Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/04/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Thursday, Mar 03, 2022
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Friday, March 4, 2022
Venue:  Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
Where to Watch:  BSOK

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves -7.5, Thunder +7.5; Over/Under:  NL points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves -7.5, Thunder +7.5; Over/Under:  NL points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves -7.5, Thunder +7.5; Over/Under:  NL points
 

Season Record

Minnesota Timberwolves:  34-29 (3rd place, Northwest Division)
Oklahoma City Thunder:  20-42 (5th place, Northwest Division)
 
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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Minnesota Timberwolves:  6-4 last 10
Oklahoma City Thunder:  3-7 last 10
 
 
 

Minnesota Timberwolves Analysis

The Timberwolves are coming into this game with a 34-29 record overall and they are 15-17 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game winning streak. Their last loss was against the Philadelphia 76ers while their 3 wins in that span came against the Memphis Grizzlies, the Cleveland Cavaliers, and the Golden State Warriors in their last game. Karl-Anthony Towns led the team in points in that game with 39 while D'Angelo Russell was next on the team with 22 points. Malik Beasley off the bench also scored 20 points in that one as well. Russell and Patrick Beverley led the team in assists in that game with 7 each while Towns led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 52.8% from the field, 40% from 3-point range, and 82.6% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 113.6 PPG and their defense is averaging their opponents to average 112.3 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 33-29-1 this season and their O/U record is 39-24.
 
 

Oklahoma City Thunder Analysis

The Thunder are coming into this game with a 20-42 record overall and they are 9-21 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. Their last loss was against the Sacramento Kings while their 2 wins in that span came against the Indiana Pacers and the Denver Nuggets in their last game. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 29 while Isaiah Roby was next on the team with 26 points. Gilgeous-Alexander and Roby both led the team in assists in that game with 5 each while Aleksej Pokuševski led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 50.6% from the field, 55.2% from 3-point range, and 71.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 102.1 PPG and their defense is averaging their opponents to average 108.7 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 37-21-4 this season and their O/U record is 29-33.
 
 

 

Timberwolves vs Thunder Prediction

The T-Wolves have been playing very well in their recent games. They have won their last 2 straight and 3 of their last 4 games but they have been winning against some of the better teams in the NBA in that span. Their have wins over the Grizzlies and the Warriors, both teams who are top 3 in the Western Conference, and they have beaten the Cavaliers who are also having a very good season. The Timberwolves have been inconsistent at times this season but when they are healthy they have been a very tough team to play against and they have been healthy in their recent games. They are going up against a Thunder team that has also been playing much better recently ever since they got their best player back but they are still one of the worst teams in the NBA this season and the Timberwolves should be able to get by them here. The Thunder have won 2 of their last 3 games but they have lost 7 of their last 10 and they have some pretty bad losses in that span. The Timberwolves have a lot more talent on their side and they have been playing much better in recent games. The Timberwolves will win this game on the road by double digits as they continue to pick up steam in their games.
 
Timberwolves Thunder Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, March 4, 2022 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Timberwolves 131 Thunder 113.
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NBA Betting Trends

 
Minnesota Timberwolves: 11-25 ATS off an upset win as an underdog. 14-24 ATS off a home win. 51-29 OVER as a road underdog.
Oklahoma City Thunder: 39-21 ATS in all games. 16-10 ATS as a home underdog. 17-11 ATS in home games.
 

Key Injuries

 
Minnesota Timberwolves:  A. Edwards (SG) Ques Fri - Knee injury. M. Wright IV (PG) Mid March - Elbow injury.
Oklahoma City Thunder:  K. Williams (SG) Out indefinitely - Knee injury. T. Jerome (SG) Out indefinitely - Hip injury. A. Wiggins (SG) Ques Fri - Ankle injury. D. Favors (PF) Ques Fri - Back injury. M. Muscala (PF) Mid March - Ankle injury. L. Dort (SG) Out indefinitely - Shoulder injury. J. Giddey (SG) Out indefinitely - Hip injury. J. Robinson-Earl (SF) Mid March - Foot injury.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"You're playing the Golden State Warriors, you know how everyone feels about that. You wake up with a different energy and a different vibe." - KAT on their win against the Warriors on Tuesday night.
 
 
"We needed everybody's contributions to win the game tonight. But I also think games like this, when you're down as many guys as we are, it builds confidence in what we're doing. It builds confidence in our identity and our style, knowing that if we lean back on that, it can be effective regardless of who we have on the court." - Mark Daigneault on his team’s win against the Nuggets on Wednesday night.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Minnesota Timberwolves
PG     Patrick Beverley
SG     D'Angelo Russell
SF     Anthony Edwards
PF     Jarred Vanderbilt
C     Karl-Anthony Towns
 
Oklahoma City Thunder
PG     Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
SG     Tre Mann
SF     Aleksej Pokusevski
PF     Darius Bazley
C     Isaiah Roby
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Minnesota Timberwolves
PPG: K. Towns (24.5)
APG: D. Russell (6.9)
Reb/G: K. Towns (9.6)
 
Oklahoma City Thunder
PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (23.6)
APG: J. Giddey (6.4)
Reb/G: J. Giddey (7.8)
 
Coaches:
Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (2nd season)
Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (3rd season)
 


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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