average:  Luis Arraez (.299)
Hits:  Luis Arraez (20)
Home Runs:  Byron Buxton (7)
RBI:  Byron Buxton (12)
Stolen Bases:  Byron Buxton (1)
Wins:  Dylan Bundy (3)
Saves:  Emilio Pagan (2)
ERA:  Joe Smith (0.00)
 
Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average:  Austin Hays (.275)
Hits:  Austin Hays (22)
Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (3)
RBI:  Anthony Santander (11)
Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (7)
Wins:  Jorge Lopez (2)
Saves:  Jorge Lopez (4)
ERA:  Cionel Perez (0.00)
 
Managers:
Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (4th season)
Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (4th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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