Minnesota Twins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/28/2023

Game Time: 12:20 pm ET, Wednesday, June 28, 2023

Venue:  Truist Park, Atlanta, GA

Where to Watch:  MLB Network

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +145, Braves -170; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +145, Braves -170; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +135, Braves -160; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Minnesota Twins:  40-40 (1st place, AL Central)

Atlanta Braves:  51-27 (1st place, NL East)

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Minnesota Twins:  5-5 last 10

Atlanta Braves:  9-1 last 10

The Twins are entering this series off of a win and won their 3-game series against the Detroit Tigers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 40-40 record overall and have a road record of 17-21. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Braves on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. They also lost the series opener of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 21st in the MLB with a .710 OPS. Joe Ryan is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Kenta Maeda is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 1-4 with a 6.86 ERA this season. His team lost 4 of their 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 8 Ks on 3 hits through 5 IP against the Detroit Tigers.

The Braves are entering this series on a 2 game winning streak and won their 3-game series against the Cincinnati Reds 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 51-27 record overall and have a home record of 25-15. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Twins on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. They also won the 1st game of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .825 OPS. Bryce Elder is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Kolby Allard is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA this season. He is making his season debut this year in this game. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 2 homers, and 1 BB with 4 strikeouts on 5 hits through 5.2 innings played against the Los Angeles Angels.

The current betting odds have the Braves listed as a big favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Braves have been rolling as one of the hottest teams in the league lately, winning a lot of their games over the last few weeks. They now have one of the best records in the entire MLB and also have the best offense too. Their pitching hasn't been great lately but they are getting a good matchup here since both of these teams are starting pitchers who haven't pitched in a while, coming back from injuries. The Twins haven't had a good offense all season either and they have been a much worse team in their road games too. The Braves have been rolling lately and have already been crushing the Twins in the first few games of this series, they will keep rolling at home here with their much hotter offense and better pitching matchup in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Braves to win this game.

Twins Braves Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, June 28, 2023 (12:20 pm ET start time) is Braves 7 Twins 4.

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Minnesota Twins: 40-41 (-10.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 6-17 (-10 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 to +150. 9-2 UNDER as an underdog of +125 to +175. 22-10 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10. 

Atlanta Braves: 52-27 (+12.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 46-21 (+11.8 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 8-2 UNDER after a game where they committed 3 or more errors. 16-8 UNDER after a game where they committed 4 or more fielding errors.

Minnesota Twins:  J. De Leon (RP) out for season - Arm. N. Gordon (2B) Out indefinitely - Shin. J. Lopez (SP) Out indefinitely - Personal. J. Alcala (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. J. Polanco (SS) Mid July - Hamstring. C. Thielbar (RP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. C. Sands (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Mahle (SP) out for season - Elbow. C. Paddack (SP) Early Sept - Elbow.

Atlanta Braves:  K. Allard (SP) Early July - Oblique. K. Wright (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. J. Chavez (RP) Early July - Shin. M. Fried (SP) Mid July - Forearm. E. Adrianza (2B) Early July - Shoulder. D. Lee (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Matzek (RP) out for season - Elbow. H. Ynoa (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“It was back and forth from the pitchers inning after inning. Sonny was fantastic. Sonny was just — he was great.” - Rocco Baldelli after his team’s loss against the Braves in their game on Monday.

“It's baseball, you play any game long enough you're going to have bad games. I try not to get too high or too low. It's too early in the season.” - Spencer Strider after their win against the Twins in their game on Monday.

Edouard Julien (L) DH

Alex Kirilloff (L) 1B

Max Kepler (L) RF

Carlos Correa (R) SS

Willi Castro (S) CF

Donovan Solano (R) 2B

Joey Gallo (L) LF

Kyle Farmer (R) 3B

Ryan Jeffers (R) C

Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) RF

Ozzie Albies (S) 2B

Austin Riley (R) 3B

Matt Olson (L) 1B

Travis d'Arnaud (R) C

Marcell Ozuna (R) DH

Eddie Rosario (L) LF

Orlando Arcia (R) SS

Michael Harris II (L) CF

Batting Average:  Matt Wallner (.368)

Hits:  Carlos Correa (57)

Home Runs:  Byron Buxton (13)

RBI:  Carlos Correa (37)

Stolen Bases:  Willi Castro (14)

Wins:  Joe Ryan (8)

Saves:  Jhoan Duran (11)

ERA:  Jordan Balazovic (0.00)

Batting Average:  Ronald Acuna (.328)

Hits:  Ronald Acuna (104)

Home Runs:  Matt Olson (25)

RBI:  Matt Olson (60)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuna (35)

Wins:  Spencer Strider (9)

Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (12)

ERA:  Dereck Rodriguez (0.00)

Managers:

Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (5th season)

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (8th season)