Minnesota Twins vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/18/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Friday, Jun 17, 2022
Game Time: 10:10 pm ET, Saturday, June 18, 2022
Venue:  Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
Where to Watch:  MLB Network

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -125, Diamondbacks +105; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -125, Diamondbacks +105; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -125, Diamondbacks +105; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
 

Season Record

Minnesota Twins:  37-28 (1st place, AL Central)
Arizona Diamondbacks:  30-35 (4th place, NL West)
 
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Minnesota Twins vs Arizona Diamondbacks Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Minnesota Twins:  6-4 last 10
Arizona Diamondbacks:  4-6 last 10
 
 
 

Minnesota Twins Analysis

The Twins are coming into this game with a 37-28 record overall and they are 17-14 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. They just won their 3-game series against the Seattle Mariners 2-1, had Thursday off as a rest day, and they are playing the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Diamondbacks on Saturday. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Devin Smeltzer is the starting pitcher for them on Friday while Dylan Bundy will be on the mound for them here on Saturday. He is 3-3 with a 5.87 ERA this season. His team lost their last 7 straight games this season with him starting. In his last start, he allowed 4 ER, 2 HRs, and 1 BB with 1 K on 5 hits in 4 IP against the New York Yankees. They scored 8 runs in their last series averaging just under 3 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 7 runs against them averaging just over 2 runs allowed per game.
 

Arizona Diamondbacks Analysis

The Diamondbacks are coming into this game with a 30-35 record overall and they are 15-18 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games but are coming into this one off of a win in their last game which snapped a 2 game losing streak. They just lost their 3-game series against the Cincinnati Reds 2-1, had Thursday off as a rest day, and they are playing the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Twins on Saturday. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Madison Bumgarner is the starting pitcher for them on Friday while Luke Weaver will be on the mound for them here on Saturday. He is 1-0 with a 4.91 ERA this season. His team won their only 2 games this season with him making an appearance in the game. In his last game played in, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 4 strikeouts on 3 hits in 3 innings of relief played against the Philadelphia Phillies. They scored 14 runs in their last series averaging just under 5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 14 runs against them averaging just under 5 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Twins vs Diamondbacks Prediction

The Diamondbacks are coming into this game as an underdog with the current betting odds. They have not been playing well recently as they have been losing a lot of games to bad teams but they finished their last series off with a win and are in the middle of a homestand here so their bats should start heating up again as they have been scoring runs in their games. They are going up against a Twins team that has been playing very well this season and have been picking up a lot of wins on the road as well. They have Bundy starting in this game though and he has not been playing well this season. He has been allowing a lot of runs in every game he pitches in and his team does not have a lot of confidence in him either as they have lost their last 7 straight games with him on the mound. The D-backs have Weaver starting in this game and he is coming off of an injury making his first start this season here but he has already made 2 relief appearances as well and pitched quite well in those games. The D-backs are bound to turn things around here at home and they have a good pitching matchup in this game to do so here and get a win. The best bet here is on the Diamondbacks to win this game.
 
Twins Diamondbacks Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, June 18, 2022 (10:10 pm ET start time) is Diamondbacks 5 Twins 3.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Minnesota Twins: 37-28 (+8.6 Units) ML in all games. 25-12 (+7.8 Units) ML as a favorite of -110 or higher. 14-7 UNDER when the money line is +125 to -125.
Arizona Diamondbacks: 107-180 (-46 Units) ML in all games. 75-149 (-37.9 Units) ML as an underdog of +100 or higher. 13-5 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5.
 

Key Injuries

 
Minnesota Twins:  M. Sano (3B) Early July - Knee. K. Garlick (CF) Late June - Hamstring. R. Lewis (SS) out for season - Knee.
Arizona Diamondbacks:  K. Marte (CF) Ques Fri - Hamstring. N. Ahmed (SS) out for season - Shoulder. J. Bukauskas (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"Sonny Gray, excellent. We're glad to have him back. He, honest-to-god in a lot of ways, looked like he hadn't missed really any time." - Rocco Baldelli after his team’s win against the Mariners on Wednesday.
 
 
"I commend the Reds for not getting frustrated and potentially retaliating. Sometimes some organizations believe that if you hit one of ours we're going to hit one of yours. I don't (believe that), and I don't think David Bell does. There was a lot of restraint there and I think it was done the right way." - Torey Lovullo after his team’s win against the Reds on Wednesday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Minnesota Twins
Byron Buxton (R) CF
Carlos Correa (R) SS
Gio Urshela (R) 3B
Gary Sanchez (R) DH
Luis Arraez (L) 2B
Jose Miranda (R) 1B
Ryan Jeffers (R) C
Max Kepler (L) RF
Gilberto Celestino (R) LF
 
Arizona Diamondbacks
Daulton Varsho (L) RF
Josh Rojas (L) 3B
Ketel Marte (S) 2B
Christian Walker (R) 1B
David Peralta (L) LF
Pavin Smith (L) DH
Alek Thomas (L) CF
Geraldo Perdomo (S) SS
Jose Herrera (S) C
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Minnesota Twins
Batting Average:  Luis Arraez (.354)
Hits:  Luis Arraez (69)
Home Runs:  Byron Buxton (18)
RBI:  Jorge Polanco (33)
Stolen Bases:  Jorge Polanco (3)
Wins:  Joe Ryan (5)
Saves:  Emilio Pagan (9)
ERA:  Jorge Alcala (0.00)
 
Arizona Diamondbacks
Batting Average:  Ketel Marte (.269)
Hits:  Ketel Marte (60)
Home Runs:  Christian Walker (16)
RBI:  Christian Walker (33)
Stolen Bases:  Daulton Varsho (4)
Wins:  Merrill Kelly (5)
Saves:  Mark Melancon (11)
ERA:  Carson Kelly (0.00)
 
Managers:
Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (4th season)
Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (6th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

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