Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/25/2023

Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Tuesday, April 25, 2023

Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO

Where to Watch:  NBA TV

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +9, Nuggets -9; Over/Under:  222 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +9, Nuggets -9; Over/Under:  222 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +9.5, Nuggets -9.5; Over/Under:  221.5 points

Minnesota Timberwolves:  42-40 (2nd place, Northwest Division)

Denver Nuggets:  53-29 (1st place, Northwest Division)

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Minnesota Timberwolves:  5-5 last 10

Denver Nuggets:  5-5 last 10

The Timberwolves finished the regular season with a 42-40 record overall and they were 20-21 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a win against the Denver Nuggets in their last game. Anthony Edwards led the team in points in that game with 34 while Mike Conley Jr. was next on the team with 19 points. Mike Conley Jr. led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Rudy Gobert led the team in rebounds with 15. They were 45.2% from the field, 38.2% from 3-point range, and 77.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.8 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 43-45 this season and their O/U record is 41-47.

The Nuggets finished the regular season with a 53-29 record overall and they were 34-7 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a loss against the Minnesota Timberwolves in their last game. Nikola Jokić led the team in points in that game with 43 while Jamal Murray was next on the team with 19 points. Nikola Jokić led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Nikola Jokić led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 44.2% from the field, 34.3% from 3-point range, and 66.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.5 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 47-38-1 this season and their O/U record is 40-45-1.

The current betting odds have the Nuggets listed as a 9 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 5 of a 7-game series between the 1st seeded Nuggets and the 8th seeded Timberwolves for the 1st round of the playoffs in the NBA Western Conference. The Nuggets are entering this game with a 3-1 series lead after the Timberwolves won big in overtime in game 4 to keep the series alive. The Timberwolves were trailing in the series 3-0 before getting that win on their home court and even though they showed some life in that game, they still look like they are on their way out of the playoffs here. They had a big lead late in game 4 as they were winning by 12 points with 2 minutes to go but they blew the lead, allowing the Nuggets to go on a 12-0 run which then led to overtime. The Timberwolves ended up winning the game in OT and saved their season for now but the Nuggets showed late in that game that they are just too much for the Timberwolves to handle and the number 1 seed in the West will get it done in this game. The Timberwolves have struggled to win in Denver all year and they looked terrible in the first 2 games of this series as they were trailing for most of those games. The Nuggets will take another commanding lead from the start in this game and show why they are the number 1 seed in the West by closing out this series on their home court. The best way to place a bet here is on the Nuggets to cover the spread in this game.

Timberwolves Nuggets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, April 25, 2023 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 124 Timberwolves 107.

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Minnesota Timberwolves: 14-23 ATS when the total is 220 to 229.5. 9-16 ATS off an upset win as a home underdog. 17-6 UNDER off a home win. 16-8 UNDER after playing 2 consecutive home games.

Denver Nuggets: 26-16 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220. 10-3 ATS off an upset loss as a road favorite. 14-5 UNDER revenging a same season loss vs opponent. 24-18 UNDER after playing a road game.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  J. McDaniels (SF) Out indefinitely - Hand. N. Reid (C) Out indefinitely - Wrist.

Denver Nuggets:  C. Gillespie (PG) Early May - Leg.

“He’s got a special quality we talked about. He’s not afraid of those moments at this point in time. You see what they’re made of. They can shy away from them. He certainly doesn’t.” - Chris Finch on Anthony Edwards after his team’s win against the Nuggets in their game on Sunday, game 4 of this series.

“We’re not going to go undefeated in the postseason. So, yeah, we lost a game, we had our chances, but we’ve got to go home and regroup and not feel sorry for ourselves and get ready to play against a team that has some life in them.” - Michael Malone after his team’s loss against the Timberwolves in their game on Sunday, game 4 of this series. 

PG Mike Conley

SG Anthony Edwards

SF Taurean Prince

PF Karl-Anthony Towns

C Rudy Gobert

PG Jamal Murray

SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

SF Michael Porter Jr.

PF Aaron Gordon

C Nikola Jokic

PPG: A. Edwards (24.6)

APG: M. Conley (6.7)

Reb/G: R. Gobert (11.6)

PPG: N. Jokic (24.5)

APG: N. Jokic (9.8)

Reb/G: N. Jokic (11.8)

Coaches:

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (3rd season)

Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (8th season)