Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/21/2025

Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Friday, February 21, 2025

Venue:  Toyota Center, Houston, TX

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +3.5, Rockets -3.5; Over/Under:  216 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +3.5, Rockets -3.5; Over/Under:  216 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +3.5, Rockets -3.5; Over/Under:  216 points

Minnesota Timberwolves:  31-25 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

Houston Rockets:  34-21 (2nd place, Southwest Division)

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Minnesota Timberwolves:  6-4 last 10

Houston Rockets:  3-7 last 10

The Timberwolves are entering this game with a 31-25 record overall this season and they are 15-12 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Oklahoma City Thunder. Naz Reid led the team in points in that game with 27 while Anthony Edwards was next on the team with 23 points. Naz Reid and Anthony Edwards each led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Naz Reid led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 42.4% from the field, 26.1% from 3-point range, and 90.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 111.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 108.1 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 24-31-1 this season and their O/U record is 29-27.

The Rockets are entering this game with a 34-21 record overall this season and they are 17-9 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Golden State Warriors. Aaron Holiday led the team in points in that game with 25 while Jock Landale was next on the team with 13 points. Amen Thompson led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Alperen Şengün led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 40.9% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 55.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 112.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 108.6 PPG against them. The Rockets have an ATS record of 29-25-1 this season and their O/U record is 28-26-1.

The current betting odds have the Rockets listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Rockets have looked good in their games this season with their 34-21 record overall which has them in the top half of the West and in a playoff spot at the moment. They have also been good on their home court with their 17-9 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves have looked good in their games this season with their 31-25 record overall which has them in the top half of the West, but they are also in the first play-in spot and have a chance to jump up into a true playoff spot. They have been a good road team with their 15-12 road record too, but they have also been really up and down this season. They have looked better lately as they are 6-4 in their last 10 games and went into the All-Star break off a win over the Thunder, but they are missing some key players in their lineup and the Rockets can take advantage of that. The Rockets haven't looked good at all lately as they are 3-7 in their last 10 games and went into the break off a home loss to the Warriors, but the All-Star break was a much needed break for them and that has given them a chance to get healthy and reset. The Rockets were in 2nd place in the West for most of the season before hitting a slump that has dropped them down to 4th, but they will come out with their best effort here now that they have a week of rest under their belt. The break came at the perfect time for the Rockets and now they have a chance to get back on track with a home win right out of the gate against a Timberwolves team that has been really up and down all season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rockets to cover the spread in this game. 

Timberwolves Rockets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, February 21, 2025 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Rockets 112 Timberwolves 108.

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Minnesota Timberwolves: 28-19 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less. 23-15 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game. 40-29 OVER as a road underdog.

Houston Rockets: 11-17 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. 20-27 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). 14-6 OVER as a home favorite of 6 points or less. 

Minnesota Timberwolves:  R. Gobert (C) Day To Day - Back. M. Conley (PG) Day To Day - Finger. J. Randle (PF) Out - Groin. D. DiVincenzo (SG) Out - Toe.

Houston Rockets:  T. Eason (PF) Day To Day - Leg. F. VanVleet (PG) Day To Day - Ankle. J. Smith Jr. (PF) Out - Hand. C. Zeller (C) Out - Personal.

“I love how the young guys have been playing. I really do. We’ve got to try to maintain a role for them going forward. Maybe not every night. They’ve got to stay ready. Who knows when and how healthy we’ll get at any given time, so we’ll wait for that to happen before we make any predictions. But I just kind of like how they’re fighting.” - Chris Finch after his team’s win against the OKC Thunder in their last game. 

“It was more of the same. We talked about it at halftime, that we’re not even giving ourselves a chance. It didn’t change much so I got those guys out pretty quickly. So, yeah, you could say I was disappointed.” - Ime Udoka after his team’s loss against the Warriors in their last game. 

PG Rob Dillingham

SG Anthony Edwards

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Joe Ingles

C Naz Reid

PG Amen Thompson

SG Jalen Green 

SF Jae'Sean Tate

PF Dillon Brooks

C Alperen Sengun

PPG: A. Edwards (27.5)

APG: M. Conley (4.6)

Reb/G: R. Gobert (10.4)

PPG: J. Green (21.2)

APG: F. VanVleet (5.8)

Reb/G: A. Sengun (10.5)

Coaches:

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (5th season)

Houston Rockets: Ime Udoka (2nd season)