Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/01/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Thursday, Mar 31, 2022
Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Friday, April 1, 2022
Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO
Where to Watch:  ALT

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +4, Nuggets -4; Over/Under:  236 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +4, Nuggets -4; Over/Under:  236.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +4.5, Nuggets -4.5; Over/Under:  235.5 points
 

Season Record

Minnesota Timberwolves:  43-34 (3rd place, Northwest Division)
Denver Nuggets:  46-31 (1st place, Northwest Division)
 
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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Minnesota Timberwolves:  5-5 last 10
Denver Nuggets:  6-4 last 10
 
 
 

Minnesota Timberwolves Analysis

The Timberwolves are coming into this game with a 43-34 record overall and they are 18-21 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 4 of their last 5 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game losing streak. Their last win was against the Dallas Mavericks while their 4 losses in that span came against the Mavericks, the Phoenix Suns, the Boston Celtics, and the Toronto Raptors in their last game. Anthony Edwards led the team in points in that game with 24 while Karl-Anthony Towns was next on the team with 16 points. Jordan McLaughlin off the bench led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Towns led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 40.2% from the field, 29.7% from 3-point range, and 73.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.2 PPG and their defense is averaging their opponents to average 112.4 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 41-34-2 this season and their O/U record is 45-32.
 
 

Denver Nuggets Analysis

The Nuggets are coming into this game with a 46-31 record overall and they are 22-15 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 4 of their last 5 games and are coming into this one on a 3 game winning streak. Their last loss was against the Phoenix Suns while their 4 wins in that span came against the Los Angeles Clippers, the Oklahoma City Thunder, the Charlotte Hornets, and the Indiana Pacers in their last game. Nikola Jokić led the team in points in that game with 37 while Nah'Shon Hyland off the bench was next on the team with 20 points. Jokić led the team in assists in that game with 9 and he also led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 62.5% from the field, 42.9% from 3-point range, and 92.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 112 PPG and their defense is averaging their opponents to average 109.5 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 35-42 this season and their O/U record is 42-33-2.
 
 

 

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Prediction

The Timberwolves are coming into this game on a streak of losses recently and they are coming off of a very bad loss in Toronto by over 20 points in their last game. The Timberwolves jumped out to an early 1st quarter lead by over 10 points but they had blown that lead by halftime and went on to lose the game badly. That is just 1 bad loss out of 4 bad losses in their last 5 games, losing their last 2 straight by double digits. They are going up against a Nuggets team that has been heating up recently and is coming into this game off of 3 straight wins. They have won 4 of their last 5 games and have been playing much better than the Timberwolves have been recently, even taking over the number 1 spot in their division over the Jazz. The Nuggets have not been winning their recent games by a lot but they keep grinding out the wins and they will be at home in Denver for this game where it is tougher for teams to play in the high altitude. The Timberwolves will be hungry for a win here to stop their recent losing streak so they will likely keep this game close but the Nuggets should be able to edge them out by a few points in the end like they have with a lot of their recent opponents. The Nuggets will win by a few points here.
 
Timberwolves Nuggets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, April 1, 2022 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 119 Timberwolves 114.
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NBA Betting Trends

 
Minnesota Timberwolves: 20-8 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 230. 45-31 OVER in all games. 67-40 OVER in road games. 
Denver Nuggets: 14-23 ATS in home games. 6-17 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220. 23-15 OVER when the total is greater than or equal to 220.
 

Key Injuries

 
Minnesota Timberwolves:  M. Beasley (SG) Ques Fri - Ankle injury. M. Wright IV (PG) Early April - Elbow injury. J. McDaniels (SF) Early May - Ankle injury.
Denver Nuggets:  J. Green (PF) Ques Fri - Wrist injury. M. Porter Jr. (PF) Early April - Back injury. V. Cancar (SF) Early April - Foot injury. Z. Nnaji (PF) Out indefinitely - Knee injury.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"He's playing really, really good basketball and he's a big reason why they've won 10 of 12." - Chris Finch on Siakam in their loss against the Raptors on Wednesday night.
 
 
"My frustration is we get bored with success. I hate when we get up 31 points early." - Michael Malone on his team’s win against the Pacers on Wednesday night.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Minnesota Timberwolves
PG     Patrick Beverley
SG     D'Angelo Russell
SF     Anthony Edwards
PF     Jarred Vanderbilt
C     Karl-Anthony Towns
 
Denver Nuggets
PG    Monte Morris
SG    Will Barton
SF     Aaron Gordon
PF    Jeff Green
C     Nikola Jokic
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Minnesota Timberwolves
PPG: K. Towns (24.4)
APG: D. Russell (7)
Reb/G: K. Towns (9.8)
 
Denver Nuggets
PPG: N. Jokic (26.5)
APG: N. Jokic (8)
Reb/G: N. Jokic (13.6)
 
Coaches:
Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (2nd season)
Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (7th season)
 


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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