Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/22/2025

Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Thursday, May 22, 2025

Venue:  Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK 

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +7.5, Thunder -7.5; Over/Under:  214.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +7.5, Thunder -7.5; Over/Under:  214 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +7.5, Thunder -7.5; Over/Under:  214.5 points

Minnesota Timberwolves:  49-33 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

Oklahoma City Thunder:  68-14 (1st place, Northwest Division)

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Minnesota Timberwolves:  7-3 last 10

Oklahoma City Thunder:  7-3 last 10

The Timberwolves are entering the playoffs with a 49-33 record overall this season and they were 24-17 in their road games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Oklahoma City Thunder. Julius Randle led the team in points in that game with 28 while Anthony Edwards was next on the team with 18 points. Naz Reid led the team in assists in that game with 4 while Anthony Edwards led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 34.9% from the field, 29.4% from 3-point range, and 71.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.3 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 46-46-1 this season and their O/U record is 49-44.

The Thunder are entering the playoffs with a 68-14 record overall this season and they were 35-6 in their home games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Denver Nuggets and the Minnesota Timberwolves. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 31 while Jalen Williams was next on the team with 19 points. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Jalen Williams and Isaiah Joe each led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 50% from the field, 52.4% from 3-point range, and 80.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 107.6 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 58-33-4 this season and their O/U record is 50-43-2.

The current betting odds have the Thunder listed as a 7.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 2 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Thunder and the 6th seeded Timberwolves for the Western Conference Finals of the NBA playoffs. The Thunder are leading this series 1-0 after winning game 1 at home. The Thunder took a 1-0 series lead with a 114-88 win over the Timberwolves in the 1st game of this series and they really set the tone in that game. The Timberwolves came out strong as the better team in the first half and even had a lead at halftime, but the Thunder were able to weather the storm and eventually blew the game open in the 2nd half. The Thunder are starting to roll now with 2 wins in a row and both of those wins have been by large margins. The Timberwolves are going to fight hard to have a response in this game, but the Thunder have also been rolling on their home court throughout the playoffs. The Timberwolves were only able to hang on for so long in game 1, but the talent that the Thunder have is just better as they were the best team in the NBA this season for a reason. This game isn't going to be any different from the first game of this series with the way the Thunder are starting to roll now. The best way to place a bet here is on the Thunder to cover the spread in this game. 

Timberwolves Thunder Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, May 22, 2025 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Thunder 118 Timberwolves 94.

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Minnesota Timberwolves: 14-22 ATS when the total is 210 to 219.5. 1-5 ATS in the conference finals. 2-8 ATS after a blowout loss by 20 points or more. 7-3 OVER when trailing in a playoff series. 7-3 OVER after a blowout loss by 20 points or more.

Oklahoma City Thunder: 13-5 ATS off a home win against a division rival. 30-19 ATS after a blowout win by 20 points or more. 35-20 ATS after allowing 100 points or less. 26-17 OVER as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. 49-26 OVER at home after playing a home game. 

Minnesota Timberwolves:  None.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  N. Topic (PG) Out For Season - ACL.

“It’s Game 1. They won at home. Congrats to them. They played really well. There’s another game in two days.” - Chris Finch after his team’s loss against the OKC Thunder in game 1 of this series on Tuesday.

“For us to play as poorly as we did offensively in the first half and be down four was a major victory for us at halftime." - Mark Daigneault after his team’s win against the Timberwolves in game 1 of this series on Tuesday.

PG Mike Conley

SG Anthony Edwards

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Julius Randle

C Rudy Gobert

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

SG Luguentz Dort

SF Jalen Williams

PF Chet Holmgren

C Isaiah Hartenstein

PPG: A. Edwards (27.6)

APG: J. Randle (4.7)

Reb/G: R. Gobert (10.9)

PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (32.7)

APG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (6.4)

Reb/G: I. Hartenstein (10.7)

Coaches:

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (5th season)

Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (5th season)