Minnesota Timberwolves vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/07/2024

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Thursday, March 7, 2024

Venue:  Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN

Where to Watch:  BSIN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves -2, Pacers +2; Over/Under:  230.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves -2, Pacers +2; Over/Under:  230.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves -2, Pacers +2; Over/Under:  230.5 points

Minnesota Timberwolves:  43-19 (1st place, Northwest Division)

Indiana Pacers:  35-28 (3rd place, Central Division)

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Minnesota Timberwolves:  7-3 last 10

Indiana Pacers:  6-4 last 10

The Timberwolves are entering this game with a 43-19 record overall and they are 20-11 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Portland Trail Blazers in their last game. Rudy Gobert led the team in points in that game with 25 while Mike Conley Jr. was next on the team with 19 points. Mike Conley Jr. led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Rudy Gobert led the team in rebounds with 16. They were 50.6% from the field, 39.3% from 3-point range, and 75.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 106.5 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 30-30-2 this season and their O/U record is 30-31-1.

The Pacers are entering this game with a 35-28 record overall and they are 20-12 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Dallas Mavericks in their last game. Myles Turner led the team in points in that game with 20 while Tyrese Haliburton and Bennedict Mathurin each were next on the team with 19 points. Tyrese Haliburton led the team in assists in that game with 11 while Pascal Siakam led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 53.8% from the field, 46.2% from 3-point range, and 79.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 123.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 122 PPG against them. The Pacers have an ATS record of 33-28-3 this season and their O/U record is 33-29-2.

The current betting odds have the Timberwolves listed as a 2 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Timberwolves have looked really good in their games this season with their 43-19 record overall which has them leading the West right now with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have also been a really good road team this year with their 20-11 road record. Meanwhile, the Pacers have looked good in their games this season with their 35-28 record overall, but that record only has them in 8th place in the East and fighting to keep their play-in spot for the playoffs. They have been good on their home court with their 20-12 home record but they haven't been a good defensive team all season. They are a really good offensive team but they haven't been good on the defensive end while the Timberwolves have one of the best defenses in the league right now. The Timberwolves have also been hot lately with their 7-3 record in their last 10 games and they got some momentum back with a win in their last one. The Pacers have looked good this season but they have still been a really up and down team that doesn't have the defensive effort to compete with one of the best in the West. The best way to place a bet here is on the Timberwolves to cover the spread in this game. 

Timberwolves Pacers Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, March 7, 2024 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Timberwolves 121 Pacers 113.

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Minnesota Timberwolves: 17-24 ATS after a win by 6 points or less. 16-22 ATS when playing with 2 days rest. 18-11 OVER off a win against a division rival. 48-34 OVER in non-conference games. 27-19 OVER after a division game.

Indiana Pacers: 26-16 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less. 8-2 ATS off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog. 20-12 OVER in home games. 20-11 OVER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 

Minnesota Timberwolves:  J. McLaughlin (PG) Ques Thurs - Illness. J. Minott (SF) Ques Thurs - Illness. J. Clark (SG) Out indefinitely - Achilles.

Indiana Pacers:  D. McDermott (SF) Ques Thurs - Calf.

“We absolutely had to have this one.” - Chris Finch after his team’s win against the Trail Blazers in their game on Tuesday.

“We were due to play better. Last couple games have been tough, but the team made some very good adjustments for this game, and we were able to play faster and more aggressively and move the ball better.” - Rick Carlisle after his team’s win against the Mavericks in their game on Tuesday.

PG Mike Conley

SG Anthony Edwards

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Karl-Anthony Towns

C Rudy Gobert

PG Tyrese Haliburton

SG Andrew Nembhard

SF Aaron Nesmith 

PF Pascal Siakam 

C Myles Turner

PPG: A. Edwards (26.1)

APG: M. Conley (6.2)

Reb/G: R. Gobert (12.8)

PPG: P. Siakam (21.6)

APG: T. Haliburton (11.3)

Reb/G: M. Turner (7.1)

Coaches:

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (4th season)

Indiana Pacers: Rick Carlisle (3rd season)