Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/02/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Sunday, May 01, 2022
Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Monday, May 2, 2022
Venue:  Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Where to Watch:  MASN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -155, Orioles +135; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -150, Orioles +130; Over/Under:  8 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -160, Orioles +135; Over/Under:  8 runs
 

Season Record

Minnesota Twins:  13-9 (1st place, AL Central)
Baltimore Orioles:  8-14 (5th place, AL East)
 
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Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Minnesota Twins:  9-1 last 10
Baltimore Orioles:  4-6 last 10
 
 
 

Minnesota Twins Analysis

The Twins are coming into this game with a 13-9 record overall and they are 5-5 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 9 of their last 10 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game winning streak. They just won their 3-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays 2-1 and they are playing the series opener of a 4-game series with the Orioles on Monday night. This will be the 1st game of the series on Monday. Josh Winder was the starting pitcher for them on Sunday while Chris Paddack is on the mound for them here on Monday. He is 0-2 with a 3.68 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HRs, and 1 BB with 6 Ks on 5 hits in 5.2 IP against the Detroit Tigers. They scored 19 runs in their last series averaging just over 6 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 10 runs against them averaging just over 3 runs allowed per game.
 

Baltimore Orioles Analysis

The Orioles are coming into this game with a 8-14 record overall and they are 5-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming into this game on a 2 game winning streak. They just won their 3-game series against the Boston Red Sox 2-1 and they are playing the series opener of a 4-game series with the Twins on Monday night. This will be the 1st game of the series on Monday. Jordan Lyles was the starting pitcher for them on Sunday while Tyler Wells will be on the mound for them here on Monday. He is 0-2 with a 5.54 ERA this season. His team lost all 4 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 4 Ks on 3 hits in 5 IP against the New York Yankees. They scored 12 runs in their last series averaging 4 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 9 runs against them averaging 3 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Twins vs Orioles Prediction

The Twins are coming into this game as a favorite with the current betting odds. They have been playing very well in their recent games as they have won 9 of their last 10 and just scored 9 runs in back-to-back games against the Rays over the weekend. They are going up against an Orioles team that is also playing well, winning their last 2 straight and winning their last series against the Red Sox. The Orioles have played very well at home this season but the Twins have a much better pitching matchup in this game as the Orioles have lost every start this season with Lyles pitching. The Twins have the better starter here and they have been hitting the ball very well recently. The best bet in this game is on the Twins to win here.
 
Twins Orioles Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Monday, May 2, 2022 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Twins 6 Orioles 3.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Minnesota Twins: CHRIS PADDACK is 11-5 (+4 Units) ML when the money line is -100 to -150. 6-1 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5. 8-3 UNDER against right-handed starters.
Baltimore Orioles: 79-144 (-14.2 Units) ML as an underdog of +100 or higher. 17-40 (-15.8 Units) ML when the total is 8 to 8.5. 15-5 UNDER in all games.
 

Key Injuries

 
Minnesota Twins:  K. Garlick (CF) Ques Mon - Calf injury. M. Sano (3B) Out indefinitely - Knee injury. B. Ober (SP) Out indefinitely - Groin injury.
Baltimore Orioles:  T. Mancini (1B) Ques Mon - Ribs injury. J. Means (SP) out for season - Elbow injury. C. Ellis (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder injury.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"This is a couple of years now where we know that no matter what lefthander we're facing, we have a guy that we can insert in a lineup. He doesn't have to play every day to have pretty good at-bats and to potentially do some damage for you. That's not that easy to find in this game." - Rocco Baldelli on Garlick after their win against the Rays on Saturday.
 
 
"For the most part, I'm pretty satisfied with six innings. A couple long at-bats to start the game, a couple of innings where there were multiple guys on base, a couple of jams to get out of. But overall, six innings of one-run ball (is OK)." - Jordan Lyles after their win against the Boston Red Sox on Sunday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Minnesota Twins
Byron Buxton (R) CF
Carlos Correa (R) SS
Kyle Garlick (R) DH
Jorge Polanco (S) 2B
Gio Urshela (R) 3B
Max Kepler (L) RF
Gary Sanchez (R) C
Gilberto Celestino (R) LF
Luis Arraez (L) 1B
 
Baltimore Orioles
Cedric Mullins (L) CF
Anthony Santander (S) RF
Ryan Mountcastle (R) DH
Austin Hays (R) LF
Rougned Odor (L) 2B
Ramon Urias (R) 3B
Tyler Nevin (R) 1B
Anthony Bemboom (L) C
Jorge Mateo (R) SS
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Minnesota Twins
Batting Average:  Luis Arraez (.299)
Hits:  Luis Arraez (20)
Home Runs:  Byron Buxton (7)
RBI:  Byron Buxton (12)
Stolen Bases:  Byron Buxton (1)
Wins:  Dylan Bundy (3)
Saves:  Emilio Pagan (2)
ERA:  Joe Smith (0.00)
 
Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average:  Austin Hays (.275)
Hits:  Austin Hays (22)
Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (3)
RBI:  Anthony Santander (11)
Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (7)
Wins:  Jorge Lopez (2)
Saves:  Jorge Lopez (4)
ERA:  Cionel Perez (0.00)
 
Managers:
Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (4th season)
Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (4th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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