Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/05/2024

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Apr 04, 2024
Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Friday, April 5, 2024
Venue:  Footprint Center, Phoenix, AZ
Where to Watch:  NBA TV


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +3, Suns -3; Over/Under:  220 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +3, Suns -3; Over/Under:  220 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +3, Suns -3; Over/Under:  220 points

Season Record

Minnesota Timberwolves:  53-23 (1st place, Northwest Division)
Phoenix Suns:  45-31 (2nd place, Pacific Division)

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Recent Form
Minnesota Timberwolves:  8-2 last 10
Phoenix Suns:  7-3 last 10


Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns Preview and Analysis


The Timberwolves are entering this game with a 53-23 record overall and they are 25-13 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Houston Rockets and the Toronto Raptors in their last game. Anthony Edwards led the team in points in that game with 28 while Naz Reid was next on the team with 23 points. Anthony Edwards led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Rudy Gobert led the team in rebounds with 15. They were 51% from the field, 46.5% from 3-point range, and 68.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 106 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 39-35-2 this season and their O/U record is 37-38-1.



The Suns are entering this game with a 45-31 record overall and they are 24-14 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the New Orleans Pelicans and the Cleveland Cavaliers in their last game. Devin Booker led the team in points in that game with 40 while Kevin Durant was next on the team with 32 points. Devin Booker led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Jusuf Nurkić led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 50.6% from the field, 54.5% from 3-point range, and 94.1% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 113.9 PPG against them. The Suns have an ATS record of 32-42-2 this season and their O/U record is 34-41-1.


Timberwolves vs Suns Prediction

The current betting odds have the Timberwolves listed as a 3 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Timberwolves have looked really good in their games this season with their 53-23 record overall which has them right near the top of the West with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They are in a tight race at the top of the West for the number 1 seed in the conference and they have been a really good road team this year with their 25-13 road record. Meanwhile, the Suns have also looked good in their games this season with their 45-31 record overall which has them in a playoff spot in the West right now, but that record also has them right on the cusp of dropping into the play-in games since there is a tight race in the middle of the West right now. The Suns have looked good on their home court this year with their 24-14 home record and they will be looking to surge up the standings in these last few games of the regular season, but they still haven't been as good on their home court this year as the Timberwolves have been on the road. The Timberwolves have been one of the best in the West all season as they have been a lot more consistent than the Suns have been and they are also the hotter team coming into this one. Both teams have some momentum right now with 2 wins in a row, but the Suns are 7-3 in their last 10 games while the T-Wolves are 8-2. The Suns have looked great against weaker teams lately but they have struggled in these big games while the Timberwolves have the talent to hold their own against a team like the Suns. The best way to place a bet here is on the Timberwolves to cover the spread in this game. 

Timberwolves Suns Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, April 5, 2024 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Timberwolves 124 Suns 116.
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NBA Betting Trends


Minnesota Timberwolves: 14-7 ATS as an underdog. 18-9 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent. 25-16 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more. 15-7 OVER in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5. 21-12 OVER after 2 or more consecutive wins. 8-3 OVER after allowing 90 points or less.

Phoenix Suns: 15-22 ATS in home games. 7-14 ATS off a home blowout win by 20 points or more. 15-26 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins. 9-5 OVER against Northwest division opponents. 8-4 OVER after a blowout win by 15 points or more. 

Key Injuries


Minnesota Timberwolves:  K. Towns (C) Mid April - Knee. J. Clark (SG) Out indefinitely - Achilles.

Phoenix Suns:  G. Allen (SG) Ques Fri - Hip. D. Lee (SG) Out indefinitely - Knee.


Notable Quotes


“Taking care of business, taking advantage of a severely depleted team, and just kind of kept growing the lead. That was the challenge at halftime was to play against our own standard. Guys I thought for the most part did a great job of that all game long.” - Chris Finch after his team’s win against the Raptors in their game on Wednesday.


“I think it's just the energy throughout our whole team, understanding what's at stake and what time of year it is. The ball's hopping around, we're defending at a high level." - Devin Booker after their win against the Cavaliers in their game on Wednesday.


Starting Lineups


Minnesota Timberwolves
PG Monte Morris
SG Anthony Edwards
SF Jaden McDaniels
PF Naz Reid
C Rudy Gobert

Phoenix Suns
PG Devin Booker
SG Bradley Beal
SF Royce O'Neale
PF Kevin Durant
C Jusuf Nurkic

Statistical Leaders


Minnesota Timberwolves
PPG: A. Edwards (26.1)
APG: M. Conley (6)
Reb/G: R. Gobert (12.9)

Phoenix Suns
PPG: D. Booker (27.6)
APG: D. Booker (6.9)
Reb/G: J. Nurkic (11)

Coaches:
Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (4th season)
Phoenix Suns: Frank Vogel (1st season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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