Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/29/2024

Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Friday, March 29, 2024

Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO

Where to Watch:  ALT

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +6, Nuggets -6; Over/Under:  214.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +6, Nuggets -6; Over/Under:  214.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +6, Nuggets -6; Over/Under:  214.5 points

Minnesota Timberwolves:  50-22 (2nd place, Northwest Division)

Denver Nuggets:  51-22 (1st place, Northwest Division)

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Minnesota Timberwolves:  7-3 last 10

Denver Nuggets:  8-2 last 10

The Timberwolves are entering this game with a 50-22 record overall and they are 24-13 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Cleveland Cavaliers, the Golden State Warriors, and the Detroit Pistons in their last game. Naz Reid led the team in points in that game with 21 while Jaden McDaniels was next on the team with 20 points. Mike Conley Jr. led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Rudy Gobert led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 51.2% from the field, 30.6% from 3-point range, and 68.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 106.3 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 37-33-2 this season and their O/U record is 35-36-1.

The Nuggets are entering this game with a 51-22 record overall and they are 29-7 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Phoenix Suns in their last game. Nikola Jokić led the team in points in that game with 22 while Aaron Gordon and Michael Porter Jr. each were next on the team with 18 points. Nikola Jokić led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Nikola Jokić led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 43.2% from the field, 25% from 3-point range, and 91.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 109.9 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 33-38-2 this season and their O/U record is 30-43.

The current betting odds have the Nuggets listed as a 6 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Nuggets have looked really good in their games this season with their 51-22 record overall which has them at the top of the West right now with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have also looked great on their home court this year with their 29-7 home record. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves have also looked really good in their games this season with their 50-22 record overall which has them right near the top of the West with one of the best records in the NBA too. They have been a really good road team this year with their 24-13 road record and they are fighting with the Nuggets for the number 1 seed in the West right now. This is a big game for the Timberwolves to gain on the Nuggets with a win and they have looked really good in their games lately with their 7-3 record in their last 10 games, but the Nuggets are still the hotter team coming into this one. The Timberwolves also have some momentum from 3 wins in a row, but they haven't faced a team like Denver on this streak. The Nuggets have looked really good lately with their 8-2 record in their last 10 games and even though they don't have as much momentum right now with no win streak, they are coming off a home loss to the Suns in their last one and that will be enough motivation for them to bring their best effort here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Nuggets to cover the spread in this game. 

Timberwolves Nuggets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, March 29, 2024 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 112 Timberwolves 104.

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Minnesota Timberwolves: 32-19 ATS vs. division opponents. 9-0 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent. 9-5 OVER off a home win by 10 points or more. 13-4 OVER after 3 or more consecutive wins. 

Denver Nuggets: 17-31 ATS vs. division opponents. 7-3 OVER as a home underdog. 22-10 OVER off a home loss. 6-3 OVER after a combined score of 205 points or less.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  K. Towns (C) Mid April - Knee. J. Clark (SG) Out indefinitely - Achilles.

Denver Nuggets:  Z. Nnaji (PF) Out indefinitely - Back. J. Murray (SG) Ques Fri - Ankle. V. Cancar (SF) Out indefinitely - Knee.

“We’re going to keep stacking ’em up, because there’s a lot to play for yet.” - Chris Finch after his team’s win against the Pistons in their game on Wednesday.

“Not once did I think these guys are playing harder than us. For most teams, every game is an important game. We're trying to keep the No. 1 seed. You don't have to come off a bad loss at San Antonio (like the Suns did) to be in a desperate game. So, I think our guys definitely played hard. Could we have played better? Of course. And could we have made more shots? That definitely would have helped the outcome." - Michael Malone after his team’s loss against the Suns in their game on Wednesday.

PG Mike Conley

SG Anthony Edwards

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Naz Reid

C Rudy Gobert

PG Reggie Jackson

SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

SF Michael Porter Jr.

PF Aaron Gordon

C Nikola Jokic

PPG: A. Edwards (26.2)

APG: M. Conley (6)

Reb/G: R. Gobert (12.9)

PPG: N. Jokic (26.1)

APG: N. Jokic (9)

Reb/G: N. Jokic (12.2)

Coaches:

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (4th season)

Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (9th season)