Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/07/2025

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Friday, March 7, 2025

Venue:  Kaseya Center, Miami, FL

Where to Watch:  FDSSUN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves -4.5, Heat +4.5; Over/Under:  214.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves -4.5, Heat +4.5; Over/Under:  214.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves -4.5, Heat +4.5; Over/Under:  214.5 points

Minnesota Timberwolves:  35-29 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

Miami Heat:  29-32 (1st place, Southeast Division)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Jim Feist is on a HOT STREAK in the NBA on a 16-9 NBA RUN for +$6,050 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  5-5 last 10

Miami Heat:  4-6 last 10

The Timberwolves are entering this game with a 35-29 record overall this season and they are 18-15 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Phoenix Suns, the Philadelphia 76ers, and the Charlotte Hornets. Jaden McDaniels and Anthony Edwards each led the team in points in that game with 29 while Julius Randle was next on the team with 25 points. Julius Randle led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Julius Randle, Jaden McDaniels, and Naz Reid each led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 48.9% from the field, 42.9% from 3-point range, and 72.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 112.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.1 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 29-34-1 this season and their O/U record is 35-29.

The Heat are entering this game with a 29-32 record overall this season and they are 15-12 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Cleveland Cavaliers. Bam Adebayo led the team in points in that game with 34 while Duncan Robinson was next on the team with 14 points. Davion Mitchell and Kyle Anderson each led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Bam Adebayo led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 43.4% from the field, 36.1% from 3-point range, and 88% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 110.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.6 PPG against them. The Heat have an ATS record of 27-33-1 this season and their O/U record is 33-28.

The current betting odds have the Timberwolves listed as a 4.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Timberwolves have looked good in their games this season with their 35-29 record overall which has them right in the middle of the West and in a play-in spot. They are in the first play-in spot in the West at the moment and they have plenty of time to climb into a true playoff spot. They have been a good road team too with their 18-15 road record this season. Meanwhile, the Heat haven't looked good in their games this season with their 29-32 record overall, but that record has them right in the middle of the East and in the first play-in spot. They have looked a lot better on their home court this year with their 15-12 home record, but they have some work to do to get into a true playoff spot so they will be trying to hold down this first spot for the play-in tournament. The Heat were struggling before they traded away Jimmy Butler and they haven't looked that much better or worse without him, but they haven't been great lately. They are 4-6 in their last 10 games and coming off a loss to the Cavaliers in their last one. The Timberwolves haven't looked that great lately either as they are 5-5 in their last 10 games, but they have some momentum on their side with 3 wins in a row now. They have also been hovering right around .500 for most of the season, but now they are starting to climb the standings more as they are also getting healthier with key players returning to the lineup. The Heat are still in playoff contention, but they haven't been playing like a playoff team lately while the Timberwolves have looked a lot better over the last week and can take advantage of the Heat in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Timberwolves to cover the spread in this game. 

Timberwolves Heat Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, March 7, 2025 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Timberwolves 117 Heat 109.

Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert basketball picks today.  And if you enjoyed this Minnesota Timberwolves Miami Heat prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NBA predictions and previews.

Minnesota Timberwolves: 25-10 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite. 31-19 ATS on the road versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 turnovers/game or less. 19-10 1H UNDER after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. 40-28 1H UNDER revenging a same season loss vs opponent.

Miami Heat: 12-21 ATS against Northwest division opponents. 11-21 ATS as a home underdog. 14-28 ATS at home in non-conference games. 16-5 UNDER after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. 

Minnesota Timberwolves:  M. Conley (PG) Day To Day - Rest. R. Gobert (C) Day To Day - Back.

Miami Heat:  T. Herro (SG) Day To Day - Illness. K. Ware (C) Day To Day - Knee. J. Jaquez (SF) Day To Day - Ankle. A. Wiggins (SF) Day To Day - Ankle. N. Jović (PF) Out - Hand. D. Smith Out For Season - Achilles.

"It's been a process. Finch has worked his a** off trying to help me get acclimated and feel comfortable, and we had a talk in Dallas and we were just like, 'Man, like it's going to happen when it's supposed to happen.' Sometimes in life, you can't really force things. You just got to go through bumps and bruises, the trial and error of things and just kind of figure it out and let it happen. That's really what this season has been about, and I just appreciate him keeping confidence in me and I keep confidence in him, obviously." - Julius Randle after their win against the Hornets in their game on Wednesday.

“Bam has been a monster for us. He’s doing it on both ends. He’s scoring, facilitating, handling, organizing our offense and [scoring at] the end of offense.” - Erik Spoelstra on Bam Adebayo this season.

PG Donte DiVincenzo

SG Anthony Edwards

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Julius Randle

C Naz Reid

PG Davion Mitchell

SG Tyler Herro

SF Duncan Robinson

PF Bam Adebayo

C Kel'el Ware

PPG: A. Edwards (27.5)

APG: A. Edwards (4.6)

Reb/G: R. Gobert (10.4)

PPG: T. Herro (23.9)

APG: T. Herro (5.7)

Reb/G: B. Adebayo (10)

Coaches:

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (5th season)

Miami Heat: Erik Spoelstra (17th season)