Minnesota Twins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/27/2023

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Jun 26, 2023
Game Time: 7:20 pm ET, Tuesday, June 27, 2023
Venue:  Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
Where to Watch:  TBS


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +130, Braves -150; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +130, Braves -150; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Twins +130, Braves -150; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Season Record

Minnesota Twins:  40-39 (1st place, AL Central)
Atlanta Braves:  50-27 (1st place, NL East)

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Recent Form
Minnesota Twins:  5-5 last 10
Atlanta Braves:  9-1 last 10



Minnesota Twins vs Atlanta Braves Preview and Analysis


The Twins are entering this game off of a win in their last game and won their 3-game series against the Detroit Tigers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 40-39 record overall and have a road record of 17-20. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Braves on Tuesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 20th in the MLB with a .713 OPS. Sonny Gray is their starting pitcher on Monday while Joe Ryan is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 8-4 with a 2.98 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 0 BB with 9 Ks on 3 hits through 9 IP against the Boston Red Sox.

The Braves are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak and won their 3-game series against the Cincinnati Reds 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 50-27 record overall and have a home record of 24-15. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Twins on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .825 OPS. Spencer Strider is their starting pitcher on Monday while Bryce Elder is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 5-1 with a 2.40 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 6 strikeouts on 3 hits through 7 innings played against the Philadelphia Phillies.


Twins vs Braves Prediction

The current betting odds have the Braves listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Braves have been rolling all season with a record 23 games above .500 as they lead the NL East and they now have the best offense in the MLB too. Their offense has been really good lately and they have been really hot as a team because of it despite their pitching not being great. They have been dealing with a lot of injuries to starters but they do have a solid starter in this game. They have Elder starting here and he has been really good all season as he hasn't been giving up many runs in his starts at all. The Twins also have a really good starter on the mound with Ryan since he has been their clear ace this season, leading the rotation with 8 wins this season, but the Twins haven't been nearly as good in their road games this season and they don't have the offense to match the Braves either. The only area to get an edge on the Braves is with their pitching since it has been so bad lately but with Elder on the mound here, he really takes that edge away from Ryan and the Twins since Elder has been pitching so well all season and the Braves do have the best offense in the league so they will find ways to put up runs in this game at home. The best way to place a bet here is on the Braves to win this game.

Twins Braves Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, June 27, 2023 (7:20 pm ET start time) is Braves 5 Twins 2.
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MLB Betting Trends


Minnesota Twins: 6-16 (-9 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 to +150. 33-36 (-12.2 units) on the moneyline when the total is 7 to 8.5. 8-2 UNDER as an underdog of +125 to +175. 24-11 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5.

Atlanta Braves: 50-27 (+10.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 44-21 (+9.8 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. BRYCE ELDER is 17-7 UNDER in all games and 9-1 UNDER after giving up 2 earned runs or less in his last 2 outings.

Key Injuries


Minnesota Twins:  J. De Leon (RP) Out indefinitely - Arm. N. Gordon (2B) Out indefinitely - Shin. J. Lopez (SP) Out indefinitely - Personal. J. Alcala (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. J. Polanco (SS) Mid July - Hamstring. C. Thielbar (RP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. C. Sands (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Mahle (SP) out for season - Elbow. C. Paddack (SP) Early Sept - Elbow.

Atlanta Braves:  K. Allard (SP) Early July - Oblique. K. Wright (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. J. Chavez (RP) Early July - Shin. M. Fried (SP) Mid July - Forearm. E. Adrianza (2B) Early July - Shoulder. D. Lee (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. T. Matzek (RP) out for season - Elbow. H. Ynoa (SP) out for season - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“This was a pretty tough series to win. We really had to grind things out for all three games, and it is rewarding to see those things come together to win us a game in the 10th inning.” - Rocco Baldelli after his team’s win against the Tigers in their game on Sunday.


“I don’t know that I’ve ever been this exhausted after a series before. Fans got their money’s worth in this series. They saw some great baseball, exciting, the whole thing. The hottest team in the National League, we took the series. That's good.” - Brian Snitker after his team’s win against the Reds in their game on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


Minnesota Twins
Edouard Julien (L) DH
Donovan Solano (R) 1B
Carlos Correa (R) SS
Royce Lewis (R) 3B
Kyle Farmer (R) 2B
Willi Castro (S) LF
Joey Gallo (L) RF
Christian Vazquez (R) C
Michael A. Taylor (R) CF

Atlanta Braves
Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) RF
Ozzie Albies (S) 2B
Austin Riley (R) 3B
Matt Olson (L) 1B
Sean Murphy (R) C
Marcell Ozuna (R) DH
Eddie Rosario (L) LF
Orlando Arcia (R) SS
Michael Harris II (L) CF

Statistical Leaders


Minnesota Twins
Batting Average:  Matt Wallner (.368)
Hits:  Carlos Correa (57)
Home Runs:  Byron Buxton (13)
RBI:  Carlos Correa (37)
Stolen Bases:  Willi Castro (14)
Wins:  Joe Ryan (8)
Saves:  Jhoan Duran (11)
ERA:  Jordan Balazovic (0.00)

Atlanta Braves
Batting Average:  Ronald Acuna (.328)
Hits:  Ronald Acuna (103)
Home Runs:  Matt Olson (25)
RBI:  Matt Olson (60)
Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuna (35)
Wins:  Spencer Strider (8)
Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (12)
ERA:  Dereck Rodriguez (0.00)

Managers:
Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (5th season)
Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (8th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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