Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 12/14/2023

Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Thursday, December 14, 2023

Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX 

Where to Watch:  BSSW

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  T-Wolves +2.5, Mavs -2.5; Over/Under:  229.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  T-Wolves +2.5, Mavs -2.5; Over/Under:  229.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  T-Wolves +2.5, Mavs -2.5; Over/Under:  229.5 points

Minnesota Timberwolves:  17-5 (1st place, Northwest Division)

Dallas Mavericks:  15-8 (1st place, Southwest Division)

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Minnesota Timberwolves:  8-2 last 10

Dallas Mavericks:  6-4 last 10

The Timberwolves are entering this game with a 17-5 record overall and they are 7-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the New Orleans Pelicans in their last game. Karl-Anthony Towns, Mike Conley Jr., and Naz Reid each led the team in points in that game with 17 while Jaden McDaniels and Shake Milton each were next on the team with 12 points. Mike Conley Jr. led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Karl-Anthony Towns led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 44% from the field, 36.1% from 3-point range, and 73.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 112.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 105.9 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 11-9-2 this season and their O/U record is 12-10.

The Mavericks are entering this game with a 15-8 record overall and they are 7-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 4 game winning streak with wins coming against the Utah Jazz, the Portland Trail Blazers, the Memphis Grizzlies, and the Los Angeles Lakers in their last game. Luka Dončić led the team in points in that game with 33 while Tim Hardaway Jr. was next on the team with 32 points. Luka Dončić led the team in assists in that game with 17 while Dereck Lively II led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 49.4% from the field, 48.8% from 3-point range, and 85.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.9 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 13-10 this season and their O/U record is 17-6.

The current betting odds have the Mavericks listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mavericks have looked really good in their games this season with their 15-8 record overall. They have also looked good in their home games with their 7-4 home record and they have some momentum here with 4 wins in a row now. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves have also looked great in their games this season with their 17-5 record overall which has them at the top of the West right now. They have also looked good in their road games this season with their 7-4 road record, but lately they haven't looked as good in those games and just lost their last game on the road too. The Timberwolves have a great team this season and they have been on a really good run to get to the top of the West but now they are starting to regress a bit while the Mavericks are the team in the West getting hot again as they look to climb the standings here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mavericks to cover the spread in this game. 

Timberwolves Mavericks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, December 14, 2023 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Mavericks 122 Timberwolves 114.

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Minnesota Timberwolves: 27-20 ATS against Southwest division opponents. 31-19 ATS after 2 or more consecutive overs. 17-7 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more. 8-3 OVER in road games. 27-15 OVER after a loss by 10 points or more. 33-20 OVER after playing 2 consecutive road games. 

Dallas Mavericks: 14-23 ATS after a win by 6 points or less. 4-12 ATS after scoring 120 points or more in 3 straight games. 4-10 ATS after 4 or more consecutive wins. 17-6 OVER in all games. 8-3 OVER in home games. 12-4 OVER after one or more consecutive overs. 

Minnesota Timberwolves:  A. Edwards (SG) Ques Thurs - Hip. J. Clark (SG) Mid Feb - Achilles.

Dallas Mavericks:  S. Curry (SG) Ques Thurs - Ankle. D. Jones Jr. (SF) Ques Thurs - Quadricep. K. Irving (PG) Out indefinitely - Heel. M. Kleber (PF) Late Dec - Toe. J. Green (SG) Late Dec - Elbow.

"The story was 40 free throw attempts and 19 of them in the third quarter. I think 27 in the second half so a lot of fouling and a lot of foul calls. I got to look back and look at the fouls- given the way [Jonas] Valanciunas hits you first like all the time, it felt like some of them are- a little soft out there." - Chris Finch after his team’s loss against the Pelicans in their game on Monday.

“I don’t know how I played. I slept very little today, and everything hurts. I am getting older. But we got two back-to-back wins, which is amazing especially against a team like the Lakers.” - Luka Doncic after their win against the LA Lakers in their game on Tuesday.

PG Mike Conley

SG Anthony Edwards

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Karl-Anthony Towns

C Rudy Gobert

PG Luka Doncic

SG Kyrie Irving

SF Derrick Jones Jr.

PF Grant Williams

C Dereck Lively II

PPG: A. Edwards (24.4)

APG: M. Conley (6.2)

Reb/G: R. Gobert (12.2)

PPG: L. Doncic (32)

APG: L. Doncic (8.9)

Reb/G: L. Doncic (8.2)

Coaches:

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (4th season)

Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (3rd season)