Minnesota Timberwolves vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/10/2026

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Jan 09, 2026
 
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Saturday, January 10, 2026
Venue:  Rocket Arena, Cleveland, OH
Where to Watch:  Prime Video


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +3.5, Cavaliers -3.5; Over/Under:  238.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +3.5, Cavaliers -3.5; Over/Under:  238.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Timberwolves +3.5, Cavaliers -3.5; Over/Under:  238.5 points

Season Record

Minnesota Timberwolves:  25-13 (3rd place, Northwest Division)
Cleveland Cavaliers:  21-18 (2nd place, Central Division)

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Recent Form
Minnesota Timberwolves:  7-3 last 10
Cleveland Cavaliers:  6-4 last 10


Minnesota Timberwolves vs Cleveland Cavaliers Preview and Analysis


The Timberwolves are entering this game with a 25-13 record overall this season and they are 11-7 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 4 game winning streak with wins coming against the Miami Heat, the Washington Wizards, the Heat again, and the Cleveland Cavaliers. Julius Randle led the team in points in that game with 28 while Jaden McDaniels was next on the team with 26 points. Anthony Edwards led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Rudy Gobert led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 57.3% from the field, 52.6% from 3-point range, and 52.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 114.3 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 17-21 this season and their O/U record is 18-20.



The Cavaliers are entering this game with a 21-18 record overall this season and they are 13-9 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Minnesota Timberwolves. Donovan Mitchell led the team in points in that game with 30 while Sam Merrill was next on the team with 22 points. Donovan Mitchell and Darius Garland each led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Jarrett Allen led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 52.7% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 71.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117.2 PPG against them. The Cavaliers have an ATS record of 12-27 this season and their O/U record is 18-21.


Timberwolves vs Cavaliers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Cavaliers listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Cavaliers have looked good in their games this season with their 21-18 record overall which has them right in the middle of the East. They have looked a lot better on their home court too with their 13-9 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves have looked really good in their games this season with their 25-13 record overall which has them in the top half of the West. They have been a good road team too with their 11-7 road record this year. The Timberwolves have been rolling in their games lately as they are 7-3 in their last 10 games, and they have a ton of momentum on their side with 4 wins in a row now too. They have been blowing out their opponents lately as they are starting to look like a top team in the West, like they are supposed to be, but this isn't the best situation for them. They are off a nice home win over the Cavaliers in their last one, but now they are seeing them on the road and the Cavs will be looking to bounce back by getting their revenge. The Cavaliers are off that loss to the Timberwolves, but they haven't looked bad lately as they are still 6-4 in their last 10 games. They have also played their best basketball at home this season so they are going to bring their best effort here to get the Timberwolves back, and the Cavs aren't a bad team despite their regression from last season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Cavaliers to cover the spread in this game. 

Timberwolves Cavaliers Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Saturday, January 10, 2026 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Cavaliers 122 Timberwolves 118.
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NBA Betting Trends


Minnesota Timberwolves: 26-18 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less. 24-13 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 230. 25-17 ATS on the road versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game. 7-4 OVER on the road against Central division opponents. 

Cleveland Cavaliers: 26-32 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 18-27 1H ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 16-7 OVER against Northwest division opponents. 22-14 OVER as a home favorite of 6 points or less.

Key Injuries


Minnesota Timberwolves:  T. Shannon Jr. (SG) Day To Day - Foot.

Cleveland Cavaliers:  D. Wade (PF) Day To Day - Knee. M. Strus (SF) Out - Foot.


Notable Quotes


“Just making the right play, keeping it simple. Ant with nine assists, Julius with eight. That’s always going to be a recipe for success for us. They did a really good job of drawing a crowd and getting off of it and guys stepped up and made shots.” - Chris Finch after his team’s win against the Cavaliers in their game on Thursday.


“They shot the heck out of it. 53% from three and we shot 33% in this lead. That matters a lot. They made shots tonight but I thought we did a pretty good job getting in the paint and getting two feet in the paint and maybe didn’t finish as great as we wanted to. And then again I think we’re 11 for 33 from three. Just got to shoot it better.” - Kenny Atkinson after his team’s loss against the Timberwolves in their game on Thursday.


Starting Lineups


Minnesota Timberwolves
PG Donte DiVincenzo
SG Anthony Edwards
SF Jaden McDaniels
PF Julius Randle
C Rudy Gobert

Cleveland Cavaliers
PG Darius Garland
SG Donovan Mitchell
SF Dean Wade
PF Evan Mobley
C Jarrett Allen

Statistical Leaders


Minnesota Timberwolves
PPG: Anthony Edwards (29.2)
APG: Julius Randle (5.8)
Reb/G: Rudy Gobert (11.3)

Cleveland Cavaliers
PPG: Donovan Mitchell (29.8)
APG: Darius Garland (6.9)
Reb/G: Evan Mobley (8.8)

Coaches:
Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (6th season)
Cleveland Cavaliers: Kenny Atkinson (2nd season)


 

Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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