Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/12/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Friday, Mar 11, 2022
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Saturday, March 12, 2022
Venue:  FTX Arena, Miami, FL
Where to Watch:  BSSUN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +6, Heat -6; Over/Under:  224.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +5.5, Heat -5.5; Over/Under:  225.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +5.5, Heat -5.5; Over/Under:  225.5 points
 

Season Record

Minnesota Timberwolves:  38-29 (3rd place, Northwest Division)
Miami Heat:  44-23 (1st place, Southeast Division)
 
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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Minnesota Timberwolves:  8-2 last 10
Miami Heat:  7-3 last 10
 
 
 

Minnesota Timberwolves Analysis

The Timberwolves are coming into this game with a 38-29 record overall and they are 16-17 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 7 of their last 8 games and are coming into this one on a 6 game winning streak. Their last loss was against the Philadelphia 76ers while their 7 wins in that span came against the Memphis Grizzlies, the Cleveland Cavaliers, the Golden State Warriors, the Oklahoma City Thunder, the Portland Trail Blazers twice, and the Thunder again in their last game. They still have a game against the Orlando Magic on Friday night that needs to be played first so this will be the 2nd leg of a back-to-back for them on Saturday night. In their game against the Thunder, Malik Beasley led the team in points in that game with 33 while Taurean Prince off the bench was next on the team with 17 points. D'Angelo Russell led the team in assists in that game with 12 while Karl-Anthony Towns led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 52.3% from the field, 42.3% from 3-point range, and 76.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.7 PPG and their defense is averaging their opponents to average 111.6 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 36-29-2 this season and their O/U record is 41-26.
 
 

Miami Heat Analysis

The Heat are coming into this game with a 44-23 record overall and they are 23-8 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 3 of their last 4 games but are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which snapped a 3 game winning streak that they were on. Their 3 wins in that span were against the Brooklyn Nets, the Philadelphia 76ers, and the Houston Rockets while their loss came against the Phoenix Suns in their last game. Duncan Robinson led the team in points in that game with 22 while Bam Adebayo and Tyler Herro off the bench were both next on the team with 17 points each. Kyle Lowry led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Adebayo and P. J. Tucker both led the team in rebounds with 6 each. They were 39.8% from the field, 30.3% from 3-point range, and 76.9% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 109.4 PPG and their defense is averaging their opponents to average 104.7 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 39-27-1 this season and their O/U record is 39-28.
 
 

 

Timberwolves vs Heat Prediction

The Timberwolves have been playing very well in their recent games coming into this one. They have won their last 6 straight games but now their team is a little banged up for this game. A few of their starters are injured right now and they all might still play in this game but they are still dealing with the injury issue whether they play or not and they will not be going against a banged up team here like they have been in a lot of their games recently. They are going up against a Heat team that has been playing so well recently that they just keep winning games and have now shot up to the top of the Eastern Conference. The Heat will also have most of their starters in for this game but even if they do not all play, they have still been playing great and have been winning their games. Both of these teams have been playing very well and will be tough to stop here so this will be a close game but with all the injuries that the Timberwolves have to deal with here, the Heat will win this game by single digits.
 
Timberwolves Heat Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Saturday, March 12, 2022 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Heat 114 Timberwolves 106.
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NBA Betting Trends

 
Minnesota Timberwolves: 67-102 ATS against Southeast division opponents. 51-29 OVER as a road underdog. 65-36 OVER in road games. 
Miami Heat: 39-26 ATS in all games. 60-41 OVER in home games. 15-4 OVER revenging a loss vs opponent.
 

Key Injuries

 
Minnesota Timberwolves:  T. Prince (SF) Ques Fri - Back injury. J. McLaughlin (PG) Ques Fri - Groin injury. A. Edwards (SG) Ques Fri - Knee injury. J. Vanderbilt (SF) Ques Fri - Quadricep injury. P. Beverley (PG) Ques Fri - Ankle injury. M. Wright IV (PG) Mid March - Elbow injury.
Miami Heat:  C. Martin (SF) Ques Fri - Knee injury. J. Butler (PF) Ques Fri - Infection. M. Morris (PF) out for season - Neck injury.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"With shooters, when they see the ball go in that much, that easily, that early, the rim just gets bigger and bigger for them. I was really proud of Malik." - Chris Finch after his team’s win against the Thunder on Wednesday night.
 
 
"I'm sure they remembered that. They wanted to really make a statement tonight. They just outplayed us." - Erik Spoelstra on his team’s win against the Suns on Wednesday night.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Minnesota Timberwolves
PG     Patrick Beverley
SG     D'Angelo Russell
SF     Anthony Edwards
PF     Jarred Vanderbilt
C     Karl-Anthony Towns
 
Miami Heat
PG     Kyle Lowry
SG     Duncan Robinson
SF     Jimmy Butler
PF    P.J. Tucker
C     Bam Adebayo
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Minnesota Timberwolves
PPG: K. Towns (24.5)
APG: D. Russell (7.1)
Reb/G: K. Towns (9.7)
 
Miami Heat
PPG: J. Butler (21.4)
APG: K. Lowry (7.9)
Reb/G: B. Adebayo (10.2)
 
Coaches:
Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (2nd season)
Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (14th season)
 


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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