Minnesota Twins vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/19/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Saturday, Jun 18, 2022
Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Sunday, June 19, 2022
Venue:  Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
Where to Watch:  BSAZ

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -120, Diamondbacks +100; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -120, Diamondbacks +100; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -120, Diamondbacks +100; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
 

Season Record

Minnesota Twins:  37-29 (1st place, AL Central)
Arizona Diamondbacks:  31-35 (4th place, NL West)
 
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Minnesota Twins vs Arizona Diamondbacks Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Minnesota Twins:  5-5 last 10
Arizona Diamondbacks:  5-5 last 10
 
 
 

Minnesota Twins Analysis

The Twins are coming into this game with a 37-29 record overall and they are 17-15 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game. They just won their 3-game series against the Seattle Mariners 2-1, had Thursday off as a rest day, and they are playing the series finale of a 3-game series with the Diamondbacks on Sunday. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Sunday with the 2nd game still to be played on Saturday. Dylan Bundy is the starting pitcher for them on Saturday while Chris Archer will be on the mound for them here on Sunday. He is 1-2 with a 3.35 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him starting. In his last start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HRs, and 2 BB with 3 Ks on 4 hits in 4 IP against the Seattle Mariners. They scored 8 runs in their last series averaging just under 3 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 7 runs against them averaging just over 2 runs allowed per game.
 

Arizona Diamondbacks Analysis

The Diamondbacks are coming into this game with a 31-35 record overall and they are 16-18 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming into this one on a 2 game winning streak. They just lost their 3-game series against the Cincinnati Reds 2-1, had Thursday off as a rest day, and they are playing the series finale of a 3-game series with the Twins on Sunday. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Sunday with the 2nd game still to be played on Saturday. Luke Weaver is the starting pitcher for them on Saturday while Merrill Kelly will be on the mound for them here on Sunday. He is 5-4 with a 3.68 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him starting. In his last game played in, he allowed 5 earned runs, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 7 strikeouts on 8 hits in 6 innings played against the Cincinnati Reds. They scored 14 runs in their last series averaging just under 5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 14 runs against them averaging just under 5 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Twins vs Diamondbacks Prediction

The Diamondbacks are coming into this game as a slight underdog with the current betting odds. They have not been playing well recently but they have started to win some games now and even won the series opener in this series. They have been hitting the ball well in their games as they scored 7 runs on the Twins in the first game of this series but they have also been scoring a lot of runs in their games recently even when they lose. They are going up against a Twins team here that has been playing well all season and has Archer starting in this game. Archer has been pitching very well recently but he might struggle on the road here as the D-backs have been heating up with their bats and they will likely get to him here. Kelly is starting for the D-backs here and he has been great all season. He does not allow many runs in his starts and he pitches even better when he is at home like he is here. The Diamondbacks have some momentum on their side here as they have started to win some games recently and they have a solid pitcher to back them up here as well. The best bet here is on the Diamondbacks to win this game. 
 
Twins Diamondbacks Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, June 19, 2022 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Diamondbacks 6 Twins 2.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Minnesota Twins: 37-29 (+7.2 Units) ML in all games. 7-6 (+4.8 Units) ML as a road underdog of +100 or higher. 14-7 UNDER when the money line is +125 to -125.
Arizona Diamondbacks: 108-180 (-44.8 Units) ML in all games. 64-81 (-8.3 Units) ML in home games. 22-10 UNDER in home games.
 

Key Injuries

 
Minnesota Twins:  M. Sano (3B) Early July - Knee. K. Garlick (CF) Late June - Hamstring. R. Lewis (SS) out for season - Knee.
Arizona Diamondbacks:  K. Marte (CF) Ques Sat - Hamstring. N. Ahmed (SS) out for season - Shoulder. J. Bukauskas (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"We couldn't hit the ball any harder, but that's just the way it goes. None of that matters. We couldn't find a way today." - Rocco Baldelli after his team’s loss against the Diamondbacks on Friday.
 
 
"At the most critical time of the game, he executed, and the rest of the guys just followed with small ball, base hits, some good clutch hitting." - Torey Lovullo after his team’s win against the Twins on Friday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Minnesota Twins
Byron Buxton (R) DH
Carlos Correa (R) SS
Gio Urshela (R) 3B
Gary Sanchez (R) C
Luis Arraez (L) 2B
Jose Miranda (R) 1B
Max Kepler (L) RF
Gilberto Celestino (R) CF
Trevor Larnach (L) LF
 
Arizona Diamondbacks
Carson Kelly (R) C
Josh Rojas (L) 3B
Jordan Luplow (R) LF
Christian Walker (R) 1B
Daulton Varsho (L) RF
Buddy Kennedy (R) DH
Alek Thomas (L) CF
Jake Hager (R) 2B
Geraldo Perdomo (S) SS
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Minnesota Twins
Batting Average:  Luis Arraez (.357)
Hits:  Luis Arraez (71)
Home Runs:  Byron Buxton (19)
RBI:  Jorge Polanco (33)
Stolen Bases:  Jorge Polanco (3)
Wins:  Joe Ryan (5)
Saves:  Emilio Pagan (9)
ERA:  Jorge Alcala (0.00)
 
Arizona Diamondbacks
Batting Average:  Buddy Kennedy (.333)
Hits:  Ketel Marte (60)
Home Runs:  Christian Walker (16)
RBI:  Christian Walker (33)
Stolen Bases:  Daulton Varsho (4)
Wins:  Merrill Kelly (5)
Saves:  Mark Melancon (11)
ERA:  Carson Kelly (0.00)
 
Managers:
Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (4th season)
Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (6th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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