Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/21/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Sunday, Mar 20, 2022
Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Monday, March 21, 2022
Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
Where to Watch:  BSSW

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +3.5, Mavericks -3.5; Over/Under:  229 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +3.5, Mavericks -3.5; Over/Under:  230 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +3.5, Mavericks -3.5; Over/Under:  229.5 points
 

Season Record

Minnesota Timberwolves:  42-30 (3rd place, Northwest Division)
Dallas Mavericks:  43-28 (2nd place, Southwest Division)
 
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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Minnesota Timberwolves:  9-1 last 10
Dallas Mavericks:  7-3 last 10
 
 
 

Minnesota Timberwolves Analysis

The Timberwolves are coming into this game with a 42-30 record overall and they are 18-18 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 10 of their last 11 games and are coming into this one on a 4 game winning streak. Their last loss was against the Orlando Magic while their 10 wins in that span came against the Cleveland Cavaliers, the Golden State Warriors, the Oklahoma City Thunder, the Portland Trail Blazers twice, the Thunder again, the Miami Heat, the San Antonio Spurs, the Los Angeles Lakers, and the Milwaukee Bucks in their last game. Anthony Edwards and Karl-Anthony Towns both led the team in points in that game with 25 each while D'Angelo Russell was next on the team with 16 points. Russell led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Towns led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 51.1% from the field, 46.8% from 3-point range, and 84.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.5 PPG and their defense is averaging their opponents to average 112 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 40-30-2 this season and their O/U record is 43-29.
 
 

Dallas Mavericks Analysis

The Mavericks are coming into this game with a 43-28 record overall and they are 23-12 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming into this game on a 2 game winning streak. Their last win was against the Brooklyn Nets while their 2 losses since then have come against the Philadelphia 76ers and the Charlotte Hornets in their last game. Luka Dončić led the team in points in that game with 37 while Frank Ntilikina off the bench was next on the team with 12 points. Ntilikina led the team in assists in that game with 4 while Marquese Chriss led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 43.8% from the field, 36.8% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 106.6 PPG and their defense is averaging their opponents to average 104.1  PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 39-31-1 this season and their O/U record is 25-44-2.
 
 

 

Timberwolves vs Mavericks Prediction

The Timberwolves have been playing very well recently coming into this game. They have won their last 4 straight games and 10 of their last 11. They have been heating up in these games and they have won their last 3 games by double digits as well. They are coming off of a game where they just smashed the Bucks by over 20 points and their team has been very healthy in their last few games. All of their starters are available for this game and they are going up against a mavericks team that has also been playing well but not in their recent games. The Mavericks have been stumbling a little recently as they have lost 2 straight games and they are coming off of a very bad loss to the Hornets by over 20 points. Both of their last 2 losses have been by double digits and they are going to struggle against a Timberwolves team that has been gaining a lot of steam in their recent games. The Timberwolves have been playing much better recently and the Mavericks will not be able to stop them in this game. The Timberwolves should win this game by double digits and continue playing in their solid form. 
 
Timberwolves Mavericks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Monday, March 21, 2022 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Timberwolves 127 Mavericks 112.
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NBA Betting Trends

 
Minnesota Timberwolves: 116-168 ATS after a combined score of 225 points or more. 51-30 OVER as a road underdog. 28-13 OVER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230.
Dallas Mavericks: 67-30 ATS off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more. 19-8 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses. 10-5 OVER after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games.
 

Key Injuries

 
Minnesota Timberwolves:  J. McDaniels (SF) Early May - Ankle injury. M. Wright IV (PG) Late March - Elbow injury.
Dallas Mavericks:  R. Bullock (SG) Ques Mon - Personal. T. Pinson (SG) Out indefinitely - Finger injury. T. Hardaway Jr. (SG) out for season - Foot injury.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"Any time we step on the court, we should win. Simple as that. There's no excuse. We don't feel that we should lose to anybody. We feel we can beat anybody. So, every time we walk into the arena, we feel we should win. If we do what we're supposed to do, we feel it's a guaranteed win." - KAT after their win against the Bucks on Saturday night.
 
 
"Sometimes when you rely on scoring when things are good there can be some slippage on the defensive end. We are trending down and we have to pay attention to that and get back to playing the way that we have in the past." - Jason Kidd on his team’s loss against the Hornets on Saturday night.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Minnesota Timberwolves
PG     Patrick Beverley
SG     D'Angelo Russell
SF     Anthony Edwards
PF     Jarred Vanderbilt
C     Karl-Anthony Towns
 
Dallas Mavericks
PG     Luka Doncic
SG     Jalen Brunson
SF     Josh Green
PF     Dorian Finney-Smith
C     Dwight Powell
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Minnesota Timberwolves
PPG: K. Towns (24.9)
APG: D. Russell (7.2)
Reb/G: K. Towns (9.9)
 
Dallas Mavericks
PPG: L. Doncic (28.1)
APG: L. Doncic (8.5)
Reb/G: L. Doncic (9.2)
 
Coaches:
Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (2nd season)
Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (1st season)
 


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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