Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Purdue Boilermakers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 12/10/2025

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Wednesday, December 10, 2025

Venue:  Mackey Arena, West Lafayette, IN

Where to Watch:  Big Ten Network

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Minnesota +18.5, Purdue -18.5; Over/Under:  140.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Minnesota +18.5, Purdue -18.5; Over/Under:  140.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Minnesota +18.5, Purdue -18.5; Over/Under:  141.5 points

Minnesota Golden Gophers:  5-4 (1-0) (7th place, Big Ten)

Purdue Boilermakers:  8-1 (1-0) (4th place, Big Ten)

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Minnesota Golden Gophers:  2-3  last 5

Purdue Boilermakers:  4-1  last 5

Minnesota is entering this game with a 5-4 record overall, a 1-0 record in conference games, and they are 0-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Indiana Hoosiers in their last game. Langston Reynolds and Cade Tyson each led the team in points in that game with 17 while Isaac Asuma was next on the team with 15. Langston Reynolds and Isaac Asuma each led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Cade Tyson led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 48.9% from the field, 38.1% from 3-point range, and 70.4% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 73.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 67.9 PPG against them. Minnesota has an ATS record of 3-6 this season and their O/U record is 3-6.

Purdue is entering this game with an 8-1 record overall, a 1-0 conference record, and they are 4-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Iowa State Cyclones in their last game. Braden Smith led the team in points in that game with 11 while Oscar Cluff and Daniel Jacobsen each was next on the team with 10. Braden Smith led the team in assists with 8 in that game while Trey Kaufman-Renn led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 40.7% from the field, 22.2% from 3-point range, and 42.9% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 85.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 69.1 PPG against them. Purdue has an ATS record of 4-5 this season and their O/U record is 3-6.

The current betting odds have Purdue listed as an 18.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Purdue has looked great in their games this season with their 8-1 record overall which has them right near the top of the Big Ten. They have looked good on their home court too with their 4-1 home record this year, and they are ranked inside the top 10 teams in the nation. Meanwhile, Minnesota has looked good in their games this season with their 5-4 record overall and their 1-0 conference record which has them in the top half of the Big Ten. They haven't been a great road team though with their 0-1 road record this season. This is only going to be their 2nd road game of the year, their 1st in conference play too, and they have to play one of the best teams in the nation. This is a terrible situation for Minnesota too, off a big home win over Indiana in their last one, and they are getting Purdue off their first loss of the season too. Purdue has been rolling all year, but they were embarrassed in their last one, losing at home to Iowa State in a blow out and only putting up 58 points. Purdue is going to be looking to bounce back in a big way at home and show that their loss to Iowa State was a fluke and that Purdue is still one of the best teams in the nation. This is a bad situation for Minnesota on the road off that big win too. The best way to place a bet here is on Purdue to cover the spread in this game. 

Minnesota Purdue Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Wednesday, December 10, 2025 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Purdue 86 Minnesota 65.

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Minnesota Golden Gophers: 4-11 ATS on the road versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less. 4-8 ATS on the road versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game. 1-4 ATS on the road versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 free throws/game or less. 21-10 UNDER when the total is 140 to 149.5. 8-4 UNDER off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog.

Purdue Boilermakers: 6-3 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite. 6-3 ATS versus good foul drawing teams - attempting 25 free throws/game or more. 32-23 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% of their shots or more. 8-3 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). 4-1 UNDER as a home favorite of 18.5 to 24 points.

Minnesota Golden Gophers:  C. Willis (G) Out - Foot. R. Vaihola (F) Questionable - Undisclosed. B. Omot (F) Out - Leg. C. Stephens (G) Questionable - Illness. M. Gizzi (G) Questionable - Foot.

Purdue Boilermakers:  None.

“What a night. It’s really hard to be prouder of a group of young men than I am of these guys.” - Niko Medved after his team’s win against Indiana in their last game. 

"I thought they stole our spirit. When we would get open ones and miss it, we'd get frustrated; trying to get fouled, whatever we were doing, our frustration level got there. You have to give Iowa State credit; our high frustration level was because of them. They were damn good. They took us to the woodshed." - Matt Painter after his team’s loss against ISU in their last game. 

I. Asuma 

J. Crocker-Johnson 

C. Tyson 

R. Vaihola 

C. Willis

O. Cluff 

C. Cox 

T. Kaufman-Renn 

F. Loyer 

B. Smith

PPG: Cade Tyson (21.8)

APG: Isaac Asuma (4.3)

Reb/G: Jaylen Crocker-Johnson (8.9)

PPG: Fletcher Loyer (14.4)

APG: Braden Smith (8.8)

Reb/G: Trey Kaufman-Renn (10.7)

Coaches:

Minnesota Golden Gophers: Niko Medved (1st season)

Purdue Boilermakers: Matt Painter (21st season)