Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/10/2024

Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Wednesday, April 10, 2024

Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +5.5, Nuggets -5.5; Over/Under:  213.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +5.5, Nuggets -5.5; Over/Under:  213.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +5.5, Nuggets -5.5; Over/Under:  213.5 points

Minnesota Timberwolves:  54-24 (1st place, Northwest Division)

Denver Nuggets:  54-24 (2nd place, Northwest Division)

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Minnesota Timberwolves:  7-3 last 10

Denver Nuggets:  7-3 last 10

The Timberwolves are entering this game with a 54-24 record overall and they are 26-14 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Los Angeles Lakers in their last game, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Washington Wizards still to be played on Tuesday night. In their game against the Lakers, Naz Reid led the team in points in that game with 31 while Anthony Edwards was next on the team with 26 points. Anthony Edwards led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Rudy Gobert led the team in rebounds with 16. They were 51.5% from the field, 38.5% from 3-point range, and 85.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 106 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 40-36-2 this season and their O/U record is 38-39-1.

The Nuggets are entering this game with a 54-24 record overall and they are 32-8 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Atlanta Hawks in their last game, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Utah Jazz still to be played on Tuesday night. In their game against the Hawks, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope led the team in points in that game with 24 while Michael Porter Jr. was next on the team with 20 points. Nikola Jokić led the team in assists in that game with 11 while Nikola Jokić led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 60.2% from the field, 56.1% from 3-point range, and 81.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.7 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 35-41-2 this season and their O/U record is 32-46.

The current betting odds have the Nuggets listed as a 5.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Nuggets have looked great in their games this season with their 54-24 record overall which has them right at the top of the West with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have also looked great on their home court with their 32-8 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves have also looked great in their games this season with their 54-24 record overall which has them right at the top of the West with one of the best records in the entire NBA too. They have also been a really good road team this year with their 26-14 road record, but they haven't been at their best in those games. Both of these teams have been really hot lately with 7-3 records in each of their last 10 games, but this is a big game for both teams since the number 1 seed in the West is on the line here and the winner of this game would have the inside track. The Timberwolves have been in the race for the number 1 seed all season but the Nuggets are still the defending champions and they will be looking for some revenge here considering how they lost their last game against the Timberwolves at home. The Nuggets are going to be focused on winning this game for the number 1 seed in the West like they had last season and they have the advantage with the home crowd on their side. The best way to place a bet here is on the Nuggets to cover the spread in this game.

Timberwolves Nuggets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, April 10, 2024 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 119 Timberwolves 109.

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Minnesota Timberwolves: 15-8 ATS as an underdog. 10-4 ATS vs. division opponents. 21-13 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread. 11-5 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive overs. 10-5 UNDER vs. division opponents. 

Denver Nuggets: 5-10 ATS vs. division opponents. 4-8 ATS off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival. 2-6 ATS after 2 straight covers as a double digit favorite. 25-16 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 10-5 UNDER vs. division opponents. 27-17 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive unders.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  K. Towns (C) Mid April - Knee. J. Clark (SG) Out indefinitely - Achilles.

Denver Nuggets:  J. Strawther (SG) Prob Tues - Ankle. M. Porter Jr. (PF) Prob Tues - Knee. K. Caldwell-Pope (SG) Prob Tues - Shoulder. J. Murray (SG) Prob Tues - Knee. N. Jokic (C) Prob Tues - Hip. A. Gordon (PF) Ques Tues - Foot. V. Cancar (SF) out for season - Knee.

“Obviously, we caught a break there.” - Chris Finch after his team’s win against the LA Lakers in their game on Sunday.

“I have to give him a lot of credit because I didn't think he was going to play. For him to go out there... It was just amazing and a testament to his toughness.” - Michael Malone on Reggie Jackson after his team’s win against the Hawks in their game on Saturday.

PG Mike Conley

SG Anthony Edwards

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Naz Reid

C Rudy Gobert

PG Jamal Murray

SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

SF Michael Porter Jr.

PF Aaron Gordon

C Nikola Jokic

PPG: A. Edwards (25.9)

APG: M. Conley (6)

Reb/G: R. Gobert (12.8)

PPG: N. Jokic (26.4)

APG: N. Jokic (9)

Reb/G: N. Jokic (12.4)

Coaches:

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (4th season)

Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (9th season)