Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/17/2026

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Saturday, January 17, 2026

Venue:  Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX 

Where to Watch:  FDSNO, FDSSW

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +6.5, Spurs -6.5; Over/Under:  229.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +6.5, Spurs -6.5; Over/Under:  229.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +6.5, Spurs -6.5; Over/Under:  229.5 points

Minnesota Timberwolves:  27-14 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

San Antonio Spurs:  28-13 (1st place, Southwest Division)

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Minnesota Timberwolves:  7-3 last 10

San Antonio Spurs:  5-5 last 10

The Timberwolves are entering this game with a 27-14 record overall this season and they are 12-8 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the San Antonio Spurs and the Milwaukee Bucks, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Houston Rockets still to be played on Friday night. In their game against the Bucks, Julius Randle led the team in points in that game with 29 while Bones Hyland was next on the team with 23 points. Donte DiVincenzo led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Julius Randle led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 59.8% from the field, 52.4% from 3-point range, and 58.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 114.6 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 18-23 this season and their O/U record is 20-21.

The Spurs are entering this game with a 28-13 record overall this season and they are 14-5 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Milwaukee Bucks. Victor Wembanyama led the team in points in that game with 22 while Stephon Castle was next on the team with 19 points. Stephon Castle led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Julian Champagnie led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 50.6% from the field, 43.2% from 3-point range, and 85.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.5 PPG against them. The Spurs have an ATS record of 22-18-2 this season and their O/U record is 17-25.

The current betting odds have the Spurs listed as a 6.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Spurs have looked great in their games this season with their 28-13 record overall which has them right near the top of the West with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have looked great on their home court too with their 14-5 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves have looked really good in their games this season with their 27-14 record overall which has them right near the top of the West. They have been a good road team too with their 12-8 road record this year. The Timberwolves have been rolling lately as they are 7-3 in their last 10 games and they have some momentum on their side with 2 wins in a row now. They are off a big win over the Bucks in their last one and looked great even though they were missing Anthony Edwards, but he could still be missing in this game too and that is going to be an issue. The Spurs haven't looked great lately as they are only 5-5 in their last 10 games, but they are off a bounce back win over the Bucks in their last one and will be looking to get the T-Wolves back here. The Spurs lost to the Timberwolves on the road last weekend by 1 point, and they blew a double digit lead in that game so they will be looking to play a full 4 quarters here. They are also catching the Timberwolves in a bad situation with Edwards possibly out and the team on a back-to-back with a really tough road game against the Rockets the night before. Look for the Spurs to take advantage of this and get the Timberwolves back at home. The best way to place a bet here is on the Spurs to cover the spread in this game. 

Timberwolves Spurs Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Saturday, January 17, 2026 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Spurs 111 Timberwolves 99.

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Minnesota Timberwolves: 1-5 1H ATS against Southwest division opponents. 16-24 1H ATS in all games. 15-21 1H ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 23 assists/game or more. 16-9 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% of their shots or more.

San Antonio Spurs: 6-3 ATS after 3 or more consecutive unders. 9-4 ATS off a home win. 17-10 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% of their shots or more. 7-3 UNDER against Northwest division opponents. 12-5 UNDER after playing a home game.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  A. Edwards (SG) Out - Foot. T. Shannon Jr. (SG) Out - Foot.

San Antonio Spurs:  D. Vassell (SG) Out - Thigh.

“Phenomenal effort by our guys, pace, physicality, quickness of decision-making, super sharp, all over the place.” - Chris Finch after his team’s win against the Bucks in their game on Tuesday.

“He's so aggressive, so relentless, such a battering ram, and I mean that complimentary. You can put a small on him and try to have more rim protection or you can put more size on him and try to have resistance early. Neither really has worked over time, but we just changed it up and Steph (Castle) did a great job.” - Mitch Johnson on Giannis Antetokounmpo after his team’s win against the Bucks in their game on Thursday.

PG Donte DiVincenzo

SG Bones Hyland

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Julius Randle

C Rudy Gobert

PG De'Aaron Fox

SG Stephon Castle

SF Julian Champagnie

PF Harrison Barnes

C Victor Wembanyama

PPG: Anthony Edwards (28.9)

APG: Julius Randle (5.7)

Reb/G: Rudy Gobert (11.4)

PPG: Victor Wembanyama (23.9)

APG: Stephon Castle (6.9)

Reb/G: Victor Wembanyama (10.9)

Coaches:

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (6th season)

San Antonio Spurs: Mitch Johnson (2nd season)