Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/06/2024

Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Monday, May 6, 2024

Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO

Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +5.5, Nuggets -5.5; Over/Under:  207 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +5.5, Nuggets -5.5; Over/Under:  207 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +5.5, Nuggets -5.5; Over/Under:  207.5 points

Minnesota Timberwolves:  56-26 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

Denver Nuggets:  57-25 (2nd place, Northwest Division)

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Minnesota Timberwolves:  8-2 last 10

Denver Nuggets:  7-3 last 10

The Timberwolves are entering this game with a 56-26 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 26-15 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 5 game winning streak with wins coming against the Phoenix Suns 4 times in a row and the Denver Nuggets in their last game. Anthony Edwards led the team in points in that game with 43 while Karl-Anthony Towns was next on the team with 20 points. Mike Conley Jr. led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Rudy Gobert led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 52.4% from the field, 40.7% from 3-point range, and 75% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 106.5 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 45-40-2 this season and their O/U record is 44-42-1.

The Nuggets are entering this game with a 57-25 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 33-8 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Minnesota Timberwolves in their last game. Nikola Jokić led the team in points in that game with 32 while Michael Porter Jr. was next on the team with 20 points. Nikola Jokić led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Nikola Jokić led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 46.7% from the field, 41.9% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.6 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 40-46-2 this season and their O/U record is 36-52.

The current betting odds have the Nuggets listed as a 5.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 2 of a 7 game series between the 2nd seeded Nuggets and the 3rd seeded Timberwolves for Round 2 of the NBA Western Conference playoffs. The Timberwolves have a 1-0 series lead after winning game 1 of this series on the road. The Nuggets have looked great in their home games this season with their 33-8 home record which is one of the best home records in the entire NBA this year, but they lost the 1st game of this series at home. The Timberwolves have been a really good road team all year and they carried over their momentum from sweeping the Suns in the last round to win this 1st game and take a 1-0 series lead. The Timberwolves have now done their job since they have flipped the home advantage in this series in their favor so they won't need to push as hard to win this game. The Nuggets will be bringing their best effort though, not only to bounce back from that bad performance, but also because the last thing they want is to go into Minnesota down 2-0 in the series with a chance to get swept before even coming back home. The Nuggets are going to push a lot harder to win this game after losing game 1 so look for them to bounce back big in this game on their home court. The best way to place a bet here is on the Nuggets to cover the spread in this game. 

Timberwolves Nuggets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Monday, May 6, 2024 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 116 Timberwolves 105.

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Minnesota Timberwolves: 17-9 ATS as an underdog. 11-5 ATS vs. division opponents. 22-12 ATS off a win against a division rival. 11-6 UNDER vs. division opponents. 11-3 UNDER in the 2nd game of a playoff series. 8-4 UNDER off a win against a division rival.

Denver Nuggets: 6-11 ATS vs. division opponents. 3-10 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 7 days. 10-5 UNDER as a home favorite of 6 points or less. 11-6 UNDER vs. division opponents. 29-19 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive unders.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  J. Clark (SG) Out indefinitely - Achilles.

Denver Nuggets:  V. Cancar (SF) out for season - Knee.

“The whole team, we trust each other. It doesn't matter down the stretch who takes the shot.” - Ant Edwards after their win against the Nuggets in game 1 of this series on Saturday.

“We need to do a better job of making them make tough shots, maybe make the extra pass." - Nikola Jokic after their loss against the Timberwolves in game 1 of this series on Saturday.

PG Mike Conley

SG Anthony Edwards

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Karl-Anthony Towns

C Rudy Gobert

PG Jamal Murray

SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

SF Michael Porter Jr.

PF Aaron Gordon

C Nikola Jokic

PPG: A. Edwards (25.9)

APG: M. Conley (5.9)

Reb/G: R. Gobert (12.9)

PPG: N. Jokic (26.4)

APG: N. Jokic (9)

Reb/G: N. Jokic (12.4)

Coaches:

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (4th season)

Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (9th season)