Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Northwestern Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/30/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 30, 2021
Venue:  Ryan Field, Evanston, IL
Where to Watch:  Big Ten Network

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Minnesota -7.5, Northwestern +7.5; Over/Under:  43.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Minnesota -7.5, Northwestern +7.5; Over/Under:  43.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Minnesota -7.5, Northwestern +7.5; Over/Under:  43.5 points
 

Season Record

Minnesota Golden Gophers:  5-2 (1st place, Big Ten West)
Northwestern Wildcats:  3-4 (6th place, Big Ten West)
 
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Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Northwestern Wildcats Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Minnesota Golden Gophers:  won at home on Oct. 23 against the Maryland Terrapins 34-16.
Northwestern Wildcats:  lost on the road on Oct. 23 against the Michigan Wolverines 33-7.
 
 
 

Minnesota Golden Gophers Analysis

Minnesota is coming into this game with a 5-2 record overall and they are 2-0 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 5th conference matchup of the year and they are in a good position right now with a 3-1 record in their conference games this season. Their 1 loss came against the Ohio State Buckeyes while their 3 wins came against the Purdue Boilermakers, the Nebraska Cornhuskers, and against Maryland in their last game. They had control of that game from start to finish and they are now on a 3 game winning streak coming into this game. Tanner Morgan did not play that great in their last game as he completed 8/12 passes for 125 yards. Ky Thomas had a very nice day on the ground as he led the team in rushing with 139 yards and 1 touchdown on 21 carries while Mar'Keise Irving also had a nice day with 105 rushing yards and 1 touchdown on 15 carries. Bryce Williams and Cole Kramer both had 1 TD on the ground each as well. Chris Autman-Bell led the team in receiving with 35 yards on 4 receptions in what was a very quiet day for the receiving corps. Jack Gibbens led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 5 assisted ones while Jordan Howden was right behind him with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted one. They have scored 186 points in their 7 games this season averaging 26.6 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 137 points against them allowing 19.6 PPG. Their offense is averaging 360.6 YPG while their defense is allowing 312 YPG. 
 
 

Northwestern Wildcats Analysis

Northwestern is coming into this game with a 3-4 record overall and they are 3-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 5th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are already in a big hole with a 1-3 record in their conference games this season. Their 1 win came against the Rutgers Scarlet Knights while their 3 losses came against the Michigan State Spartans, the Nebraska Cornhuskers, and against Michigan in their last game. They kept that close up to halftime but then they were dominated in the second half letting that game get away from them. Ryan Hilinski struggled in that game as he completed 14/29 passes for 114 yards and 1 interception. Evan Hull led the team in rushing with 81 yards and 1 touchdown on 6 carries but he was basically their entire running game in that one. Malik Washington led the team in receiving with 63 yards on 6 receptions in what was a quiet day for the receiving corps. Coco Azema led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles and 3 assisted ones while Chris Bergin was right behind with 9 solo tackles and 7 assisted ones. Brandon Joseph recorded the only sack in that game for them but no one on the defense came away with an interception in that game. They have scored 138 points in their 7 games this season averaging 19.7 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 176 points against them allowing 25.1 PPG. Their offense is averaging 354.4 YPG while the Wildcats defense is allowing 419.6 YPG.
 

 

Minnesota vs Northwestern Prediction

Minnesota is coming into this game as a 7.5 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Northwestern has really taken a turn for the worse since starting their conference schedule. They have not been performing well at all in those games while Minnesota is 3-1 now and looking to make it to the Big Ten Title game. They have really stepped up in their conference games and will likely do the same in this one. The best bet to make in this game is on Minnesota to cover the spread here.
 
Minnesota Northwestern Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 30, 2021 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Minnesota 31 Northwestern 13.
Don't miss our champion handicappers betting insights, free picks, best bets, and expert football picks today.  And if you enjoyed this Minnesota Golden Gophers Northwestern Wildcats prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.
 

NCAAF Betting Trends

 
Minnesota Golden Gophers: 176-159 ATS in all games. 71-67 ATS as a favorite. 21-13 ATS as a road favorite. 78-65 ATS in road games. 121-114 ATS against conference opponents.
Northwestern Wildcats: 34-40 O/U as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. 113-145 O/U in all games. 28-50 O/U when the total is between 42.5 and 49. 76-85 O/U as an underdog. 31-37 O/U as a home underdog. 52-79 O/U in home games. 81-101 O/U against conference opponents.
 

Key Injuries

 
Minnesota Golden Gophers:  D. Jackson (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. Treyson Potts (RB) out for season - Undisclosed injury. M. Ibrahim (RB) out for season - Leg injury.
Northwestern Wildcats:  Bryce Kirtz (WR) out for season - Undisclosed injury. B. Holman (WR) Ques Sat - Head injury. A. Marty (QB) Ques Sat - Upper Body injury.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"We have a lot of experienced guys up front that take a lot of pride to open a lot of holes and lanes for the talent of the running backs to take over. I thought they did a great job blocking." - Head coach P.J. Fleck on his team’s offensive line and blocking for their running game.
 
 
"I think last season, it humbled the players a lot. I mean, it's embarrassing to lose that many games in a winged helmet. We knew that it was time to change and whatever the change was, we were willing to do it to win." - Cade McNamara on what was driving his team to get better this season.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Minnesota Golden Gophers
WR Autman-Bell, Chris 
WR Jackson, Daniel 
WR Dylan Wright
TE Kieft, Ko 
QB Morgan, Tanner 
RB Irving, Mar'Keise 
 
Northwestern Wildcats
WR Washington, Malik 
WR Jefferson, JJ 
WR Stephon Robinson Jr.
TE Mangieri, Charlie 
QB Hilinski, Ryan 
RB Hull, Evan 
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Minnesota Golden Gophers
Passing: T. Morgan (1043)
Rushing: T. Potts (552)
Receiving: C. Autman-Bell (266)
Touchdowns: T. Potts (6)
 
Northwestern Wildcats
Passing: R. Hilinski (759)
Rushing: E. Hull (643)
Receiving: S. Robinson Jr. (425)
Touchdowns: E. Hull (5)
 
Coaches:
Minnesota Golden Gophers: P.J. Fleck (5th season)
Northwestern Wildcats: Pat Fitzgerald (16th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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