Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/13/2026

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Mar 12, 2026
Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Friday, March 13, 2026
Venue:  Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
Where to Watch:  Prime Video


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves -6.5, Warriors +6.5; Over/Under:  228.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves -6.5, Warriors +6.5; Over/Under:  227.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves -6.5, Warriors +6.5; Over/Under:  227.5 points

Season Record

Minnesota Timberwolves:  40-26 (3rd place, Northwest Division)
Golden State Warriors:  32-33 (4th place, Pacific Division)

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Recent Form
Minnesota Timberwolves:  6-4 last 10
Golden State Warriors:  3-7 last 10


Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors Preview and Analysis


The Timberwolves are entering this game with a 40-26 record overall this season and they are 18-14 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game losing streak with losses coming against the Orlando Magic, the Los Angeles Lakers, and the Los Angeles Clippers. Anthony Edwards led the team in points in that game with 36 while Naz Reid was next on the team with 18 points. Anthony Edwards led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Julius Randle led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 59.7% from the field, 44% from 3-point range, and 86.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 118.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.1 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 27-39 this season and their O/U record is 31-35.



The Warriors are entering this game with a 32-33 record overall this season and they are 19-14 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game losing streak with losses coming against the Oklahoma City Thunder, the Utah Jazz, and the Chicago Bulls. Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, LJ Cryer, and Kristaps Porziņģis each led the team in points in that game with 17 while Al Horford was next on the team with 13 points. Brandin Podziemski led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Gary Payton II led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 41.9% from the field, 37% from 3-point range, and 88.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 114.2 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 29-36 this season and their O/U record is 39-26.


Timberwolves vs Warriors Prediction

The current betting odds have the Timberwolves listed as a 6.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Timberwolves have looked really good in their games this season with their 40-26 record overall which has them right in the top half of the West. They have been a good road team too with their 18-13 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Warriors haven't looked great in their games this season with their 32-33 record overall which has them in the bottom half of the West. They have looked a lot better on their home court though with their 19-14 home record this season. The Warriors had a good start to the NBA season and were looking like a competitive team in the West for most of the season, but injuries to Butler and Curry have really derailed their season now. They are no longer a contender in the West and will be lucky to even make the playoffs now as they find themselves fighting for the play-in tournament. They have looked terrible lately as they are 3-7 in their last 10 games, slipping down the standings in the West quickly, and they have lost 3 games in a row now too. They have been losing to some really good teams, but they are off a home loss in OT to the Bulls in their last one. They have had a lot of trouble lately and even though the Timberwolves haven't looked any better in their last few games, they are still the more talented team in their current state. The Timberwolves have lost 3 games in a row now too, but they are still 6-4 in their last 10 games and have been healthy. They will be looking to bounce back against a banged up Warriors team that has been limping to the finish line lately, so look for the Timberwolves to bounce back with a big win after the way they lost to the Clippers terribly in their last one. The best way to place a bet here is on the Timberwolves to cover the spread in this game. 

Timberwolves Warriors Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, March 13, 2026 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Timberwolves 120 Warriors 108.
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NBA Betting Trends


Minnesota Timberwolves: 5-11 ATS against Pacific division opponents. 8-15 ATS as a road favorite. 1-5 ATS after allowing 135 points or more. 5-1 OVER after allowing 135 points or more. 10-5 OVER in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5.

Golden State Warriors: 8-4 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses. 7-4 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%). 29-18 ATS as an underdog  of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 12-6 OVER against Northwest division opponents. 21-12 OVER in home games.

Key Injuries


Minnesota Timberwolves:  A. Dosunmu (SG) Day To Day - Thumb.

Golden State Warriors:  S. Curry (SG) Day To Day - Sciatic nerve. D. Melton (PG) Day To Day - Adductor. Q. Post (C) Day To Day - Foot. M. Moody (SG) Day To Day - Wrist. S. Curry (PG) Out - Knee. J. Butler III (SF) Out For Season - Knee.


Notable Quotes


"We know we're a good team. It feels like we’re a million miles away from where we were a week ago, but we're not. Just gotta regroup and win the next game." - Chris Finch after his team’s loss against the LA Clippers in their game on Wednesday.


“Both very winnable games. We had the lead late tonight, obviously one we should have had. But this is how the NBA is, especially when you’re beaten up. You’re not going to blow anybody out. Games are going to be tight. You got to finish, and we didn’t finish either of the last two nights.” - Steve Kerr after his team’s loss against the Bulls in their game on Tuesday.


Starting Lineups


Minnesota Timberwolves
PG Donte DiVincenzo
SG Anthony Edwards
SF Jaden McDaniels
PF Julius Randle
C Rudy Gobert

Golden State Warriors
PG Brandin Podziemski
SG De'Anthony Melton
SF Will Richard
PF Gui Santos
C Draymond Green

Statistical Leaders


Minnesota Timberwolves
PPG: Anthony Edwards (29.4)
APG: Julius Randle (5.2)
Reb/G: Rudy Gobert (11.3)

Golden State Warriors
PPG: Stephen Curry (27.2)
APG: Draymond Green (5.3)
Reb/G: Jimmy Butler III (5.6)

Coaches:
Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (6th season)
Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (12th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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