Minnesota Twins vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/17/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Thursday, Jun 16, 2022
Game Time: 9:40 pm ET, Friday, June 17, 2022
Venue:  Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
Where to Watch:  BSAZ

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -140, Diamondbacks +120; Over/Under:  9 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -140, Diamondbacks +120; Over/Under:  9 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Twins -140, Diamondbacks +120; Over/Under:  9 runs
 

Season Record

Minnesota Twins:  37-28 (1st place, AL Central)
Arizona Diamondbacks:  30-35 (4th place, NL West)
 
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Minnesota Twins vs Arizona Diamondbacks Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Minnesota Twins:  6-4 last 10
Arizona Diamondbacks:  4-6 last 10
 
 
 

Minnesota Twins Analysis

The Twins are coming into this game with a 37-28 record overall and they are 17-14 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. They just won their 3-game series against the Seattle Mariners 2-1, had Thursday off as a rest day, and they are playing the series opener of a 3-game series with the Diamondbacks on Friday. This will be the 1st game of the series on Friday. Sonny Gray was the starting pitcher for them on Wednesday while Devin Smeltzer will be on the mound for them here on Friday. He is 3-0 with a 2.38 ERA this season. His team won 4 of their last 5 games this season with him starting. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 3 HRs, and 3 BB with 3 Ks on 4 hits in 6 IP against the Tampa Bay Rays. They scored 8 runs in their last series averaging just under 3 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 7 runs against them averaging just over 2 runs allowed per game.
 

Arizona Diamondbacks Analysis

The Diamondbacks are coming into this game with a 30-35 record overall and they are 15-18 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games but are coming into this one off of a win in their last game which snapped a 2 game losing streak. They just lost their 3-game series against the Cincinnati Reds 2-1, had Thursday off as a rest day, and they are playing the series opener of a 3-game series with the Twins on Friday. This will be the 1st game of the series on Friday. Zac Gallen was the starting pitcher for them on Wednesday while Madison Bumgarner will be on the mound for them here on Friday. He is 2-6 with a 3.50 ERA this season. His team lost 5 of their last 6 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 1 earned run, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 4 strikeouts on 6 hits in 5 innings played against the Philadelphia Phillies. They scored 14 runs in their last series averaging just under 5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 14 runs against them averaging just under 5 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Twins vs Diamondbacks Prediction

The Twins are coming into this game as a favorite with the current betting odds. They have been playing well recently, they have not been putting big win streaks together but they are picking up series wins and have been scoring runs in their games while their pitching has been good. They have Smeltzer starting in this game and he has been having a great season, he does not allow many runs in his starts but the team also has a lot of success with him starting as they have won most of their games with him on the mound. They are going up against a Diamondbacks team that is coming off of a win in their last game and just had a rest day but they have not been playing well recently and keep on losing a lot of games. They have Bumgarner on the mound here and he has pitched well this season but the team is still losing games with him pitching and part of that is due to a lack of offense. The Twins were not supposed to be very good this season but they have been proving everyone wrong as they lead their division and they still have their winning momentum with them. The best bet here is on the Twins to keep heating up and win this game.
 
Twins Diamondbacks Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, June 17, 2022 (9:40 pm ET start time) is Twins 3 Diamondbacks 1.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Minnesota Twins: 25-12 (+7.8 Units) ML as a favorite of -110 or higher. 37-28 (+8.6 Units) ML in all games. 108-68 UNDER after shutting out their opponent.
Arizona Diamondbacks: 107-180 (-46 Units) ML in all games. 75-149 (-37.9 Units) ML as an underdog of +100 or higher. 10-3 UNDER at home when the total is 9 to 9.5.
 

Key Injuries

 
Minnesota Twins:  M. Sano (3B) Early July - Knee. K. Garlick (CF) Late June - Hamstring. R. Lewis (SS) out for season - Knee.
Arizona Diamondbacks:  K. Marte (CF) Ques Fri - Hamstring. N. Ahmed (SS) out for season - Shoulder. J. Bukauskas (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"Sonny Gray, excellent. We're glad to have him back. He, honest-to-god in a lot of ways, looked like he hadn't missed really any time." - Rocco Baldelli after his team’s win against the Mariners on Wednesday.
 
 
"I commend the Reds for not getting frustrated and potentially retaliating. Sometimes some organizations believe that if you hit one of ours we're going to hit one of yours. I don't (believe that), and I don't think David Bell does. There was a lot of restraint there and I think it was done the right way." - Torey Lovullo after his team’s win against the Reds on Wednesday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Minnesota Twins
Byron Buxton (R) CF
Carlos Correa (R) SS
Gio Urshela (R) 3B
Gary Sanchez (R) DH
Luis Arraez (L) 2B
Jose Miranda (R) 1B
Ryan Jeffers (R) C
Max Kepler (L) RF
Gilberto Celestino (R) LF
 
Arizona Diamondbacks
Daulton Varsho (L) RF
Josh Rojas (L) 3B
Ketel Marte (S) 2B
Christian Walker (R) 1B
David Peralta (L) LF
Pavin Smith (L) DH
Alek Thomas (L) CF
Geraldo Perdomo (S) SS
Jose Herrera (S) C
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Minnesota Twins
Batting Average:  Luis Arraez (.354)
Hits:  Luis Arraez (69)
Home Runs:  Byron Buxton (18)
RBI:  Jorge Polanco (33)
Stolen Bases:  Jorge Polanco (3)
Wins:  Joe Ryan (5)
Saves:  Emilio Pagan (9)
ERA:  Jorge Alcala (0.00)
 
Arizona Diamondbacks
Batting Average:  Ketel Marte (.269)
Hits:  Ketel Marte (60)
Home Runs:  Christian Walker (16)
RBI:  Christian Walker (33)
Stolen Bases:  Daulton Varsho (4)
Wins:  Merrill Kelly (5)
Saves:  Mark Melancon (11)
ERA:  Carson Kelly (0.00)
 
Managers:
Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (4th season)
Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (6th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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