Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/10/2026

Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Friday, April 10, 2026

Venue:  Toyota Center, Houston, TX

Where to Watch:  Prime Video

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +10.5, Rockets -10.5; Over/Under:  222.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +10.5, Rockets -10.5; Over/Under:  222.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +10.5, Rockets -10.5; Over/Under:  222.5 points

Minnesota Timberwolves:  47-33 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

Houston Rockets:  50-29 (2nd place, Southwest Division)

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Minnesota Timberwolves:  4-6 last 10

Houston Rockets:  8-2 last 10

The Timberwolves are entering this game with a 47-33 record overall this season and they are 22-18 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Orlando Magic. Terrence Shannon Jr. led the team in points in that game with 33 while Jaden McDaniels was next on the team with 18 points. Terrence Shannon Jr. led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Joan Beringer led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 50% from the field, 40.9% from 3-point range, and 85.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 114.3 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 34-46 this season and their O/U record is 35-45.

The Rockets are entering this game with a 50-29 record overall this season and they are 28-10 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 7 game winning streak with wins coming against the Memphis Grizzlies, the New Orleans Pelicans, the New York Knicks, the Milwaukee Bucks, the Utah Jazz, the Golden State Warriors, and the Phoenix Suns, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Philadelphia 76ers still to be played on Thursday night. In their game against the Suns, Kevin Durant led the team in points in that game with 24 while Amen Thompson was next on the team with 22 points. Amen Thompson led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Alperen Şengün led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 45% from the field, 36.8% from 3-point range, and 93.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.9 PPG against them. The Rockets have an ATS record of 34-45 this season and their O/U record is 37-41-1.

The current betting odds have the Rockets listed as a 10.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Rockets have looked good in their games this season with their 50-29 record overall which has them in the top half of the West. They have looked great on their home court too with their 28-10 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves have looked good in their games this season with their 47-33 record overall which has them in the top half of the West. They have been a good road team too with their 22-18 road record this year. The Timberwolves have been a good team in the West all season, but lately they haven't looked good at all and a lot of that has to do with them dealing with some injuries. They have been missing Anthony Edwards along with some other key players and they haven't looked like the same team. They are 4-6 in their last 10 games and they are off another double digit loss to the Magic in their last one. They are already shorthanded and they don't really need to win these last few games as they are 3.5 games behind the team ahead of them so they can't really move up in the standings, but they have also clinched a playoff spot and can't fall into the play-in tournament. The Rockets have also gotten healthy now and they have been rolling in their games lately. They are 8-2 in their last 10 games and they have a ton of momentum on their side with 7 wins in a row now. They aren't in the best situation here since they are playing this game on a back-to-back with a game against the 76ers the night before, but they are at home for both games and can still take advantage of a banged up Timberwolves team at home where the Rockets have looked so much better this season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rockets to cover the spread in this game. 

Timberwolves Rockets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, April 10, 2026 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Rockets 113 Timberwolves 99.

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Minnesota Timberwolves: 37-29 ATS as a road underdog. 27-18 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game. 34-27 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%). 7-1 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%). 35-19 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 46% of their shots or more. 

Houston Rockets: 16-23 ATS in home games. 10-18 ATS off a home win. 23-31 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% of their shots or more. 24-14 UNDER in home games. 24-13 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  R. Gobert (C) Out - Rest. J. Randle (PF) Out - Hand. M. Conley (PG) Out - Rest. A. Dosunmu (SG) Out - Rest. A. Edwards (SG) Out - Knee.

Houston Rockets:  S. Adams (C) Out For Season - Ankle. F. VanVleet (PG) Out For Season - ACL.

“Just the coming down from the jumping and the random things that happen in a basketball game, how he reacts to that. Haven’t talked to him, but didn’t seem like there was anything that was sticking out.” - Chris Finch after his team’s loss against the Magic in their game on Wednesday. 

“We turned it around pretty quickly. It shows we’ve got that will and that grit to get back in it. It shows we’ve grown in that area. To be down 21 and win by (14), it was a huge turnaround for a lot of reasons, but I don’t think anybody held their heads.” - Ime Udoka after his team’s win against the Suns in their game on Tuesday. 

PG Donte DiVincenzo

SG Ayo Dosunmu

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Julius Randle

C Rudy Gobert

PG Amen Thompson

SG Reed Sheppard

SF Kevin Durant

PF Jabari Smith Jr.

C Alperen Sengun

PPG: Anthony Edwards (28.9)

APG: Julius Randle (5)

Reb/G: Rudy Gobert (11.5)

PPG: Kevin Durant (25.8)

APG: Alperen Sengun (6.2)

Reb/G: Alperen Sengun (8.9)

Coaches:

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (6th season)

Houston Rockets: Ime Udoka (3rd season)