Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/20/2025

Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Tuesday, May 20, 2025

Venue:  Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK 

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +7.5, Thunder -7.5; Over/Under:  215.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +7.5, Thunder -7.5; Over/Under:  215.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +7.5, Thunder -7.5; Over/Under:  215.5 points

Minnesota Timberwolves:  49-33 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

Oklahoma City Thunder:  68-14 (1st place, Northwest Division)

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Minnesota Timberwolves:  8-2 last 10

Oklahoma City Thunder:  7-3 last 10

The Timberwolves are entering the playoffs with a 49-33 record overall this season and they were 24-17 in their road games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 4 game winning streak with wins coming against the Golden State Warriors 4 times in a row. Julius Randle led the team in points in that game with 29 while Anthony Edwards was next on the team with 22 points. Anthony Edwards led the team in assists in that game with 12 while Julius Randle and Rudy Gobert each led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 62.8% from the field, 41.9% from 3-point range, and 66.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.3 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 46-45-1 this season and their O/U record is 49-43.

The Thunder are entering the playoffs with a 68-14 record overall this season and they were 35-6 in their home games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Denver Nuggets. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 35 while Jalen Williams was next on the team with 24 points. Jalen Williams led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Chet Holmgren led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 49% from the field, 30.8% from 3-point range, and 79.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 107.6 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 57-33-4 this season and their O/U record is 50-42-2.

The current betting odds have the Thunder listed as a 7.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 1 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Thunder and the 6th seeded Timberwolves for the Western Conference Finals of the NBA playoffs. The Thunder are coming off a 4-3 series win over the Nuggets while the Timberwolves are coming off a 4-1 series win over the Warriors in their last one. The Timberwolves have a big rest advantage here since they finished their series last week while the Thunder went up to Sunday, but the Thunder also have a really young team that can afford to play some extra games, and they also swept the Grizzlies in the 1st round of the playoffs so there isn't that much wear and tear for them yet. The Thunder struggled on the road against the Nuggets in the last series and even struggled in their 2 road games against the Grizzlies, even though they won both, but they have looked a lot better at home in the playoffs with a lot of wins by double digits. The Timberwolves went to the Western Conference Finals last season so they have some experience to lean on here and even won both of their series in these playoffs in 5 games, but the Timberwolves haven't been as consistent as the Thunder have been on offense as the Timberwolves have had a few dud games in the playoffs so far. The Thunder are rolling right now and they are going to have a ton of momentum from that game 7 win at home against a team that has won the championship in the last few years. Look for the Thunder to come out strong on their home court here like they have all throughout the playoffs and set the tone for this series. The best way to place a bet here is on the Thunder to cover the spread in this game. 

Timberwolves Thunder Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, May 20, 2025 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Thunder 124 Timberwolves 107.

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Minnesota Timberwolves: 1-4 ATS in the conference finals. 2-4 ATS after a game where they made 60% of their shots or better. 12-20 1H ATS on Tuesday nights. 15-8 OVER as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points. 4-1 OVER in the conference finals.

Oklahoma City Thunder: 26-16 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. 12-5 ATS off a home win against a division rival. 29-19 ATS after a blowout win by 20 points or more. 26-16 OVER as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. 

Minnesota Timberwolves:  None.

Oklahoma City Thunder:  N. Topic (PG) Out For Season - ACL.

“I just try to do my best to read the game in the best way I can. They threw different coverages at us all series long.” - Julius Randle after their win against the Warriors in game 5 of that series on Wednesday.

“There’s not many games, you wake up in the morning and you know that you’re going to remember the game for the rest of your life, and Game 7 is one of them. To be able to focus through that and perform the way these guys did today was very impressive.” - Mark Daigneault after his team’s win against the Nuggets in game 7 of that series on Sunday.

PG Mike Conley

SG Anthony Edwards

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Julius Randle

C Rudy Gobert

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

SG Luguentz Dort

SF Jalen Williams

PF Chet Holmgren

C Isaiah Hartenstein

PPG: A. Edwards (27.6)

APG: J. Randle (4.7)

Reb/G: R. Gobert (10.9)

PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (32.7)

APG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (6.4)

Reb/G: I. Hartenstein (10.7)

Coaches:

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (5th season)

Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (5th season)